Saturday, September 24, 2016

Fantasy Nascar Picks (New Hampshire)

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We are headed to New Hampshire this weekend for the 2nd race of the chase. This is a pretty short 300 mile race, at short flat racetrack. You cannot make a mistake here, otherwise you are in for a long day. Also having a fast car here doesn't really mean much. You can have a fast car, but it won't matter if you don't have track position. This place more than any other track, depends heavily on track position. I don't care, I will take track position all day long over having the fastest car from mid-pack. And don't forget about this usually a fuel-mileage race. Remember, last season that Harvick dominated this race and ran out of fuel with a couple laps to go. Anything can happen! Alright, let's get started!

Picks -

A:

Start - Denny Hamlin (8)

Bench - Kyle Busch (4)

Reasons - Tough choices this week in A. Everyone at JGR looks awful strong and it came down to qualifying results for me. Hamlin probably has the car to beat headed into the race, or least one of hte cars to beat. Busch will be in contention as well.


B:

Start - Kasey Kahne (6), Carl Edwards (3)

Bench - Ryan Newman (1), Jamie Mac (4)

Reasons -Much like A, it is a tough week for fantasy choices. All 4 options in B starts inside the top 10. So start with the pole sitter in Carl Edwards. The plan was to save him this week, but JGR looks strong and they have lost their edge of late on the intermediate tracks. Will there be a better spot to use him? I don't know. If my answer is uncertain, I am using him and getting my points right now. Who to pair him with? Tough, because you could realistically make the case for all three. Newman starts 3rd, but I am not convinced he will finish inside the top 12. Also I have only 1 start left, so I will save him. Especially since I have 4 great options this week. Might need him at another track. So Jamie Mac or Kahne. Jamie is more consistent, but not sure if the speed is there on the long runs. Kahne starts a couple spots further back, but he has more speed. Kahne also 3 straight Top 10 finishes and that's a ton of momentum on his end. I want to use Kahne, when I know he's hot. The time is now to use him!

C:

Start - Chase Elliott (4)

Bench - Ryan Blaney (3)

Reasons - As much as I would like to save my remaining 24 starts, I don't think the 21 car will that good on Sunday. Elliott looks like a top 15 guy and will have a shot at the top 10, too. Blaney, not so much.

Fantasy Live -4,18,78,23,34

Sleeper - AJ Dinger

Winner -Martin Truex Jr

Twitter - @MattAleza

Fantasy Nascar Final Rankings (New Hampshire)

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Final Rankings -

1. Martin Truex Jr
2. Matt Kenseth
3. Denny Hamlin
4. Carl Edwards
5. Kyle Busch
6. Kevin Harvick
7. Jimmie Johnson
8. Brad Keselowski
9. Joey Logano
10. Kyle Larson
11. Kurt Busch
12. Kasey Kahne
13. Ryan Newman
14. Jamie Mac
15. Tony Stewart
16. Austin Dillon
17. Chase Elliott
18. Paul Menard
19. Greg Biffle
20. Ryan Blaney
21. AJ Dinger
22. Aric Almirola
23. Alex Bowman
24. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
25. Trevor Bayne
26. Danica Patrick
27. Chris Buescher
28. Casey Mears
29. David Ragan
30. Landon Cassill

Twitter - @MattAleza

Fantasy Nascar Update (New Hampshire)

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Fantasy Nascar Update -


A:

1. Denny Hamlin - All of the JGR Toyotas has looked very strong this weekend and it is led by the 11 of Denny Hamlin. In practice on Saturday, very few drivers looked better than him overall. His lap times were consistency solid and he will start from the 5th position. Hamlin also has a lot of momentum with 9 straight Top 10 finishes currently. Hamlin record at New Hampshire isn't too bad, either. Over the past 5 races here, he has posted 3 Top 9 finishes. In 21 career starts, he has 10.1 average finish overall. What makes me really like him is, he was extremely strong back at Richmond. The most recent short flat racetrack, we had visited. At New Hampshire, it is also important to start up front as well. I think him starting inside the top 5 will huge, since he seems to have a pretty strong racecar! Headed into the race, I view him as one of the favorites and should be on everyone's short list to win.

My Overall Ranking: 1st

2. Matt Kenseth - Kenseth has finished 6 of the past 7 races at New Hampshire inside the top 10 and has 3 wins during that timespan. He's one of the most reliable and consistent finishers at this place. He won the last time, we were here in July. Then, he came to Richmond and had about the 2nd or at times the 3rd-best car before finding the wall. In practice, I thought Kenseth had top 5 to top 7 good speed. However, I don't think he was quite as good as Hamlin, Busch, Harvick and Truex. I would even add Edwards to that list as well. One thing, we know about Kenseth is, he rarely shows his full hand in practice. If he looks top 10 in practice, then he certainly will be a factor on raceday. I fully expect the 20 car to be a top 5 contender on Sunday afternoon.

My Overall Ranking: 3rd

3. Kyle Busch - I think Busch or Harvick could get the 3rd ranking in this tier of drivers, but I am going with Busch because of starting position. Rowdy will start from the 12th spot and he will be a heavily contender on Sunday afternoon. The 18 car was strong in both practice sessions on Saturday and was top 5 good in my opinion. He only posted the 8th-best single lap, but he's much better than that. If you were following his lap times, you can tell how strong he was. In second-half of final practice, he posted an solid 22-lap run to end the session. He was very strong. Started out in the 28.80s and ended in 29.60s. That's very strong overall! Good short run and good long run speed. If you are good on both of those, then you are going to go to the front and stay up there on a long run. If you have Kyle Busch available to as a fantasy pick, then you need to start use. He led a ton of laps back in July, but faded in the final laps. This is a strong racetrack for the 18 team and they looked very good on Saturday. I expect a top 5 run out of him on Sunday afternoon!

My Overall Ranking: 4th

4. Kevin Harvick - Harvick is already in a hole during the chase and will have to overcome another one this weekend, as he qualified 19th for Sunday's race. I am not worried about him though. He has qualified poorly often throughout the year and it haven't been much of a issue for him overall. In practice, he looked strong on the long runs as usual. He was very consistent on the long runs and that's usually a very good thing at New Hampshire. If you can post consistent strong lap times on a lap run, then you are going to be in great shape. Especially with how tough passing is here. The 4 car should be considered one of the cars to beat. He posted the 2nd-best Ten lap average in final practice and 9th-best lap overall. If we are talking about performance on the shorter-flat tracks, then Harvick is a must-have. As he has finished inside the top 5 at every race on this type of track in 2016. No other driver in the series has accomplished this feat. Earlier this season, Matt Kenseth won from the 18th starting spot. Harvick will roll off from a spot further back.

