Sunday, August 23, 2020

2020 Fantasy Nascar RaceDay Thoughts (Dover II)

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RaceDay Thoughts - 


Garry Briggs (@Garryy12):

- JGR will be strong again

- I really like the SHR Fords again today

- HMS was good and bad yesterday. I wonder if the 48 and 9 can repeat and 24/88 can improve

- Kurt Busch needs to bounce today and will 


DGG Lineup -


Garry's lineup - 11,14,21,41


Dark Horse pick - Clint Bowyer

Winner - Denny Hamlin

2020 Fantasy Nascar Final Rankings (Dover II)

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Final rankings - 

1. Denny Hamlin

2. Martin Truex Jr

3. Kevin Harvick

4. Chase Elliott

5. Kyle Busch

6. Brad Keselowski

7. Joey Logano

8. Jimmie Johnson

9. Clint Bowyer

10. Kurt Busch

11. Erik Jones

12. Ryan Blaney

13. Austin Dillon

14. Aric Almirola

15. Matt DiBenedetto

16. Tyler Reddick

17. Alex Bowman

18. William Byron

19. Cole Custer

20. Chrisopher Bell

21. Ryan Newman

22. Chris Buescher

23. Ricky Stenhouse Jr

24. Ty Dillon

25. Michael McDowell

26. Matt Kenseth

27. Bubba Wallace Jr

28. Ryan Preece

29. Corey LaJoie

30. John Hunter Nemchek


Twitter - @Garryy12

2020 Fantasy Nascar Likes & Dislikes (Dover II)

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The first Dover race should give us a pretty idea what to expect in today's race, but I wouldn't say that it set it in stone. Regardless, I think we have a lot better idea on who will be good and who may be serious trouble. Of course, a driver can always get worse (or better) in the second race. Anyways, I am pretty excited about what I learned from Saturday's race. I saw a couple guys that I really like for Sunday's race and I will share some of that information with you guys. Enjoy!


Likes  - 


Matt DiBenedetto - Matt D was a disappointment in Saturday's race and finished 20th. Good news is? He will start from the pole in today's race and has finished in the top 10 on every double weekend. He also has finished better than he finished in the first race. So that's excellent news for us DiBenedetto's believers and I also want to note that this is one of Matt's favorite tracks. Overall, there wasn't a lot of positive things to say about Matt's performance yesterday but I also believe he can be one of those guys to be a lot better on a fresh day. Him having track position to start the race will be a good start in the right direction, too. 

Austin Dillon - Dillon looked really good yesterday and it wasn't just when he had the track position game, either. He was good for the entire race, but he was even better after stealing track position before end of stage 1. He not only gamble and didn't drop through the running order, but he kept the lead and led nearly 30 laps. He really made Hamlin work to get to the lead. It wasn't like Hamlin (on fresher tires) just drove through the field and took the lead right away. Dillon had a pretty decent lead (3 seconds), when he took over 2nd place. It probably took a good 15 laps or so before Hamlin could get to the No.3 car and pass him. After that, Dillon stayed in the top 10 for majority of the race. However, he did only finish 15th, which wasn't what he deserved honestly. 


Dislikes - 

William Byron - I wasn't very impressed by Byron and he really struggled in Saturday's race. He got better as the race went on, but he was two laps down. And when it was pretty calm race, I think that would be pretty non-ideal to be multiple laps down. He had a chance to get back on the lead lap at end of stage two. If he stood ahead of the No.11 car, he would had likely took the wave around and got back on the lead. Then needed a caution to get new tires, if that was the gameplan. But I think the two-tires call was all or nothing. At least with the 4 tires under green, he would had been two laps down and could had easily took the wave around and stood one lap down. With the two tires call, you pretty much had to stay ahead of the leader or you are screwed. So he will now start from the 28th starting position and will need a big day to gain what he lost in yesderday's race. Byron could be a good fantasy play, but I just don't see the upside in picking him. He left me wanting a lot more yesterday and I personally don't see him able to challenge for a top 10 finish. I believe his upside is somewhere around 13th or 14th and that would be a pretty good day for him. 

