Wednesday, November 05, 2014

Fantasy Football Rankings (WK10)

Welcome to Timerssports

Fantasy Football Rankings -

Quarterbacks:

1. Peyton Manning
2. Aaron Rodgers
3. Phillip Rivers
4. Drew Brees
5. Matt Ryan
6. Matthew Stafford
7. Big Ben
8. Russell Wilson
9. Carson Palmer
10. Colin Kaepernick
11. Tony Romo
12. Jay Cutler
13. Andy Dalton
14. Joe Flacco
15. Cam Newton

Running Backs -

1. Demarco Murray
2. Marshawn Lynch
3. Matt Forte
4. Le'Veon Bell
5. LeSean McCoy
6. Jammal Charles
7. Andre Ellington
8. Eddie Lacy
9. Justin Forsett
10. Ronnie Hillman
11. Jeremy Hill
12. Frank Gore
13. Bobby Rainey
14. Lamar Miller
15. Steven Jackson

Wide Receivers -

1. Antonio Brown
2. Jordy Nelson
3. Demaryius Thomas
4. Randall Cobb
5. Julio Jones
6. Brandon Marshall
7. Dez Bryant
8. Emmanuel Sanders
9. Calvin Johnson**
10. Aj Green**
11. Jeremy Maclin
12. Calvin Benjamin
13. Larry Fitzgerald
14. Sammy Watkins
15. Golden Tate

Tight Ends -

1. Jimmy Graham
2. Julius Thomas
3. Antonio Gates
4. Martellus Bennett
5. Heath Miller
6. Larry Donnell
7. Greg Olsen
8. Travis Kelce
9. Jason Witten
10. Delanie Walker

**Players with recent injuries effect their value. Therefore I gave them a high ceiling , just in case.

Twitter - @WilliamFrang

Fantasy Nascar Picks (Phx)

Welcome to Timerssports

Texas Recap: Folks it wasn't very pretty , but despite Gordon finishing 29th. We actually looked very good. Especially in Yahoo with 291. But got to be bitter when a late caution comes out and ruins a very high score. Needless to say that's racing.

Phoenix look ahead: Phoenix will be quite interesting! Not only for the racers on the track , but for players as well. Doesn't matter what you do , the outcome isn't in our hands. And I have a feeling the craziness isn't over yet.

Overall Rankings-

Yahoo: 350th (99th Percentile)

Fantasy Live: 383th (99th Percentile)

Yahoo -

A:

Start: Kevin Harvick (1)

Bench: Jeff Gordon (1)

Reason: Harvick was stupid fast all day Saturday. No doubt in my mind he will win. Gordon being saved for Homestead.

B:

Start: Joey Logano (2) , Denny Hamlin (1)

Bench: Brad Keselowski(1) , Jamie Mac (3)

Reason: Pretty easy decisions overall. Hamlin starts on the pole and I have two Logano(s) to only one Keselowski. I thought Keselowski was a little better though.

C:

Start: Austin Dillon (1)

Bench: Kyle Larson (1)

Reason: I honestly think this is the right call. The position differential won't be huge in my opinion. Larson I think will be more useful at Honestead.

Fantasy Live - Harvick , Logano , Keselowski, Annett and Sorenson

Dark Horse - Kyle Busch

Race Winner - Kevin Harvick

Twitter - @MattAleza

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits (WK10)

Welcome to TimersSports

***Scoring format: CBS Sports

Starts-

Quarterbacks:

Big Ben - Big Ben been absolutely on fire with 12 TDs in the past two games! And boy I don't think he done quite yet. As the Jets have allowed the most fantasy points to Quarterbacks per game this season (26.6). Including 24 TDs in 9 games.

Matt Ryan - Matty-Ice is coming off a nice outing two weeks ago against Detroit. I really like him going forward. In week 10 , Ryan get a very favorable matchup. Tampa bay have allowed the 5th most fantasy points per game to Quarterbacks (23.7).