My Overall Ranking: 5th

5. Jimmie Johnson - Johnson and the HMS Chevy all are looking very strong, much like they did last weekend. However, I don't think they are as good as the JGR Toyotas or Kevin Harvick though. With that said, I think they will have the edge on the 1.5 milers coming up as they did last weekend. As for this weekend, Johnson has looked capable of being a top 5 driver. The 48 car was fast off of the truck and will start from the 4th spot. Johnson still haven't proven to me, he can finish out races of late. However, if he can finish well at New Hampshire, he will on my radar much more often in the near future. Headed into the race, I view him as a high-end top 10 pick. More specifically, I see an finish from 5th-8th place most likely.

My Overall Ranking: 6th

B:

1. Martin Truex Jr - Truex Jr has been one of the most popular fantasy options in fantasy nascar for over a month now and he raised his stock this weekend with an strong 2nd place qualifying effort. In practice, he was top 5 good and will be very tough to beat in the race. Drivers who starts up front will typically lead a lot of laps. It all about picking the right one for fantasy nascar and I think that driver name is Martin Truex Jr. He has led in 4 straight races, including at the most recent short-flat racetrack. Even more important, Truex Jr has had the best car in the two most recent races on this type of track. The JGR cars are all very strong, so no suprise that their ally in the 78 camp is just as good. I would even say, he is better than a couple of them. Heck if he get out front, then this could be a long day for the entire field. He also has a lot of momentum currently, when you are looking at the past month or so. With 4 of the past 6 races ending in 7th or better, dating back to Watkins Glenn. In fact, the past three races he has finished 3rd or better. I view Truex as a heavy favorite and might just run away from the field, if he is given the chance!

My Overall Ranking: 2nd

2. Carl Edwards - Edwards will start from the pole and should be at least a top 5 fantasy pick headed into the race. Edwards has been strong since unloading and to nobody suprise he is starting up front. Last time at New Hampshire, he was a major disappointment after hanging in the teens for most of the day. But, I get the feeling this weekend will be different. The speed was there for him in July for pracitce as well, but he didn't start up front. I think him having track position will be a big difference for him. He has the speed, as he topped the ten-lap average in final practice. Having the best ten-lap average, doesn't really mean much at New Hampshire. However, his lap times didn't fall off considerably to the competition on the long run either. So he should be in good shape and unless something crazy happens, he should be considered one of the top fantasy plays this weekend. As much as I think he has amazing potential from the pole, I think there is a lot of things working against him. Which hindered him in my overall rankings. Such as inconsistency of late and his recent lackluster performances on the shorter-flats. Headed into the race, I pin him just outside of the top 5. If he can go mistake free and hit his marks, then I think he easily could be one of the best fantasy plays this weekend.

My Overall Ranking: 7th

3. Kyle Larson - Kyle Larson has impressive short run speed, I don't think anyone was better. On his 20-lap long run towards end of final practice, his lap times were incredible. First 8 laps of the run ranged from low 28.70s to high 28.90s, after that he really started to dropped off though. Much like at Richmond (most recent short-flat track), Larson big issue will be on the long run. But he is in the ballpark on the long run though. Least somewhat in my opinion. I tracked his long run with Kyle Busch's in final practice. Mainly because they started their 20-laps runs around the same time. Larson ran 29.66 on his 15th lap and Busch ran an 29.60 on his 15th lap. Busch was far more consistent after 10 laps though. Larson lap times were dipping in and out of the 30-second range. When you are trying to get a good sense how good a driver is, compare him to a top driver. Based on what I has seen so far this weekend, I would say Larson is a top 10 driver. His long run speed is a bit concerning, but he been able to overcame that the past two races and ran top 10 in both races. No reason to think, he won't do it again on Sunday.

My Overall Ranking: 10th

4. Kasey Kahne - Kasey Kahne been very good this weekend and has shown good speed overall. The Hendrick cars showed up with good amount of speed the past couple weekends. The 5 car may have benefited from it the most. Johnson much like last weekend has the best car, but Kahne isn't too far behind him. I am honestly not shocked that the 5 car has looked good this weekend at New Hampshire. He ran top 15 earlier this season here and Hendrick isn't holding back from giving him quality racecars. Last time, Kahne finished worse than 20th was back in July at New Hampshire. Since, then he has finished mainly inside the top 15. Including 3 straight Top 10 finishes over his past 3 races. The 5 team is running better right now than he has in the past 12 months (imo), which isn't saying too much though. Headed into the race, I view Kahne as a top 15 driver with upside to possibly sneak off an 4th straight top 10 finish. He won't do it by running inside the top 5 or top 10 for the entire race, but sneak inside late in the race.

My Overall Ranking: 13th

5. Ryan Newman - This final ranking spot was tough because I could have put multiple drivers in this spot, but chase drivers like Dillon and JMac has not looked as good as I was expecting. Ryan Newman, however he had backed up his qualifying effort with good speed on Saturday morning. He wasn't nearly as good as his qualifying effort, but he is certainly capable of a top 15 finish though. Newman is a capable driver, when you give him a good car. This weekend, I say he is pretty capable. He has lost a lot of his fantasy value from earlier in the year, because he isn't as consistent anymore. So when a chance to get a top 15 finish out of him, you have to jump on it and make the most out of the opportunity. I think the biggest surprise this weekend is how much better, he has looked than chase driver Austin Dillon. Regardless, you can expect the usual from Newman. Fade until about 13th place or so, before getting comfortable. He is also a pretty good shorter-track driver. On twitter, he said the shorter tracks are his team's biggest strength. New Hampshire is considered a shorter-track.

C -

1. Chase Elliott - Elliott, much like his teammates has looked very good since unloaded. I honestly didn't think he would be as good as he has been this weekend. I thought he was alright on Friday and in the morning session on Saturday. He improved a ton in final practice though. In fact, he posted the 7th-best ten lap average in final practice and posted the 11th-best ten-lap average as well. He looked quite good on the long runs. Back in July, he was running top 10 good before that problem with Alex Bowman in the final 30 laps or so. I am not nearly as high on him as I was last weekend, but I definitely don't hate him either though. Headed into the race, I view him as top 15 fantasy option with the usual obvious upside.

