Welcome to Timerssports
I certainly apologize for my absence last weekend, but things came up. Anyways, I am excited to get back at things here at Las Vegas. I am kinda upset at myself for missing last weekend because my picks were straight fire! I mean, I absolute nailed my picks at Homestead! But truthfully, I wouldn't base everything off Homestead. Las Vegas and Homestead are both 1.5 mile tracks. But they are definitely different and race differently as well. I am sure some of the big names will be up at the front, but there also will be some different ones. This early in the season, you might want to look some data from last year and combine it the data we put together in Homestead. At least that what I would recommend! Anyways, it is time to get into some Fantasy Nascar content!
DGG -
A:
Joey Logano -
This is a really tough grouping tier because I feel like there are three drivers that could win this race pretty easily. Joey Logano, Martin Truex Jr and Kevin Harvick. Unquestionably, theses are the best three drivers at Las Vegas over the last few years. Truex Jr struggled early at Homestead, but was stout after first stage. Harvick struggled early, but found himself late. While, Logano was really strong early at Homestead, but faded really fast. A lot of the Fords did, actually. With that said, all three of these drivers were strong at some point and all have impressive Las Vegas' records. But I am going with Logano for a few reasons: 1) He is consistnetly a top 10 finisher here. In 9 of his last 10 races here, he has finished in the top 10. Including wins in each of the last two spring races. In 5 of his last 8 races here, he has finished in the top 5. 2) I have already used a start with Harvick and Truex Jr this season.
I do feel like there is a gap to everybody's else after the top 3. A drivers whom I do really love as a off-sequence pick is Ryan Blaney. Don't be suprised if he is mixing up front at one of his best tracks!
B:
Alex Bowman and Kyle Busch
Reasons - It is really early in the season and we really only seen one race that we can actually take data from. This early in the season, it is hard to use starts from your ''studs''. At the same time, I have a lot of questions about a lot of drivers. Byron did win last weekend at Homestead, but he is so dang inconsistent on a weekly basis. Almirola was meh at Homestead and he was at best average in 2020 at Las Vegas. I remember that because I used him both races and got burned. Oh boy I was hot, guys! Erik Jones scares the crap out of me after seeing how bad that car was at Homestead! Yikes buddy! Then there's Kyle Busch! He is always a popular fantasy option, but guys I don't love him! He struggled a lot last season on these intermediate tracks. Last week, it was the same story with him. To make matters worse, he has been just decent at his hometrack of Las Vegas lately. In 3 of his last 7 races, he has finished 15th or worse. He has produced 3 finishes in the top 10, though. With that said, he really only have had one legit car capable of winning since 2016 here.
There are a few interesting options that I would really consider, though. I was big on Austin Dillon last weekend and he did decent enough. I think RCR gonna be really good on these 1.5 mile tracks this season. Ryan Newman and Chris Buescher are also interesting options. RFR was shockingly strong at Homestead. I am not gonna gamble on them, but I was impressed with their improvement from a season ago
With all of that said, I am going with Bowman and Kyle Larson. Bowman just been a stud on these 1.5 mile tracks dating back to last season. In fact, he has posted 5 straight top 10 finishes. Including 3 of his last 4 tries ending in the top 5! He finished 9th, last weekend at Homestead for whatever it is worth. I could easily go with Kurt Busch, but my freaking god! His record has been pure garbage at his hometrack. I don't know he even won last season here. In his last 10 races at Las Vegas, he has produced 7(!!!!!) finishes of 20th or worse. Guys, he has finished 20th or worse in his last 10 races at a 70% clip! Christ that is straight up awful.
C:
Michael McDowell
Reasons - C is so damn tough right now because there are a lot of questions marks and a lot of inexperience drivers. I am not really sure what the 42 car gonna be this season, so I kinda wanna wait on him. I wanna wait on the 14 because he is a rookie and they typically do better later. Wallace is a good option, but that is a new team. So I want to wait on him as well. Stenhouse Jr is Stenhouse Jr. A good top 25 option, but nothings is certain with him. Then there is the hottest driver in the series in Micahel McDowell! I don't know what the heck they did to that team, but they are killing it right now! Folks ride him until he loses his momentum! You always ride the hot hand!
SlingShot -
Logano (starting 15th), Blaney (starting 26th), Almirola (starting 28th), Matt DiBenedetto (starting 30th) and Bubba Wallace Jr (starting 23rd)
Reasons - On the slingshot game, I try to get the points differential. Especially, if it on a 1.5 mile track with 400 miles. Because that means there are only 267 laps. So this weekend, I am going with Blaney, Almirola and DiBenedetto as my guys that should move forward 10 spots at least. Personally I think two of them can gain many as 15 or 20. Then there is Logano, starting in the 15th position. I think he will have a shot to win. Then there's Bubba Wallace Jr. I kinda wanted a driver that could race up into the top 10, but I couldn't make the math work, though. I think Wallace Jr will finish a little ahead o that 23rd starting position, though.
Dark Horse - Ryan Blaney
Reasons - It is hard to go against a guy like Ryan Blaney, honestly. He's really good here at Las Vegas and was a stud in 2020 on these 1.5 mile tracks. I don't know what the heck happened at Homestead, but I think he will be a lot stronger at Las Vegas
Winner - Joey Logano
Have a question or wanna chat?
Email - Garrybriggs265@gmail.com
Twitter - @Garryy12
