Thursday, March 30, 2017

2017 Fantasy Nascar Sleepers (Martinsville)

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Sleepers -

Aric Almirola - Another week, another Aric Almirola's appearance on my fantasy sleeper's list.  Through 5 races this season, Aric has posted 4 Top 19 finishes. Including 17th place finish a few weeks ago at Phoenix. In his past three races, he has finishes of 14th, 17th and 19th. Those are very quality finishes as you can see. You can overlook that fact, if you really want. But I cannot overlook quality finishes in terms of seasonal momentum  + a solid track record. At Martinsville, he has 4 top 16 finishes in his past 6 races. With finishing 21st or better in 9 of his past 10 races. His lone bad finish? 40th in last spring's race, he had an engine issue in that event. He's finished 15th in last fall's race, if you were wondering.

AJ Dinger - The Dinger would be a great value play this week, if he weren't mired back in 30th in owners points. Why are owners' points so important? Because, owners points will set the field for Sunday's race, if qualifying is cancelled. Here in the midwest in rained non-stop all day Thursday, so as you can imagine it is going east. Right into the path of the east coast. The odds are that we don't see any qualifying on Friday, which means he will start 30th. That's deep in the field, even for a successful driver here. I do like him plenty though. Certain drivers seem to perform very well here time and time again. Dinger is one of those drivers. Even with starting 30th, we cannot rule out a top 15 finish from Dinger. But it does damage his fantasy value though. I think Dinger in that 13th-18th place range as pure potential finish.

Ryan Blaney - You know, last week, I judged Blaney harshly and really thought he wouldn't perform well. Not sure why, but that what my gut told me. Yeah, my gut was wrong as he's finished inside the top 10. This week, however, I am higher on Blaney. I think a lot of people are overlooking him and I think it is a good idea to jump on the bandwagon. Hell, it may not work out, but I think it is worth at least a shot. Blaney said a few interesting things in an article via Motorsport.com. He said, Martinsville was historically one of his best track and he said that this was his crew chief's favorite tracks. I like both of those things that he said. Blaney does not have much success here at the Cup level, with only two 19th place finishes in 2016 in two starts. But I think he does much better than that in 2017 though.

Have a question or would like to chat?

Email - briggs_garry48@yahoo.com

Twitter - @Garryy12


Monday, March 27, 2017

2017 Fantasy Nascar Early Rankings (Martinsville)

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Early Rankings -

1. Joey Logano
2. Kyle Busch
3. Kevin Harvick
4. Brad Keselowski
5. Jimmie Johnson
6. Matt Kenseth
7. Kyle Larson
8. Denny Hamlin
9. Martin Truex Jr
10. Jamie Mac
11. Clint Bowyer
12. Chase Elliott
13. Ryan Newman
14. Kurt Busch
15. Dale Jr
16. AJ Dinger
17. Kasey Kahne
18. Austin Dillon
19. Ryan Blaney
20. Paul Menard
21. Erik Jones
22. Aric Almirola
23. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
24. Daniel Suarez
25. Ty Dillon
26. Danica Patrick
27. Michael McDowell
28. David Ragan
29. Landon Cassill
30. Chris Buescher

Twitter - @MattAleza 

Sunday, March 26, 2017

2017 Fantasy Nascar Post-Practice Sleepers & Dark Horses (Cali)

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Sleepers -

Aric Almirola - Almirola has stood out to me this weekend and I am honestly not shocked at all. In 3 of 4 races this season, he has finished 17th or better. He's finished 14th at Vegas two weeks ago and finished 11th two seasons ago at Cali. The #43 car is pretty good this weekend. He's qualified poorly, but he is pretty decent overall. In final practice, he had the 7th-best 15-lap average. That was better than guys such as Johnson and Keselowski, in case you were wondering. For whatever that is worth. In most fantasy formats, he will be a great value fantasy play. Simply because he's qualified poorly this weekend. That will make him a great play alone probably.

Ryan Blaney - I will be honest, I still have my doubt about Ryan Blaney. Heading into the week, I was a little iffy on the 21 car. I had my concerns (mainly gut feeling) that the 21 car wouldn't be that good. He's pretty decent overall, I would say. He's showed speed on Saturday, nothing major. But still, enough where I think he's better than his qualifying position. If you are looking for a top 5 driver, then you are barking up the wrong tree. He's too inconsistent and doesn't that kind of upside to be a top 5 fantasy option. However, he is definitely a top 15-type of driver though. I think he is that sort of driver on a weekly driver. With that said, he does have the upside to possibly steal a top 10 finish as well. But I wouldn't absolutely bank on it though. Keep your realistic expectations in the low-teens though.

Ryan Newman - I didn't think Newman would be a sleeper this week, after winning last week. Not because, he's won. Because the No.31 car has ran very well this season on the intermediate tracks, despite poor finishes. Top 5 speed at Atlanta and top 10 speed at Vegas, with nothing better than 17th place to show though. Then last week, the No.31 got Newman top 10 good before end of the race. Of course, then the 31 team gambled and it paid off in the biggest way in the end. Another reason I am surprised that he is being overlooked is that Newman has a great record here. 5 Top 10 finishes over his past 7 races and 6 Top 15 finishes over his past 7 races overall. That's really solid for him. As always, Newman is the staple of consistency. This weekend, I would say that No.31 car has okay speed. I wouldn't say that he is anything special. However, I do believe they have him as a top 15 driver headed into the race. Also, it sounds like the 31 team got him better in final practice. That's a good sign as well. His RCR crew will get him in the top 10 before it is all over (like usual) regardless.