My Overall Ranking: 14th

2. Ryan Blaney - Blaney has looked okay this weekend I guess. I haven't been blown away by him though. He been kinda disappointing so far overall for me. He finished and performed very well back in July. This time around, I get the feeling he won't be quite that good. Blaney will start from 16th and will have the potential to move up a few spots, but honestly his fantasy value isn't that high this week. Unless the 21 team make huge improvements, I see nothing beyond an 15th-place finish for him. He also been inconsistent, so I would save him if I were playing Yahoo Fantasy Racing. His fantasy value is also lackluster in most other major games. Simply because, he isn't really an asset with starting from 16th. Most games he is an asset in, is when he qualifies in the 20s or has a fast car.

My Overall Ranking: 18th

3. Alex Bowman - I am not really loving Bowman this weekend, like I am with his teammates. Bowman was very good back in July, when he fulled in for Dale Jr for the first time. This time around, I am not so sure. He could be very good and he will likely be better than I think. I view him as a top 20 option, but the 88 car been showing top 15 speed often this season. So I am willing to bet, he runs in the low teens at some point on Sunday's afternoon. Bowman will be most useful in Yahoo Fantasy Racing. Otherwise, I am not too crazy about him overall. Least not like I was expecting. Don't get me wrong, he will be a fine option when it is said and done.

My Overall Ranking: 20th

Twitter - @JeffNathans18

Wednesday, September 21, 2016

Fantasy Football Rankings (Week 3)

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Fantasy football Rankings (week 3) -

QuarterBacks -

1. Andrew Luck
2. Drew Brees
3. Matt Ryan
4. Aaron Rodgers
5. Phillip Rivers
6. Matthew Stafford
7. Cam Newton
8. Eli Manning
9. Big Ben
10. Carson Palmer
11. Derek Carr
12. Russell Wilson
13. Blake Bortles
14. Ryan Tannehill
15. Marcus Mariota
16. Joe Flacco
17. Ryan Fitzpatrick
18. Jameis Winston
19. Andy Dalton
20. Kirk Cousins
21. Alex Smith
22. Dak Prescott
23. Carson Wentz
24. Tyrod Taylor
25. Brock Osweiler

Running backs -

1. DeAngleo Williams
2. David Johnson
3. C.J Anderson
4. Matt Forte
5.  Ezekiel Elliott
6. Melvin Gordon
7. Lamar Miller
8. Eddie Lacy
9. LeSean McCoy
10. DeMarco Murray
11. Todd Gurley
12. Mark Ingram
13. LeGarrette Blount
14. Devonta Freeman
15. Spencer Ware
16. Frank Gore
17. Latavius Murray
18. Theo Riddick
19.  Isaiah Crowell
20. Charles Sims
21. Rashad Jennings
22. Gio Bernard
23. Christine Michael
24. Ryan Mathews
25. Tevin Coleman

Wide Receivers - 

1. Antonio Brown
2. Odell Beckham Jr
3. Julio Jones
4. Allen Robinson
5. Jordy Nelson
6. Alshon Jeffery
7. DeAndre Hopkins
8. Marvin Jones
9. Brandlin Cooks
10. Dez Bryant
11. Kevlin Benjamin
12. Brandon Marshall
13. Mike Evans
14. AJ Green
15. Jarvis Landry
16. Amari Cooper
17. Eric Decker
18. Larry Fitzgerald
19. Travis Benjamin
20. T.Y. Hilton 
21. Jordan Matthews
22. Randall Cobb
23. Jeremy Maclin
24. Stefon Diggs
25. Demaryius Thomas

Tight Ends -

1. Greg Olsen
2. Jordan Reed
3. Rob Gronkowski
4. Jason Witten
5. Antonio Gates
6. Travis Kelce
7. Eric Ebron
8. Dwayne Allen
9. Delaine Walker
10.Jacob Tamme
11. Dennis Pitta
12. Jesse James
13. Charles Clay
14. Julius Thomas
15. Gary Barnidge

Twitter - @WilliamFrang

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits (Week 3)

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Starts/Sits -

***CBS Sports Based scoring format

Starts -

QBs -

Matthew Stafford - Alright last week didn't go quite as planned against the Titans defense. But to be completely fair, Stafford was robbed by penalties. There were a series of 4 straight plays in which the Detroit's offense was penalized. No joke either. In fact, two times in the redzone which should have been Touchdowns on back-to-back plays. Both times, the offense was penalized. Of course couple series before, there was a dropped touchdown pass by Eric Ebron in corner of the endzone. Point being, Stafford stat-line should've way better. In week 3, he will face off against the Green Bay Packers. The Packers defense really struggled to stop Sam Bradford last week, and they are without their top defender in Sam Shields. The Packers has a very capable secondary, with Shields on the field. However, when he is not on the field. They seems to struggled more. As there is no leadership, with all of the inexperience in such as Rollins and Randall. Also, I expect a shootout between teams. I personally don't think defense will matter too much.

Matt Ryan - Matt Ryan is one of my favorite fantasy plays this in week 3. He has been awesome through two weeks. With 730 yards and 5 Touchdowns. Despite, his best weapon being a bit banged up with his ankle in Julio Jones. He is still finding ways to spread the ball around and getting strong production. Ryan struggled often last season because of a poor offensive line and I thought, how well they protected him would be a key factor in Ryan's success. Through two weeks of this season, he has produced 29.5 fantasy points. After two weeks in 2015, he only was able to average 20.5 fantasy points. In week 3, he get a juicy matchup against the New Orleans Saints defense. They held Eli Manning in check for the most, but he threw for nearly 350 yards. Trust me, the Saints defense won't be able to hold Ryan back too much. Unlike Manning, I doubt the Saints can stop Ryan from throwing touchdown passes. I expect 300+ yards and 1-2 Touchdown passes. It will be a strong stat-line on Monday night football!

Phillip Rivers - Rivers was awesome in week 2 vs the Jags, where he scored 4 touchdowns passes and 300+ yards. Things only get sweeter vs an extremely thin Indy secondary. During the Colts game, they at one point without 5 of their Cornerbacks. Five folks! That's ridiculous and it should only lead to good things for Phillip Rivers. He will be without two of his best offesive weapons in Allen and Woodhead, but there are plenty of balls to go around to likes of Williams, Gates and Benjamin. That's not even mentioning Melvin Gordon, who can also catch passes out of the backfield. Trust me, Rivers will light up this Colts' defense and it should lead to a solid afternoon for him this Sunday. I project him to throw for about 325-355 yards and multiple touchdowns passes.