Carson Palmer - Palmer is having a very good season. Definitely not getting enough respect for being a reliable option. Including throwing multi-Touchdowns in every game this season played. He ranked 6th among all QBs with 23.6 points per game. The Rams have allowed the most 9th fantasy points per game (21.6).

Running Backs:

Ronnie Hillman- Hillman have been very productive since Montee Ball have gone down. Including 4 straight double digits points games. Hillman is the 20th ranked running back. Oakland have allowed the 2nd most fantasy points per game to running backs (24.2).

Marshawn Lynch- Lynch is coming off one of his best games of the 2014 season. Now he get another great matchup against the terrible Giants run defense who have allowed the 5th most fantasy points per game to running backs (21.9).

Justin Forsett- Forsett is having a very good season. He a legit RB2 option unquestionably. Yet people aren't giving him enough respect in my opinion. In week 10 , Justin get the Titans. The Titans have allowed the 7th most fantasy points per game (21.7). Forsett is the 9th best running back after 9 games.

Wide Receivers:

Kelvin Benjamin- Carolina haven't been great so far this season , but Benjamin have definitely been a strong point for them. In week 10 , Benjamin will face the Philadelphia defense. The Eagles have allowed the 3rd most fantasy points per game against Wide Outs (27.7).

Larry Fitzgerald- Since the return of Carson Palmer , Fitzgerald have shown significant improvement in productive. Including at least 70 receiving yards in all but one game since Palmer returned. Fitz have scored twice in the past 4 games. While topping 50 yards 4 of the past 5 games. The Rams have allowed the 7th most fantasy points per game (25.8).

Jeremy Maclin- Maclin should remains to be one of the hottest wide outs in the league. In week 10 , Maclin is facing the Carolina defense who allowed the 8th most fantasy points per game (24.9). He should be started despite Nick Foles being injuried.

Tight Ends:

Heath Miller: Miller is having a nice season overall. As he is the 14th ranked Tight End with 5.6 points per game in 2014. The Jets have allowed the 2nd most fantasy points per game (12.5). Miller success should continue against the Jets.

Larry Donnell- The young Tight End finally reached the end zone in week 9. Of course we all remember his epic 3 TD performance. Well we are unlikely to see that again. But the Seahawks defense will definitely be a nice matchup to pounce on. Seahawks have allowed the 3rd most fantasy points per game to Tight Ends (11.7).

Sits -

Quarterbacks:

Joe Flacco- Flacco is like the lottery. You have to get really lucky to get the big pay day. Just look at his numbers. Most of his weekly scores are 15 points and below. The the other few are 30 and below. Absolutely nothing in between. The Titans have allowed the 7th fewest fantasy points per game to Quarterbacks (18.2).

Eli Manning- Manning is a questionable play this week. The Seahawks defense  aren't the unstoppable force of 2013 , but they are still pretty against Quarterbacks. The Seahawks have allowed the 8th fewest fantasy points per game to this position. Eli Manning been inconsistent all season. Hard to say which Eli will show up.

Ryan Tannehill- Tannehill is the 11th ranked Quarterback among all QBs (in total fantasy points). To some that come a shocker. Nevertheless he have a very unfavorable matchup vs the Lions. Lions have allowed the fewest fantasy points per game to Quarterbacks (14.3).

Running Backs:

Tre Mason- Mason have quickly grabbed the top role within the Rams running game. But its could be a very difficult afternoon for Mason come Sunday. Arizona have been stout against the run. They allowed DeMarco Murray only 79 yards rushing! That's impressive. They have allowed the 2nd fewest fantasy points per game to running backs (12.4). There better options then Mason.

Lamar Miller- Miller is having a nice season for a change. Which is good to see. But his matchup in week 10 is unfavorable vs the Lions. The Lions have allowed the 10th fewest fantasy points per game to running backs (15.6). Miller ranked among the top 10 of all running backs. Also Miller is coming off a minor injury in week 9.

