Thursday, September 28, 2023

Football Betting Predictions (Thursday September 28th)

 Welcome to Timerssports

Last week, it wasn't a bad week betting as Wednesday and Sunday were the only day in the dreaded red. On Monday, we hammered the Saints. On Tuesday, we cashed in on WNBA. Wednesday, well let's just say luck wasn't on our side. On Thursday, we attacked the Niners' spread and Georgia state's spread. Then Friday, we got healthy on Wisconsin and Air Force. Saturday, it was a mix bags of tricks. We scored with FSU (money line) and Army on the spread. A poor outcome with Ole Miss and Colordo both failing to cover as sizable dogs. However, we ended the night with Kansas state ML, Notre Dame +3.5 and New Mexico State +3.5. And let's not talk about Sunday that much because it was depressing overall outcome

So far this week it is looking another strong week! We hit on the Eagles on Monday, a pair of strong underdog spreads in WNBA on Tuesday and a nice win by the Marlins on Wednesday. Folks, if you have enough of money to work with, then all it takes is one or two bets and you are a couple units up for the day. With limited sports going on right now, there isn't much more we can ask for! So once again, we are gonna keep the bets to a limited until the weekend roll around. In fact, I have two football bets for tonight that you should consider!

NFL 

Lions vs Packers 

Current line as of posting: -1.5/+1.5

The vibe I have gotten this week about this game is everyone is expecting the Lions to blow out the Packers. Frankly, I might be in the minority here but I don't hate the Packers here. They bring a good defense with a quality pass rush and secondary. On offense, they are getting back Jones and Watson most likely. I think the speed of Watson and Jones effectiveness/flexibility to line up anywhere will be huge for the Packers. I think if Aaron Rodgers was still the QB in Green Bay, they would be the favored. I think in general, people don't want to admit that Jordan Love isn't bad at all. He has been inaccurate, but some of that is on the playcalling. Love is making his 5th career start on Thursday night, he got some things he need to work on. However, he is better than people want to give him credit for. 

Lions have been one of the best feel good stories over the last couple years. I am a Packers fan and I want to see this Lions team do well. Just not when they play the Packers. They are a talented group. They have a consistent QB, a good running back room, a top 5 offensive line unit and playmakers all over the field. On defense side of the ball, they have been great at stopping the run and as always an underrated secondary group, too. 

What side should we bet on, though? I want to say the Packers, I really do! But I don't think the Packers defense will get more stops than the Packers offense will make big plays. If this was end of the season, I would love the Packers' chance a lot more because I believe this Packers team will get better as the season goes on. Last week was a great example of them wasting away several chances for big time scores. The fact that they only scored 18 points is sad. They were in position to drop 30 on the Saints, but didn't. Give me the more experienced and capable offense!    

Recommendation: Lions ML

CFB

Temple vs Tulsa 

Current line as of posting: -3/+3

This will be an interesting game and honestly, I don't know if there is a clear side to be on here. Tulsa has been battle tested more early in the season. However, they love to run the football which is a problem. Unless you can stay ahead of the sticks and score often, then it is hard to trust a run-minded team. I think injury to their QB run has been deadly early in the season. As they are gonna have to rely on the run game until they are more healthy at the position! 

Temple are the complete opposite, as they don't really run the ball well. They are a consistent pass-first offense that can move the football. I don't think they have been as good as we were expecting, though. I think many people were expecting them to take a bigger step forward with their offense. Much like Tulsa, they have a strength (pass game) going against Tulsa's pass defense (biggest weakness). 

This matchup kinda reminds me a lot of last Friday night's game between San Jose state and Air Force. One team love running the ball and the other like doing it damage through the air. In theory, the rushing team would like to get up early and dominate the TOP (time of possession). Exactly what Air Force did in that game. Can Tulsa do that? I think they can cause huge problems for Temple's run defense, but they aren't on the Air Force level. And to me, that tells me if Tulsa can't dominate like that then it kinda favor Temple on the spread. Temple don't need points on each drive, but they do need to force Tulsa into 2nd and 3rd and longs. If Tulsa only get a couple yards on first or second down, then Tulsa will not cover this game. 

Recommendation: Temple +3.5 

Have a question or comment?