RBs -

Melvin Gordon - Back before the season started, Melvin Gordon was getting drafted in most drafts after the 7 or 8 rounds. Heck, in one of my fantasy draft, he actually fell to the 10th round. I had to pick him up and boy has the upside been awesome. Through two weeks in 2015, he's posted 149 yards and 0 Touchdowns. In 2016 through two weeks, he has posted 158 yards and 3 Touchdowns. Big difference? Gordon is scoring touchdowns. He is also getting more carries as well, especially if Woodhead being out for the year. I thought before the woodhead news, he was already a top 15 fantasy back. In week 1, he rushed 16 times for 51 and two touchdowns. Then last week, he had a full workload and posted an 24 carries for 102 and a score stat-line. Can you expect the same volume of carries going forward? You bet. And he got three targets in last week's game. In fact in 2015, he was targeted 37 times in 14 games. It helps that, he is playing against the Colts. They had allowed the most fantasy points per game (34.6). In fact, they has already allowed nearly 500 total yards and 5 scores to running backs. Start Melvin Gordon!

DeMarco Murray - Murray is having a great start to season out of the Tennessee's backfield, even though some oof the damage with has been with catching passes. That doesn't matter because he is still getting a solid volume of carries through two games. In fact, he has 25 carries and 12 catches so far this season. Only DeAngelo Williams and T.J Yeldon has 20 carries and 10 catches in the first two weeks in 2016. He should continue to produce strong numbers vs the Raiders. The Raiders has allowed the 11th-most fantasy points through two weeks this season, with 20.0 fantasy points per game. David Johnson was able to run all over this Oakland defense. Murray isn't in as talented of an offense, but he will easily have opportunities to perform well this weekend. Especially with him getting on average 12.5 carries and 7 targets per game this season.

Eddie Lacy - Lacy has not been very productive so far this season with only 6.4 fantasy per game on 111 yards rushing and 0 touchdown. And the Lions statically from a far looks tough on running back this season,awhile allowing only 19.5 fantasy points per game. Okay a good point to avoid Lacy because those things aren't great combination for fantasy success. However, it is misleading. Lacy is a slow starter, he has been every single year he been in the league. So I am not concerned about it. He also faced a tough defense last week in the Vikings. Detroit's defensive numbers against the run is inflated in my opnion. The Colts didn't run the ball much to begin with, since they were playing from behind. However, in a tough ball game vs the Tennessee. DeMarco Murray ran for 89 yards on the ground with just 12 carries. That's a impressive 7.2 yac. Henry added 42 on 9 more carries. So 140 on the ground total and add about another 60 from catching passes. The Lions allowed 200 yards last week vs the Titans to running backs. James Starks will eat into Lacy's carries, but not enough for you to start your season's projected starter. Let's be honest, most fantasy teams out there cannot afford to bench this guy. Roll with Eddie Lacy this week!

Wide Receivers -

Marvin Jones - I am not a big believer in the Packers defense, even with Sam Shields they aren't that good. In fact, I was stunned to learn they were 4th in pass defense last season. This defensive unit always seems to give up big totals to opposing offenses. The Lions should take advantage of it this week, much like the Vikings were able to on Sunday night football. Expect them to pass very often in a high-scoring game, even if it wasn't, they will still pass the ball a lot. Face it, the Lions are a passing football team. They love to pass the ball and spread it around. However, Marvin Jones seems to be the go-to-guy in the Stafford-led offense. In week 1, Stafford targeted Jones a team-high 10 times. Last week? Again team-high in targets, while getting targeted 11 times on 8 catches. No touchdowns, but he is starting to pull away from the others in the Detroit offense. It's early, but he's might be the No.1 guy going. Any relevant player in this offense will rack up catches and yards. It will be no difference for Jones on Sunday vs Green Bay. This Packers secondary allowed 180+ yards vs Diggs, matter of days ago. Hard seeing them keeping the Lions receiving core in check all day. Jones should be started, without any question!

Jeremy Maclin -  Maclin wasn't super effective last week with only 6 catches for 68 yards, despite being targeted 15 times vs Houston. I think at lot of the miscues can be linked to Alex Smith being under pressure constantly. Through two weeks, Maclin is averaging 11 targets per game with 6.5 catches per game. He may not have turned those catches into much production (only 129 yards on 11 catches), but he is primed to have a breakout game this weekend vs the Jets. Revis Island has lost it touch through two games. In week 1, he was schooled by AJ Green. As he went off for 180+ yards and last week, he was beat twice deep downfield against the Bills. Through two games, the Jets has allowed the 2nd-most fantasy points per game (35.8). He should be in for a big day, espeiclaly since Jamaal Charles probably won't be available. Maclin is the clear number 1 option in the passing attack and he should be able to have around 6 to 8 catches. So far this season, he has 11 yards per catch. If he can add a touchdown to that, he should be an excellent backend No.2 / high-end No.3.

Travis Benjamin - There are plenty of unclaimed targets to go around from Allen and Woodhead, you can absolutely expect Benjamin to take a good portion of them. After Woodhead went down last week, Benjamin went off for 115 yards and 2 touchdowns from Quarterback Phillip Rivers. He's a must-play vs the Colts' defense as well. Indy was terrible vs the pass happy Lions and even was burned by the Broncos in week 2. I would make comparision to the Detroit, when looking for possible potential in what to expect. Let's be honest, this will be a high-scoring affair. I don't think either defense will be able to keep the other team in check for long. So passing the ball will be a common theme. I see the Chargers running the ball a lot too, but probably more in the first half though. Benjamin should be a major factor on Sunday, too. He's the No.1 guy, besides Gates. Benjamin should feast on the the worst pass defense through two weeks. Benjamin is probably a every week starter as a Wide out here on out, long as Phillip Rivers is passing the ball at a solid rate.

Tight Ends -

Antonio Gates - Look up above as I mentioned about Benjamin, Gordon and Rivers about the Colts' terrible defense. Last week, Gates only saw 5 targets but he still scored a touchdown. However, the game wasn't ever that close so he wasn't really needed. As Melvin Gordon ran the ball 24 times. A lot of those carries came in the second half as well. So the passing game wasn't really needed, therefore Gates didn't see too many looks. Against the Colts', I expect Gates to be much more involved. Let's be honest here, the Colts are a much better team (offensively) than the Jags are. So there will likely be a better chance for a shootout. In fantasy football, shootout usually a great thing to have. Gates should be one of the players who benefit from it. Gates is an elite fantasy option, who should be started. Headed into this matchup, Gates is an Tight-End 1-cablier option!