Wide Receivers:

Mike Wallace- Wallace usually a solid bet to produce points. But the Lions have allowed the 2nd fewest fantasy points to Wide Outs per game in 2014 (16.6). Wallace could have a good points day vs Lions , but it may be unlikely though.

Odell Beckham Jr- The talented rookie is having a very solid season. Unfortunately week 10 looks pretty unfavorable against the Seahawks. The Seahawks have allowed the fewest fantasy points to Wide Outs per game (16.4). There better choices out there despite the potential a talented guy like Beckham brings every week. 

Tight Ends:

Greg Olsen- Olsen is having a nice season so far , but his productive is on the decline lately. And his week 10 matchup is very unfavorable against the Eagles. The Eagles have allowed the fewest fantasy points per game (4.4). There better choices out there honestly.

Vernon Davis- Davis is having a pretty inconsistent season at best. The productive level isn't there due to the the talent around him. Just another reason why I wouldn't start him. Of the Saints been pretty tough on Tight Ends as well. They have allowed the 2nd fewest fantasy points per game (4.6).

**All stats from FFToday

Links to previous Starts/Sits -

Starts/Sit - Week 1

Start/Sits - Week 2

Starts/Sits - Week 3

Starts/Sits - Week 4

Starts/Sits - Week 5

Starts/Sits - Week 6

Starts/Sits - Week 7

Starts/Sits - Week 8

Starts/Sits- Week 9

Twitter - Matt Aleza

Tuesday, November 04, 2014

Fantasy Nascar Early Rankings

Welcome to TimersSports

Early Rankings -

1. Kevin Harvick
2. Joey Logano
3. Brad Keselowski
4. Jeff Gordon
5. Kyle Busch
6. Jimmie Johnson
7. Denny Hamlin
8. Ryan Newman
9. Carl Edwards
10. Dale Jr
11. Kyle Larson
12. Matt Kenseth
13. Jamie Mac
14. Kasey Kahne
15. Clint Bowyer
16. Tony Stewart
17. Kurt Busch
18. Greg Biffle
19. Brian Vickers
20. Paul Menard
21. Austin Dillon
22. Marcos Ambrose
23. Martin Truex Jr
24. Aj Dinger
25. Justin Alliager
26. Aric Almirola
27. Casey Mears
28. Danica Patrick
29. Ricky Stenhouse jr
30. Reed Sorenson

Twitter - @MichelleRizzo5

Fantasy Nascar Sleepers & Busts

Welcome to TimersSports

We are headed to Phoenix Raceway! Site of race 35 of 36 races in the 2014 season. I have a feeling the craziness isn't over not even close. For us fantasy folks , sleepers & busts are bigger then ever. Some of you are one bad pick away from destroying your championship hopes completely. So make your picks carefully. In fact , I have suggests below!

Sleepers:

Martin Truex Jr: Everyone have their own philosophy in fantasy racing. Mine happens to be riding trendy sleepers. For the first 24 races it was Paul Menard. Last 11 races it been MTJr. Truex been one of the best surprises in the 2014 chase. His consistent finishes have made him a nice asset to any team. Unfortunately very few people are talking about him. I cannot understand that logic. The last flat track we visited was Martinsville. Before Danica punted him , Truex was running top 10. I like him for least a top 15.

Kyle Busch: Hate on him all you want , but you got to admit he heck of a driver. I mean most of us wrote him off months ago. But nope , he keeps on knocking out solid finishes. Phoenix a pretty good track for Rowdy as well. He only have led the 2nd most laps , 4th best driving rating , 5th best average finish since March 2012 here. Few weeks ago , he finished 11th at Martinsville with a top 10 car.

Cole Whitt: Pretty sure 99.9% of you don't have the stones to start Cole Whitt. But worth mentioning , Whitt finished 27th at Phoenix in the spring and 18th at Martinsville recently. Small sample size , but for those dare devils out there here your man. Lets see who respond to the challenge.