Email - Garrybriggs265@gmail.com

Twitter - @Garryy12

Thanks for reading

Site Owner 

Garry Briggs 

Friday, September 22, 2023

CFB Betting and Predictions Week 4 (Friday Edition)

 Welcome to Timerssports

Football is back and so far it has been a crazy couple weeks of betting for your friend, Garry! Two weekends ago, I went 17-2 on my bets. Then last week it was a complete circus but betting on MLB middle of the week usually don't bodes well for your betting momentum. So I stood out of doing anything last weekend, minus betting Indiana +10 and Kansas st ML, which ended as you would thought *face palm*

This week has been much better, though. The mojo is back! Hit on Saints ML and Steelers (live) ML on Monday night. We came back on Tuesday to hit on WNBA with Washington Mystics +6.5 and Dallas Wings -6.5. Wednesday, we got off track by betting the Reds in the early afternoon. Good bet as Greene struckout 14 batters in the first 7 innings but it all ended south with the bullpen as they lost 4-3 somehow. Next up was the Rockies ML +135 (live). I normally stay away from bad teams, but MLB is exception. They led the entire game until the 8th inning. It wasn't a smart bet, but it was one they should have won. So I am fine with that outcome. The lynx was up next at 8 and it was one I do regret. As they lose by 15 to the Sun in the WNBA

As bettors, we are always looking to get our money back and that why Vegas loves us! Unless, we get hot and that exactly what happened next! First, I went Tigers/Dodgers under 8.5. Banger. Followed it up on Thursday with Brewers ML, as you would expect it was easy money. Then of course it was football on Thursday and it was an no doubter. As I placed 3 single bets on Georgia state spread of +7.5. I loved Georgia state so much I put a 4th one together with 49ers -9.5. 

We are gonna try to keep the momentum going into Friday night and then onto Saturday massive slate of games! As a bettor, it doesn't get much better than this! There's a lot of good games on Saturday and we are gonna try to feast before NFL Sunday Week 3 starts. If we play our cards right, then we can have a really good weekend! 

Let's roll into Week 4 betting predictions!

Wisconsin vs Purdue, 7 pm Friday 

I don't love Wisconsin, I just don't. They have a great backfield and good blocking offensive line. But this new offense really haven't taken off as many were hyping them up to be under their new coach. Now, they are 2-1 which is good. But problem is, they have gotten off to poor starts in every single game this season. I think part of it is because their defense really hasn't lived up to the expectations, either. It is an all-around issue on both sides of the ball.

Purdue hasn't been good at all this season, especially on defense side of the ball. I am not concerned about the offense as they have been able to score points. That is not the problem here by any means. I do have a concern about them turning the ball over, though. If they lose the turnover battle on Friday night, I really don't give them much of a chance of winning this game. If they want to beat Badgers for the first time in last 17 games, then they will have to be perfect. They will need to create some turnovers and stop the run. Then be able to effective move the ball

Personally, I can't take Purdue in Friday's night game. Even on the spread, I think 5.5 is not enough points for me to feel comfortable. I think if you combine that with 16 straight losses to the Badgers, I don't want any part of the Boilermakers! Now, I don't want any part of Wisconsin on the spread, either. They haven't proven to me that they can trusted by any means. They will win this football game, but there is only one play I am comfortable with in this matchup!

Recommendation: Badgers Money Line 

Air Force vs San Jose State, 10:30 pm Friday   

This battle between these two teams are two teams that have scheduled their opponents vastly different so far. San Jose St picked a tougher schedule with the likes of USC and Oregon st in the first couple games, while Air Force have played the likes of Utah State and Robert Morris. So the question becomes, are we sure Air Force should be the favorites here? I think the answer is zero question! In betting, we look at three things. If they are the favorite, we look how they played lesser talented teams. In Air Force's case, they have dogwalked all 3 teams they played. Bad teams don't do that. Next, we look at the opponent. What do they do well and what do they don't well? Well, I think San Jose state has the best QB in their conference. Chevan Cordeiro is a fun and exciting player, overall I think he has done a fine job. Even with the tough schedule so far, I think he has done really well. I think the problem is San Jose state has allowed 175 rushing yards per game. That is a really big problem, though as Air Force is one of the nation's top rushing teams.

The third thing we look at is what does Air Force do well? There are two things that they will have advantage at in this game! The first (already mentioned) is that Air Force runs the ball extremely well. The second thing is they have a stellar defense. An defensive unit that performed very well in 2022 as well. So it isn't a fluke that the Falcons are looking sharp on defense side of the ball.  In betting, we know two things about this style of team. A run-first team is usually bad for unders and point spreads. In San Jose state's case, it is bad for their point spread. As Air Force will most likely drain the clock with the run game and limit the time that they have the ball. If this happens on Friday night, San Jose State will not cover this game. 

Personally, I am going with Air Force on the spread in this one. I think San Jose state has a capable offense and has done well vs the spread. But problem is, I just can't see them getting enough chances to keep it at a touchdown game!

Recommendation: Air Force -6

Have a question or comment? 

Email - Garrybriggs265@gmail.com

Twitter - @Garryy12

Thanks for reading, 

Site owner 

Garry Briggs