Delanie Walker - Walker was an afterthought in week 1, while only posting 42 yards. He bounces back in week 2, with 89 yards and a touchdowns vs the Lions. In week 3, he get a great matchup vs the Raiders. Personally, I expect the Titans to fall behind early in the game and have to battle back late in the game. Much like, they did vs Detroit. A big reason for his week 2 success, was because how much they were forced to pass the ball. Through two games, the Raiders has allowed the 4th-most fantasy points per game (12.4). This is a great matchup for Walker' owners and they should take advantage of it.

Sits -

Andy Dalton - Dalton had two games to start off the season, despite neither really being viewed as favorable. Nevertheless, he lit up the Jets secondary in week 1 and got some enough garbage time to produce good numbers. However in week 3, it will be his toughest challenge yet. He also could be without Star Wide out AJ Green (his wife is having a baby), who was shutdown by the Steelers. That's scary because the Broncos boosts a far better unit than the Steelers do. Just ask the Colts who were held under 200 yards through the air. No disrespect to Dalton, but Luck is a better all-around Quarterback. Personally, I find it diffcult to see any upside with Dalton this weekend. He has better matchups coming up too. In most leagues, I think there are better options to consider. As Dalton wasn't drafted as your starter. Unless you drafted in the 14th or 15th round. Keep Dalton on your bench.

Kirk Cousins - Cousins has struggled through two games this season. As he is currently producing as the 25th-best Quarterback in fantasy football. Through two games, he has only posted 30.6 fantasy points. Only 5 other Quarterbacks, who has played both games has less total fantasy points. He also is only one of 4 Quarterbacks currently who has less touchdowns to interceptions (1 touchdown, 3 interceptions). The other three are Robert Griffin III (injured), Jay Culter (Injured) and Trevor Siemian (Rookie). Not good company to have for Kirk. Now, he has a tough matchup against the Giants. The Giants' defense has significantly improved from last year and they are looking legit through two games. So far, they has allowed the 6th-fewest fantasy points (13.4) per game. In fact, they had allowed only 245 yards and 0.5 touchdowns per game so far.

Running Backs -

Todd Gurley - This is a questionable call here on Gurley. Like Eddie Lacy (up above), you are probably going to start him. Since, I doubt you have anyone else available better. Unless you drafted deep at RB. If you did, hear me out about sitting Gurley. He has a solid matchup vs Tampa Bay. But that doesn't mean anything though. He has struggled this season to run the ball. Sure last week, it was expected vs the Seahawks and the 49ers who knows. However, the problem is the Bucs will stack it up against the run all game long and force the Rams to pass. You are probably like, so what he's a great back. Yeah, but his offensive line isn't good and only has 98 yards rushing on 36 attempts. About 2.2 yac after the first hit. Even for Gurley that's terrible and he get hit a lot. I am not saying to sit him, but this is more of bust alert than anything. If you have him, chances are you are starting him.

Jeremy Hill - As much hate the likes of Gurley, Ingram, and Lacy has gotten, I am suprised nobody have start calling Hill out for his lack of production. I don't know, if there has been a worst fantsy back in football than Hill. Through two games, he has posted 53 total yards and one touchdown. That's an ugly stat-line, to surprise why Hill is heavily touchdown dependent to be an fantasy asset. To add a further to his Hill's owners, Gio Benard had more snaps and was far more production. On top of that, he has a tough matchup vs the Broncos. The Bengals will likely have to get away from the run early and be forced to pass. That will favor Gio once again, Hill's owners. Just bench least until next week and even then I am not sold on him. Very disappointing year for Hill, after looking vastly improved in the training camp and preseason.

Wide Receivers -

Sammy Watkins - I was probably a little too hard on Sammy's Quarterback (Tyrod Taylor), but my prediction on Sammy was spot on though. Watkins struggled most of the night to get open and only posted about 20 yards, despite being targeted 6 times. Late in the game, he had a chance to on a deep ball that was interception but couldn't get there in time. Sammy is still dealing that injury from a couple weeks ago, and probably doing better now. However, it not unrealistic to think it still bothering him. It didn't really ever affect him in week 2, so it not a concern. However, it is concerning that he will be covered by Patrick Peterson though. Just bench Sammy this week and hope the fantasy production shows signs of life in the future.

Golden Tate - I wasn't very high on Golden Tate heading into the season, I thought he had great promise but would be the 2nd-fliddle to Marvin Jones after about 5 weeks or so. While it didn't even take that long, we are at week 3 and it seems like Jones has already passed him. Through two weeks, Tate has been out-targeted (21 to 16), out done in catches (12 to 9) and out produced in yards (203 to 54). Currently, Golden Tate is the 95th-best Wide Receiver on 2.8 fantasy points per game. It's not like, he isn't getting the opportunities. He is getting basically the same number of targets as Jones is. The big difference is Tate isn't able to turn them into anything though. I personally don't hate him in this possible shootout, but I think there are better options to consider though.

Tight Ends -

Martellus Bennett - Bennett had a terrible debut back in week 1, but came back with a huge game in week 2. However, I don't think the trend will continue. Even if Gronk isn't back, he probably won't have a major role as a fantasy option. As the Pats will look to depend on the run more often, which means Bennett will be used more as a blocker than a receiver. Just as we saw in week 1 vs the Cards. New Quarterback, needs protection. So much like week 1, you can expect Bennett stat line to be lackluster. Thursday night games usually don't lead to fantasy production, either. Unless it is a high-scoring game (like last week). Based on what we know already, I find it hard to see that happening. I am not very high on him going forward and at best an high-end TE2 fantasy play this week.

Gary Barnidge - Barnidge was a interesting draft choice back before the season start, after the year he had in 2015. But now, it is becoming clear, it isn't a good idea to own anyone in Cleveland. They are on their 3rd starting Quarterback of 2016 and will now be without their best Wide Reciever in Corey Coleman. Their other star in Josh Gordon won't be back until week 5. So that's mean defenses can now focus on retaining Barnidge even more. Not ideal, since he has seen his targets and catches through two weeks pretty limited. These next few weeks, he may see more passes go his way but I think there are better options out there. Even though, this position is pretty thin overall.