Busts -

Matt Kenseth: Not typically high on Kenseth this week. Since 2012 , Kenseth have only one top 10 at PIR! Strangely have a decent average finish (13.80). So doesn't mean Matt terrible at Phoenix. But 5 races is a large sample size to suggest he isn't a top 10 option for PIR. Am I saying he cannot be a top 10 option this week? No of course not. To me making fantasy picks is a probability. Matt's probability suggests it unlikely.

Greg Biffle: Starting to feel guilty about listing the RFR cars on the bust list so much , but most of the races this year they have finished better then actual should have. I cannot name a race when the RFR cars finished worst then they actual were. Biffle probably been the most unpredictable of the three RFR cars. So far in the chase , he been all over the board. This dude pretty unstable. I would want a more consistent option in my fantasy pick. Also his 45% selected as of Tuesday morning way too high on Yahoo. I can name least 5 guys with less %'s selected with more upside and potential value. 

Twitter - @Gbriggs12

Sunday, November 02, 2014

Its Racing Folks & I Love It

Welcome to TimersSports

We all know what happened on Sunday Afternoon which once again have something to with former Cup Champ Brad Keselowski. This time he got into 4-time champ Jeff Gordon which cause a huge brawl after the race was finished.

I thought about putting my opinion out on Twitter Sunday evening , but decided it would make a great article instead. Remember this is a "opinion". Meaning there no right or wrong answers.

Here mine: Majority of the tweets I have read were basically saying Brad Keselowski a dipshit for wrecking Jeff Gordon. Did he really wreck him? I mean , I would not call what Brad did wrecking. More rubbing then anything.

Secondly , Brad didn't do anything wrong. Gordon went high and Brad take the opportunity any other racer would have. Gordon came back down to block it and the results are Gordon getting damage. How is that Keselowski fault? He just have as much rights to go for the win as Gordon. This in my view was just racing.

If you watch racing back in the 80s and 90s , this sort thing was pretty normal. Big reason I fell in love with the sport. I loved the idea of two individuals beating and banging on each other. And really not giving a damn on the outcome. To me that's real racing. They aren't being paid to make friends. They are paid to race. If that means being aggressive , then so be it. If you want to see two guys be friends , you're in the wrong sport. At end of the day , I think there fault on both sides. Brad may have been a little too aggressive. But Gordon leaving the door of opportunity open was on him.

I myself was once a full time racer (semi retired now) , so I definitely can relate to both sides. I been in Gordon position and Keselowski. In heat of the moment , as a driver you're have so much passion you don't think.

I remember a race at Wangton speedway (1998) , and I got in a similar situation. I slided up high in the turn and the guy behind drove it in deep. We both made contact into the next turn which resulted in both of us wrecking down the the backstench. I thought the dude potentially got into me. His view of it was completely different though.

My point being , as drivers we don't always see from the same vantage point. Our own personal feelings get in the way and we don't handle the situation properly.

Honestly this is the best thing for our sport right now. Slowly but surely , Nascar have losted the fans interest. The latest events on the racetrack have gave the fans a reason to watch more intensely. If you're not excited about the final two races , then there something wrong.

Twitter - @JeffNathans

Fantasy Nascar Preview (Phx)

Welcome to TimersSports

Crazy Texas race we had! Everyone was complaining about it being boring after 200 laps. Well Nascar gave the fans a ending to remember alright! Lets not get into that since this is about fantasy nascar. Instead lets focus on the task at hand out west. Phoenix is one of three tracks I have never attended a Cup race at (I raced here a few times though.) Anyhow Phoenix is a relatively  short race track (1 mile in length.) Mainly compared with Martinsville and Richmond. Due to their similarities. Even though they all three are different in length and have their differences. Big reason I love using past track data. Instead of comparing tracks.