Aric Almirola - Aric went on complete tear there for awhile and I mentioned it on a weekly basis that we needed to take advantage of it while he was avaliable to us! I also mentioned the fact that he couldn't keep up the finishes and both of those things were true. In 3 of his last 4 races, he has finished 16th or worse now and wasn't really a factor for a top 10 in yesterday's race. But Dover isn't a great track for him, anyways. He has only 3 career top 10 finishes and none since the 2015 season. He drove for RPM for most of his career, so you can't expect the world, but he also hasn't finished in the top 10 with SHR in 5 races now. Aric will be a decent finisher in the teens, but I think he has one more good run of races left in him. The question is when that will be, but I don't believe that Aric will be a top 10 finisher in Sunday's race. 


***All stats are from DriverAverages.com

Email - GarryBriggs265@gmail.com

Twitter - @Garryy12

Fantasy Nascar DGG Picks (Dover II)

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The first race of the weekend is over and it was dominated by the Joe Gibbs Cars. Hamlin led the most laps and passed his JGR teammate (Truex Jr) to win the first of two races this weekend at Dover. I am really excited for the second race, after able to get a pretty solid score without using any of my studs in B. I feel like these doubles are awesome, but I also think it can play trickery on the eyes. A driver whom performs well on Saturday, doesn't always perform well on Sunday. Same can said about drivers whom don't run as good on Saturday, they could easily turn it around on Sunday. Don't get me wrong, some drivers are great on both days. The guys who are up front leading laps have commonly been great both days on these double. It the guys around 5th and back that could trick you. Needless to say, it should be pretty interesting what happens on Sunday compared to Saturday!

DGG Picks - 


A: 

Starter - Denny Hamlin

Bench - Martin Truex Jr 

Reasons - I have four starts with Hamlin left, so I am gonna use him again. So that would give me 7 starts between Harvick, Truex Jr and Hamlin for the final 11 races. With 2 plate races, some short tracks and a road course, I think I will in great shape for the playoffs run. I loved what I saw from Truex Jr and Kyle Busch, but I gotta believe that Hamlin is the odds on favorite after the way that he dominated on Saturday!


B: 

Starters - Clint Bowyer and Matt DiBendetto 

Bench - Jimmie Johnson and Erik Jones

Reasons - I know a lot of people will have Jimmie Johnson on their team and I bet that number will hover around the 70% marker for DGG. He was really good yesterday, but I have never been afraid to go against the gain. The biggest reason for me going with DiBendetto is the chance that he will lead a lap from the start. Combine that with that the 21 team has finished better in second race on double weekends. In fact, he has finished in the top 10 in the second race for every double weekend. That team get better with practice it seems. Then it comes down to Bowyer or Johnson really. I think both are risky based on how they performed this season at times, but you are pretty much following the leader if you go with Johnson. I like taking risks in this game, so I am hoping Johnson has not such a stellar day tbh. 


C:

Starter - Cole Custer

Bench - Tyler Reddick 

Reasons - I didn't really use Custer early in the season, so I have had a lot of starts left with him. As of right now, I still have 5 starts with him. So I will keep plugging away at that number. At this point, I am not worried about c-list starts. There are so many valid options, it shouldn't even been a question if we need to start-save or not.


Dark Horse - Clint Bowyer


Winner - Denny Hamlin


***All stats are from DriverAverages.com


Twitter - @Garryy12

Sunday, August 09, 2020

2020 Fantasy Nascar RaceDay Thoughts (Michigan II)

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RaceDay Thoughts - 


Garry Briggs (@Garryy12): 

- Fords were really strong yesterday and that should be the case again

- I wasn't impressed by the Chevys overall. A few had a good run, but there were a lot of Toyotas and Fords up front most of the day 

- I really like Erik Jones today

- Austin Dillon was a disappointment yesterday 

Matt Aleza (@MattAleza):