****All stats are from FFToday

Previous 2016 Fantasy Football Articles -

Fantasy Football Rankings Week 1 - William Frang

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits Week 2 

Fantasy Football Rankings Week 2 - William Frang


Twitter - @MattAleza

Tuesday, September 20, 2016

Fantasy Nascar Early Rankings (New Hampshire)

Welcome to TimersSports

Early Rankings -

1. Kevin Harvick
2. Kyle Busch
3. Matt Kenseth
4. Brad Keselowski
5. Martin Truex Jr
6. Joey Logano
7. Carl Edwards
8. Jimmie Johnson
9. Denny Hamlin
10. Kyle Larson
11. Kurt Busch
12. Austin Dillon
13. Kasey Kahne
14. Jamie Mac
15. Ryan Newman
16. Chase Elliott
17. Ryan Blaney
18. Tony Stewart
19. Greg Biffle
20. AJ Dinger
21. Paul Menard
22. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
23. Casey Mears
24. Alex Bowman
25. Trevor Bayne
26. Chris Buescher
27. Aric Almirola
28. Danica Patrick
29. David Ragan
30. Clint Bowyer

Twitter - @MattAleza

Fantasy Nascar Preview (New Hampshire)

Welcome to TimersSports

Fantasy Nascar Preview -

1-JMac: JMac had a solid race at Chicgoland and ran inside the top 10 for good part of the event, but ended in 11th when the checkers waved. Now, he moves onto a track in which has found decent success at. Over the past 4 races here, he has compiled 12.5 average finish with 12.0 average running position and 90.3 driver rating. Very strong overall for him, with 9.5 average finish over his past 6 races with taking out last July (2015) race out. He had a engine go south in the final laps and finished 26th. Every other finish over the past 3 seasons has been 16th or better. Including 3 Top 6 finishes in that span. 2 of those 3 top 6 finishes has ended inside the top 5. Even better? Both of those top 5 finishes has came in the chase portion of the season. Earlier this season, he finished 6th at this racetrack. He wasn't a top 10 contender for the event, but he was easily a top 15 contender though. He also has been very good on the shorter flats this season. On the flats this season, JMac has compiled 11.3 average finish with 15.0 average running position and 82.4 driver rating. The most recent short-flat racetrack was a couple weeks ago at Richmond. Both him and teammate Kyle Larson were top 10 contenders. They were better on the short runs and that really helped them at the end. Headed into the weekend, you can expect JMac to be least a top 15 contender and likely have top 10 upside. Given Ganassi continues to show the speed, they has been showing.

2-Brad Keselowski: Keselowski started the 2016 chase off by finishing inside the top 5 at Chicgoland! Great way to start off the chase! So how will he do at New Hampshire? I think he will do extremely well and personally I have him on my short-list of drivers to win this weekend. Not only has he been fast very often this season, but his track record on New Hampshire makes him a stood out-type fantasy pick. His numbers here recently are quite impressive, he has been one of the best in the series. Over the past 4 New Hampshire races, he has compiled 9.0 average finish with 5.5 average running position and 114.9 driver rating. Keselowski has finishes of 15th and 12th over his past two races here, but they were both misleading finsihes. He ran inside the top 5, before having issues late in those races. An fun fact about him at New Hampshire? He has finished 15th or better in 10 straight races. Including 9 straight races of 12th or better, before July's misleading 15th place finish. You have to go back to July 2011 to find a finish worse than 15th place at this track. In simple terms, he's the best driver in the series at this racetrack. What makes it even more impressive? This track is known for fuel mileage and a track position battle. The fact that he has finished inside the top 15 in every race since 2011, makes it almost unbelievable. As no other driver have been able to accomplish that feat over the past 5 races.

3-Austin Dillon: Austin Dillon wasn't overly impressive at Chicagoland, but was good enough to be a top 15 contender for much of the event though. I like Dillon this weekend at New Hampshire. RCR is giving him their best cars and he should take advantage of that, too. His track record at New Hampshire isn't too bad, either. Over the past 4 races here, he has compiled 13.5 average finish with 18.3 average running position and 74.3 driver rating. He has been very good here in short career overall. With 4 finishes of 14th or better in 5 career starts in the #3 car. He finished 13th earlier this season and was a top 15 contender for much of the race. At times, he ran outside of the top 15, but for the most part he did what he needed to. I would say it terms of performance, he had his second-best race. Only to his second-career start back in 2014, where he finished in the 8th position. Even though, I say it wasn't too far off though. He also been very good on the shorter-flats as well. On the shorter flats this season, he has compiled 13.8 average finish with 13.3 average running position and 82.5 driver rating. Based on the numbers, season trends and logic, Dillon should be a top 15 fantasy option this weekend. He will likely be useless in deeper formats, other than Yahoo Fantasy Racing. His upside isn't appealing enough for formats which reward points in multiple categories though.

4-Kevin Harvick: Harvick is my pick this week to win! There are a lot of things to really like about him at New Hampshire. The first would be, how last week's race went for him. He's pissed off and nobody in the field wants to see an pissed off Harvick. Last year, he had bad luck at Chicago and came to New Hampshire and dominated. He didn't win, but he obviously had the car to beat. As he led 216 of 300 laps, but he ran out of fuel at the end though. He been awesome at this track since joining SHR. Over the past 4 races here, he has compiled 7.8 average finish with 4.3 average running position and 124.1 driver rating. However in 5 races with SHR (Since July 2014), he has ran out of gas in 2 of those races. He wasn't anything overly special back in 2014 when he ran of fuel, but he should have gotten a pretty good finish though. Earlier this season, he started 8th and finished 4th. He didn't really have anything for the Toyotas in that race, but he was still pretty good overall. He was about top 10 good and on the borderline of being top 5 material. He also has been a great performer on the shorter flats this season. On this type of track, he has compiled 3.8 average finish (Series-best) with 6.0 average running position and 116.4 driver rating. He is the only driver in the series to finish inside in all of the races on the shorter flats this season. Pretty impressive when you think about it, because he isn't the first driver you think of one the shorter tracks.