1-Jamie Mac: JMac looked average in practice at Texas and sneaked out a top 5. Way to go , JMac! His Phoenix record doesn't stand out , but JMac is having a solid chase thus far. Earlier this year , he had a top 10 potential car in practice and finish 15th (I started him so trust me.) Over the past 5 races here , JMac have compiled 22.0 average finish , 1 Top 10 , 2 Top 10s , 2 laps led and 71.3 driver rating. JMac should be a top 15 car with top 10 potential upside.

My Early Overall  Ranking: 12th

2-Brad Keselowski: Yeah I probably wouldn't touch him at Phoenix. I mean Jeff Gordon is ridiculously pissed! At 1 miler like Phoenix , revenge is pretty easy. Nevertheless he should be fast unquestionably. Over the past 5 races here , BK have compiled 5.8 average finish , 3 Top 5s , 4 Top 10s , 5 Top 20s , 59 laps led and 112.9 driver rating. He easily an top 5 guy going in.

My Early Overall Ranking: 3rd

3-Austin Dillon: Dillon is like a younger version of Matt Kenseth. He's all about consistency. Never display his full hand until raceday. Usually Dillon races better then he practices. All year he have done that. Expect no different this week.

My Early Overall Ranking: 20th

4-Kevin Harvick: Harvick is headed to his own personal playground! Since the repave , Harvick been..well just dominated! He made the field look silly back in March. Its will be tough to repeat though. Over the past 5 races here , Harvick have compiled an 3.8 average finish , 3 wins , 4 Top 5s , 4 Top 10s , 5 Top 20s , 397 laps led and 129.1 driver rating. Just impressive numbers. He basically been unstoppable in the past three races. I bet he makes that four this week.

My Early Overall Rank: 1st

5-Kasey Kahne: What the hell was Kahne doing at Texas? He was looking good then suddenly he the cause of back-to-back cautions. Sums up his season and his time at Hendrick MotorSports. There absolutely no reason he should on your radar. Especially at Phoenix. Average at best record here.

My Early Overall Ranking: 16th

10-Danica Patrick: Yeah I wasn't impressed at Texas by Danica. Honestly Phoenix may not get much better. She mightily struggled earlier this year in March. Shorter racetracks seems to be a weak point for her anyhow. Not expecting nothing more then a top 25.

Early Overall Ranking: 24th

11-Denny Hamlin: Hamlin to me was better before the repave. He finished 19th in March. Big reason for that was his how bad his car was on the long run. Even before , Hamlin just haven't been his dominating self. Over the past 5 races here , Hamlin have compiled 10.6 average finish , 1 win , 3 Top 5s , 3 Top 10s , 4 Top 20s , 125 laps led and 99.2 driver rating.

My Early Overall Ranking: 8th

16-Greg Biffle: Biffle was not that good at Texas until late in the race when he got some additional track position. Anyhow earlier this season , the Biff was just terrible. At best an 20th place car. But manage to gain some track position late. Over the past 5 races here , the Biff have compiled 11.4 average finish , 1 Top 5 , 2 Top 10s , 5 Top 20s , 40 laps led and 85.1 driver rating.

My early Overall Ranking: 19th

18-Kyle Busch: Rowdy who blew a tire in middle of the race and went a lap down finished 4th. Crazy to think outside of Talladega , Rowdy have only one finish outside of top 10. Which is 11th. Consistency folks! Phoenix is another good track for Rowdy. Was about a top 10 car earlier this season in March. Over the past 5 races here , Rowdy have compiled 9.6 average finish , 1 Top 5 ,  4 Top 10s , 4 Top 20s , 289 laps led and 103.8 driver rating. He is a great sleep with major upside. There aren't too many out there with that fantasy outlook at Phoenix.

My Early Overall Ranking: 6th

20-Matt Kenseth: I don't know how many realize it , but Kenseth finished 25th at Texas. He running top 5 until the late race incident up front. Phoenix been a questionable track for him. Over the past 5 races here , MK have compiled 13.8 average finish , 1 Top 10 , 4 Top 20s , 1 lap led and 90.3 driver rating. Kenseth needs a good run at Phoenix.