- Of drivers starting outside o the top 30, I like Custer the most

-I think Harvick get the weekend sweep

- Byron will finish better than he did in yesterday's race

-Love the Fords again

DGG Lineups -

Garry's lineup - 19,20,14,41

Matt's lineup - 4,1,20,8

Dark Horse - 

Garry's pick - Blaney

Matt's pick - Blaney

Winner - 

Garry's pick - Truex Jr

Matt's pick - Harvick

2020 Fantasy Nascar Final Rankings (Michigan II)

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Final Rankings - 

1. Kevin Harvick

2. Denny Hamlin

3. Martin Truex Jr

4. Ryan Blaney

5. Kyle Busch

6. Brad Keselowski

7. Joey Logano

8. Chase Elliott

9. Erik Jones

10. Kurt Busch

11. William Byron

12. Clint Bowyer

13. Aric Almirola

14. Alex Bowman

15. Jimmie Johnson

16. Matt Dibenedetto

17. Tyler Reddick

18. Austin Dillon

19. Cole Custer

20. Bubba Wallace Jr

21. Ryan Newman

22. Chrishopher Bell

23. Matt Kenseth

24. Chris Buescher

25. John Hunter Nemchek

26. Ty Dillon

27. Ricky Stenhouse Jr

28. Corey LaJoie

29. Michael McDowell

30. Ryan Preece


Twitter - @Garryy12

2020 Fantasy Nascar DGG/SlingShot Picks (Michigan II)

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Well, I warned everyone that New Hampshire hates me and boy did I bomb my picks for last weekend's race! Thanksfully, I did knock out a monster 352 points day yesterday with Kevin Harvick, Ryan Blaney, Kurt Busch and Tyler Reddick. All of that saving came in handy, as I was able to go all studs without worrying about starts. That what I love about these double headers, as I can go with my studs on Saturday and then look or value in the second race. As we have a pretty good idea what to expect. I did see some things that I really liked and I saw some things that gonna make me stay away from certain drivers. 

Anyways, I am very excited about another race today and I really hope I can knock out another monster score! I am also bringing back the Slingshot picks this week, as requested by a few readers!

Seasonal Ranks:

Driver Group Game League - 25th (Full season)

SlingShot Game Overall - 45th (full season)


DDG - 


A: 

Starter - Martin Truex Jr

Bench - Kevin Harvick 

Reasons - I would love to go with Harvick again, but I am down to two starts and I will save them for the playoffs. I have three starts left with Truex Jr, so I will likely be using him for the final time during the summer segment. He was really fast in yesterday's race and just came up short, after having to rebound from a flat tire. 


B: 

Starters - Erik Jones and Clint Bowyer

Bench - Ryan Blaney and Kurt Busch

Reasons - I have 5 starts left with both Blaney and Kurt Busch, so I could easily use them both here and have no problems with it. But I plan to have 4 starts left with them both for the playoffs, so I am going with two guys that are under the radar. Erik Jones has been running really well lately on these intermeidate tracks, so I will take another shot with him. Bowyer really doesn't excites me, but I believe the top 10 will be A-grouping heavy. So if he finishes in the top 12 or top 14, then he is likely a top 4 or top 5 scorer for the grouping tier. 

I also would consider Byron (top 15 driver, been consistent over past month or so), Austin Dillon (very good at Michigan, has ran well on the intermeidate tracks. Did struggle in yesterday's race though), Johnson (ran in the low teen for much of the race) or Almirola (if you believe that he is in for big rebound race)


C:

Starter - Cole Custer

Bench - Tyler Reddick

Reasons - I am not gonna lie, I was hoping for a lot more out o Reddick in yesterday's race. But that's okay, as he still finished in the top 20. I do believe a lot of scores would had been different if Custer didn't wreck. He did run very well yesterday and caught by eye a couple times overall. I was kinda beating myself up for not taking him. He will be in a backup, but I am still high on him. We are running the same tire combo as we did at Kentucky, where he went to victory lane. 


SlingShot Picks - Harvick, Blaney, Nemchek, Bowman and Custer

Reasons - My originally thinking was to go with three studs (likely in Harvick, Blaney and probably Kyle Busch), but then I realized that would be pretty top heavy. While it has the chance to net more points at the top, it would also be pretty limited if all three studs didn't pan out. Instead, I am going with a more balanced lineup. Harvick and Blaney are obviously the staple of the lineup with big chance to finish in the top 5. Nemchek is my most concerning pick, but there isn't much in his range that really excites me that much. The only other pick that I would consider is Stenhouse Jr. Both are very risky, but I think Nemchek will run better. But I also believe he is more likely to wreck. I will gamble on his upside, I suppose. Bowman also doesn't excites me, but I am hoping that he manages to finishes well. He is starting 21st, so there's some room for error to work with. Then there's Custer who should be my best value pick, as he is starting 34th. If he stays out of trouble, then he's a lock for one of the better scorers of the race

Email - Garrybriggs265@gmail.com

Twitter - @Garryy12