5-Kasey Kahne: Kahne and HMS has found some speed, I am still not buying that it is legit on the shorter tracks. But they have caught JGR on the intermediate tracks (imo). I think Kahne will be pretty good this weekend at New Hampshire. He performed well earlier this season and ran top 15, until that big wreck late in the race. Over the past 4 races here, he has compiled 19.0 average finish with 14.8 average running position and 80.3 driver rating. Kahne has been inconsistent since joining HMS at New Hampshire. He has compiled 5 Top 11 finishes and 4 finishes of 19th or worse. So he pretty been boom or bust overall. More bad news? Of those 5 Top 11 finishes, 3 of them came in his first three starts with HMS from July 2012 to July 2013. So over his past 6 races, he has posted 4 finishes of 19th or worse. Not good for his potential fantasy value. Good news? He ran top 10 back at Richmond (most recent shorter flat) and have ran quite well since the Michigan race. In fact, Kahne has finished 15th or better in 6 of the past 7 Sprint Cup races. Including 3 straight Top 7 finishes, dating back to the Darlington race. Kasey isn't known for his consistency, but when he is consistent then he is a good bet in fantasy. Honestly, I feel much better about him this week than last week. Headed into Chicago, there were a lot of questions about HMS. Would they give Elliott and Johnson great cars and give Kahne shit equipment? Or would they spread around the love. Kahne showed good speed at Chicagoland, so I feel alright about him going forward. Especially with all of the momentum he has right now. He is far from a top 10 or even top 15 lock, but long as he is showing promise, then he should be a good pick.

11-Denny Hamlin: I don't think JGR and co are as strong as they were earlier this season on certain types of tracks, but I do believe they hold the advantage on the shorter tracks though. They dominated Bristol (short track) and Richmond (shorter-flat). So personally, I find it hard to see that JGR doesn't look strong in practice and in the race. They have dominated the past two shorter-flats this season and I expect it to continue, too! Over the past 4 races here, he has compiled 15.5 average finish with 13.8 average running position and 102.2 driver rating. Since the 2012 season (9 races), Hamlin has compiled 6 Top 12 finishes. Including 3 of those 6 races ending inside the top 2. He always has found success a this track, dating back to starting his career off with 3 straight Top 6 finishes in his first three starts. You just knew, he would be good here. When he won in his 3rd Cup start at this track back in 2007. Over his next 16 starts, he would finish inside the top 10 in more than half of the time. He has 13 career Top 10 finishes in 21 starts with 10.2 average finish. Hamlin should be on the short-list to go to victory lane this weekend.

18-Kyle Busch: Rowdy finished inside the top 10 at Chicagoland and will look to improve his chances to advance at New Hampshire. He will be a legit contender at New Hampshire. He had one of the best cars earlier this season at this track, as the Toyotas were very difficult to stay with. He faded in the final laps, but he better than his final finishing spot would suggest though. Over the past 4 races here, he has compiled 13.5 average finish with 10.0 average running position and 109.5 driver rating. Make no mistake about Rowdy being a force at this place. Over his past 7 races here, he has been extremely impressive. In that timeframe, he has compiled 6 Top 8 finishes. Including 4 Top 2 finishes. In fact, from July 2013 to July 2015 he had 4 second finishes in a 5-race span. Speaking of the July 2015 race, he went to victory lane on that day. That was his best race to date overall, since joining JGR. And he has had some very impressive showing in the #18 car here. Including leading 133 laps earlier this season here. If you don't have him on your fantasy radar this week, then you are simply a fool. He's a top 5 fantasy pick headed into practice. If had more momentum entering this race, I would probably picked him to win this weekend.

19-Carl Edwards: Carl Edwards was a major disappointed at Chicgoland, I can say I expected much more out of him. Really him or any of the JGR cars looked overly great at Chicagoland. After watching practice on Saturday, I wasn't totally surprise. However, I was thinking they would be more of a factor than they were. Rowdy contended for a top 5 finish for much of the race, but still felt like he couldn't stay with the Chevys though. Edwards looked the worst of the JGR cars, he was a complete non-factor all afternoon and finished 15th. Goo news, he has a chance to rebound at New Hampshire. JGR has been good all year on the shorter-flats and Edwards should be goo this weekend. Over the past 4 races here, he has compiled 12.3 average finish with 10.3 average running position and 94.5 driver rating. Back in July, he was super strong in practice. However, he couldn't back it up in qualifying or the race. Before the race, he said this was the best racecar he ever had at New Hampshire. Things didn't go quite as well in the race though. He started outside of the top 10 and never really made it past 7th or 8th place. Mainly, he spent most of the race somewhere between 11th-14th place I would say. Then with about 20 laps to go, he got into a mess with a couple other drivers. I believe it involved Kyle Larson, Ryan Newman and Kasey Kahne. Prior to finishing 20th this past July at New Hampshire, he had finishes of 5th and 7th at this track. The one really good thing about Edwards at this track? His career, he has only once finish worse than 20th place. And that was 25th place. Headed into the weekend, I would view him as a top 10 fantasy option with clear upside to contend for a top 5 finish.

20-Matt Kenseth: Kenseth should be one of the heavy favorites this weekend at New Hampshire, as he has been one of the very best here since joining JGR. Over the past 4 races here, he has compiled 7.3 average finish with 7.8 average running position and 113.0 driver rating. In 7 starts with JGR, he has posted 9 Top 6 finishes. Even better? In those 7 races, he has posted 4 top 4 finishes. Including 3 wins over his past 6 races at this track. He won earlier this season, even though he probably had the 3rd-best car to Martin Truex Jr and Kyle Busch though. However, Truex Jr had issues late in the race and Rowdy faded after the final restart. It is also encouraging how strong JGR was back at Richmond, as that is the most recent shorter-flat track. Kenseth had the second-best car in that race to Martin Truex Jr. He got into a small mess with Brad Keselowski which caused him to get into the wall late in the race. Before that, he was a clear top 3 driver for majority of the race. Headed into the race, I would say that Kenseth is easily one of the best fantasy picks. He may get overlooked because he doesn't typically dominate races. But that may not be the case this weekend, as he has potential to lead plenty of laps in my opinion.

21-Ryan Blaney: Blaney was someone who I was very high on headed into Chicagoland and he didn't disappoint with a solid 4th-place finish. He now heads to New Hampshire, where he looks to bulid on recent success at this track. Earlier this season, he finished 11th place. He was a top 15 contender for much of that race and hung around 11th-14th for a lot of the race. Blaney is also coming off some strong finishes of late. Over he past 4 races this season, he has posted 3 Top 13 finishes. Including 2 fourth place finishes. Blaney is risky because he tends to make a lot of mistake or his raceteam makes mistake. Or simply has some bad luck. It doesn't matter either way, because that type of thing is unpreventable. Blaney have enough of speed right now to be an top 15 contender again this weekend and possibly challenge for a top 10. 