My Early Overall Ranking: 11th

22-Joey Logano: Logano was (in January) and still is my championship pick. Back in March , Logano had a top 5 car and eventually finished there. Never had a winning potential car. But nevertheless was strong all day long. I expect a similar performance this time as well. Over the past 5 races here , JoLo have compiled 15.2 average finish ,1 Top 5 , 3 Top 10s , 3 Top 20s , 104 laps led and 95.8 driver rating. I got him top 5 heading in.

My Early Overall Ranking: 4th

24-Jeff Gordon: I feel for Gordon and his fans. A championship shot was ripped out of their hands. But he isn't completely doomed fortunately. Its anyone game at Phoenix. At least three drivers gets in on points. Assuming a chaser wins at Phoenix. Gordon been decent here. Over the past 5 races here , JG have compiled 13.2 average finish , 1 Top 5 , 3 Top 10s , 4 Top 20s , 54 laps led and 100.1 driver rating. Gordon should be heavily considered as a favorite. He tested here recently and people have said the 24 was stupid fast during the testing.

My Early Overall Ranking: 2nd

27-Paul Menard: Menard is literally a blank slate. You cannot ever tell how good he is until the checkers wave. But it so Paul Menard. I am not high on Paul though. He recorded only 1 Top 10 on flats in 2014. Not something I want in a fantasy pick. I think he's about a top 20 option with top 15 upside.

My Early Overall Ranking: 18th

31-Ryan Newman: Newman keeps on knocking off solid finishes. Its been impressive! Texas 15th was one of worst since the chase started. But earlier this year at Phoenix ,Newman was very strong and finished 7th. I think he back that up and maybe more. Over the past 5 races here , Newman have compiled 16.6 average finish , 1 Top 5 , 3 Top 10s , 3 Top 20s , 42 laps led and 81.1 driver rating. Newman is much better at Phoenix then the number suggests. I consider Phoenix to be Newman best track or least one of them.

My Early Overall Ranking: 9th

42-Kyle Larson: Larson didn't get to VL at Texas , but added another top 10 to his already impressive rookie season. This kid is something special. He is a younger version of Kyle Busch. Super talented with the willingness to win. He gonna win a lot in the next 20 years. Shorter tracks aren't his strong suit though.

My Early Overall Ranking: 14th

48-Jimmie Johnson: Johnson is coming off a win at Texas! Who seen that coming after a terrible Martinsville? Yep exactly. Phoenix is a good track for Johnson. This was his personal playground before the repave. But been less then dominated since. Over the past 5 races here , Johnson have compiled 9.4 average finish , 3 Top 5s , 4 Top 10s , 4 Top 20s , 57 laps led and 111.6 driver rating. He should be a great option this week. Top 5 heading in.

My Early Overall Ranking: 5th

88-Dale Jr: Dale may be eliminated from championship contention , but he keeps on having good runs. Like I thought he would. Earlier this season at Phoenix , Dale Jr was extremely strong. Had the second best car overall. Only one who could keep up with Harvick. I don't think he repeats it though. Over the past 5 here , Dale have compiled 9.2 average finish , 3 Top 5s , 3 Top 10s , 4 Top 20s , 49 laps led and 94.8 driver rating. Dale should be a nice asset to any team this week.

My Early Overall Ranking: 7th

99-Carl Edwards: Edwards looked lost at Texas , but somehow managed score a top 10. Props to him. Carl always been good at Phoenix , but is no longer in a dominating ride (least for a few more races.) Honestly I could see Edwards scoring a top 10 , but realistically I say a top 15 option. Over the past 5 races here , Edwards have compiled 11.6 average , 1 win , 1 Top 5 , 2 Top 10s , 4 Top 20s , 159 laps led and 95.9 driver rating.

My Early Overall Ranking: 13th

***All stats from Driver Averages

Also check out: Nascar Behind The Wall. Great site. Great stuff.

Twitter - @JeffNathans