22-Joey Logano: Logano has been by far one of the best drivers in the series at New Hampshire since joining Penske. Over the past 4 races here, he has compiled 2.8 average finish with 7.5 average running position and 110.7 driver rating. In his first race in the #22 car at New Hampshire, he was leading the event but wrecked into Morgan Shepard. He ended that race 40th place. Since? Oh, he only has posted 4 straight Top 4 finishes. Including 3 Top 3 finishes. This is one of Logano's best tracks from a career point of view as well. In 16 career starts, he has posted 11 Top 14 finishes in 16 races. And he is a 2-time winner with 2 different raceteams. Logano also has been pretty good on the shorter-flats this season. On shorter flats this season, he has compiled 9.8 average finish with 12.0 average finish and 91.7 driver rating. Headed into the weekend, I would say that Logano is a boarderline top 5 fantasy pick. He's more of a top 10 pick because he doesn't seem to do well on the shorter tracks on the long runs. He always fade, before having to charge back to the front at the end. Not exactly something I want to see in a fantasy pick. I still like him because of the success he has found in the past here.

24-Chase Elliott: Just like at Michigan, Elliott was ever so close to going to victory lane at Chicagoland. Much like Michigan a late caution ended Elliott chance to go to victory lane. Like I said many times this season already, this kid is going to win this year and it will happen soon. I don't think it will be this week. Might be next week though. Earlier this season, he was top 10 good at this place. I wouldn't call him anything beyond that though. It was weird ending for him and teammate Alex Bowman. They made contract late in the race and a few laps later, they made slammed into the wall. Bowman's car was alright to continue. Elliott's lost several laps and finished outside of the top 30. However, if Elliott didn't get into Bowman then he would had finish about 8th place in my opinion. Or somewhere around there. I personally think the HMS cars will be good this weekend, but they will be better on the intermediate tracks though. Headed into the weekend, I view Elliott as a top 15 fantasy option. With the chance sneaking inside the top 10 before the race is over as well.

41-Kurt Busch: Kurt Busch had an alright race at Chicagoland and finished 12th place. He wasn't bad overall, but much like most of this season, he lacked any upside though. The 41 car just don't have the speed it had last season. Kurt also has lost his top 10 consistency. So right now, he holds zero fantasy value in my opinion. Over the past 4 races here, he has compiled 21.8 average finish with 10.8 average running position and 89.9 driver rating. As you can see, he has performed well at New Hampshire of late (see average running position and driver rating). However, he just has had shit for luck. He has had ran quite well over his past 3 races here (all with SHR) and was legit top 10 contender in all three races. While only posting one top 10 in that span. Bad news? Over his past 10 races at this track, he only has posted 1 top 10 finish and that was back in July 2015. His lack of speed makes him a less attractive fantasy option and his track record also takes away from his attractiveness. Headed into the weekend, I would view him as a top 12 fantasy option. Based on what I know already, I would say his ceiling is top 10 for New Hampshire.

42-Kyle Larson: Well I absolutely nailed it in the fantasy nascar update on Saturday when I said Larson would have a bad race in the chase at a track we don't expect. Well, he finished 7th at Chciagoland. Who would have expected him to do bad there? I wasn't. To be fair, Larson was pretty good overall for the race. He ran top 10 for the race, even after having to go to the rear for transmission change. Tough break for him, but has two races to get himself back in position in points. New Hampshire isn't the ideal track him though. Larson in my opinion is overrated at New Hampshire. Over the past 4 races here, he has compiled 16.8 average finish with 18.8 average running position and 77.7 driver rating. Good news, but like I said I think he is overrated. Everyone just remembers his first couple races here. Where he finished 2nd and 3rd in his first two starts. Yeah that's great, but he has performed at average over his 3 starts since then though. July 2015 (last season), he had a speeding penalty which pretty much put him in a hole for the entier race. But his team missed the setup on his car anyhow. Came back in September (2015) and struggled once again. Alright new year, he comes to New Hampshire in July (this season - 2016) and what does he do? Struggles again. Sure, the Newman wreck didn't help him any. But he wasn't a top 10 contender or anything. Ran in the teens all day long and never really made inside the top 10 from my memory. Okay let's say you are on the Larson's hype train, there is some good news about picking him. He was a strong driver a couple weeks ago at Richmond. Not saying the results will translate, but you have to feel about his performance there.

48-Jimmie Johnson: My big fear in the my fantasy nascar update on Saturday evening was could the 48 team to put together a full race? For awhile there, I thought he had it on lockdown. He got to lead after untimely caution for rest of the leaders and ran with it for good portion of the afternoon. However on the final round of green flag pit stops, he sped on pit road. Not good, it would take him out of contention. He will look to put it behind him and focus on New Hampshire. This has been a great track for him overall. Over the past 4 races here, he has compiled 11.3 average finish with 11.8 average running position and 94.9 driver rating. Johnson has posted 3 Top 12 finishes over that 4-race timeframe. Johnson has a impressive string of finishes in the September races at New Hampshire, as well. Over the past 9 September races at New Hampshire, he has compiled 7 top 6 finishes. Including 4 straight top 6 finishes, dating back to the 2012 season. He was also good earlier this season, while leading a lap and finishing 12th. The HMS cars struggled earlier in the season, so you cannot really count it against him. I say headed into practice, Johnson is a top 10 driver with some upside. I wouldn't say I am super high on Johnson, but I wouldn't be shocked if he has one of the cars to beat.

78-Martin Truex Jr: Martin Truex Jr is fresh off a win at Chicagoland and will look to keep the good times rolling at New Hampshire. Earlier this season, he was very strong at New Hampshire. He may have had the car to beat in my opinion. Him or Kyle Busch. Busch may had been a tad stronger overall though. Of course, he had issues late which cost him a possible win. Over the past 4 races here, he has compiled 12.0 average finish with 14.0 average running position and 92.9 driver rating. Truex has been pretty good here for awhile. Over the past 11 races at this track, he has posted 10 Top 16 finishes. Including 5 Top 12 finishes over his past 6 races at this venue. I love Truex Jr this weekend at New Hampshire. Not only because he was strong back in July, but how he flat-out dominated at Richmond. He was awesome there and led nearly 200 laps. Of course JGR-driver Denny Hamlin was right behind him in laps led as well. The big quesiton is will Truex take it easy this week, since he has a win already. Or will he try to win to steal that automatic advancement from other chase drivers? Hard to say, but I see no reason why he would try to take it easy.

****All stats from DriverAverages.com and FantsyRacingCheatSheet.com

Twitter - @JeffNathans18