Dark Horses -

Erik Jones - Jones been really strong this weekend in the No.77 car for FRR! He's showed very good speed and seemed really pleased with his car. Not only that, but he's sounded really confident after practice was over, too. As he should be very confident, this is the best he has looked in a cup car. In final practice, the No.77 car was stout on the long runs. He had the 4th-best ten lap average and topped the 15-lap average charts. At end of final practice, you know what Erik Jones said? He said, ''I think it is a really good race car. It should be a fun day tomorrow.'' I love that right there, it tells me that Jones know how good he is this weekend. The No.77 car has loads of speed, now it is up to him to keep near the front. Be watching out for the 77 car in the race, as I think the Toyotas will be strong. Jones will be one of those fast Toyotas!

Have a question?

Email - briggs_garry48@yahoo.com

Twitter - @Garryy12




2017 Fantasy Nascar RaceDay Thoughts (Cali)

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RaceDay Thoughts -

Garry Briggs (@Garryy12):

- I cannot remember the last time, we saw a driver finish 2nd place in 4 straight races. Guess what, we won't find out anytime soon. As Kyle Larson get the job done and goes to victory lane!

-A lot of drivers hit the wall in final practice. Is that a sign of things to come today? Guess, we will find out!

-Erik Jones has impressed the hell out of me! Ran really well the past few weeks and looked awesome in final practice this weekend. He had the best 15-lap average in final practice and 4th-best ten lap average.

-The thing you have to remember about Cali is, that you can pass here! Don't be afraid of a driver because he isn't starting well

Matt Aleza (@MattAleza):

- Kyle Busch has a very fast car this weekend. Before spinning in final practice, he had one of the best cars.

-Both CGR cars are looking pretty good this weekend. Larson been near the top of the charts all weekend and Jamie been in the top 10, too.

-I think the FRR guys have something for them today. Both the 77 and 78 looked bad fast

-Chase Elliott will be a player no doubt today. I am not worried about what happened to him in practice.

Yahoo lineups -

Garry's Lineup - 18,42,31,77

Matt's Lineup - 2,42,1,77

Sleepers -

Garry's Pick - Aric Almirola

Matt's Pick - Ryan Blaney

Winner -

Garry's Pick - Kyle Larson

Matt's Pick - Kyle Larson 




2017 Fantasy Nascar Picks (Cali)

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Last week was a tough week for some of us in the Fantasy Nascar community. And a lot of that had to do with practice results not lining up with race results. If you had guys such as Joey Logano, Ryan Blaney, Kurt Busch, Kasey Kahne, etc you proabbly pondering what could had been with your fantasy lineups. Of course then there were guys like Kevin Harvick and Daniel Suarez  that looked off in practice, then went out and finish inside the top 10. Sometimes, the results don't end like practice says. And that is why we run the race, folks. It is okay though, as we have another race this weekend at Cali. I personally would look at races from the intermediate tracks with this package. Last week's results won't be as useful.

Let's get started!

Yahoo -

A:

Start - Brad Keselowski

Bench - Joey Logano

Reasons - I made a last minute decision to go with Brad Keselowski over Kyle Busch. I should had went with Keselowski over Joey Logano. I am going with Brad Keselowski over Joey Logano because Logano starting so deep in the field. You can pass here, but I am sticking with Keselowski because I think they are close on speed.

B:

Start - Chase Elliott, Kyle Larson (7)

Bench - Ryan Newman, Kurt Busch

Reasons -I am going with the obvious choices this week. Elliott and Larson are both top 5 threats. Everyone seem to be worried about Elliott hitting the wall in final practice, but I am not concerned. I think he will be fast regardless. You cannot predict stuff, you just have to go with the fastest drivers and hope for the best. Anyone can have a poor finish, we cannot tell the future.

C:

Start - Erik Jones

Bench - Ty Dillon

Reasons - I really regret not using Ty Dillon last week now, as I already used Erik Jones twice. And I am going to use him again this weekend. The 77 car is bad fast and should be in your fantasy lineup once again. It is hard to bench him right now, as he has amazing potential.

Fantasy Live - 48,22,42,43,72

Sleeper -Ryan Blaney

Winner - Kyle Larson

Twitter - @MattAleza

Saturday, March 25, 2017

2017 Fantasy Nascar Final Rankings (Cali)

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Final Rankings -

1. Kyle Larson
2. Kyle Busch
3. Kevin Harvick
4. Brad Keselowski
5. Chase Elliott
6. Martin Truex Jr
7. Matt Kenseth
8. Kurt Busch
9. Denny Hamlin
10. Erik Jones
11. Joey Logano
12. Jimmie Johnson
13. Ryan Newman
14. Jamie Mac
15. Clint Bowyer
16. Dale Jr
17. Kasey Kahne
18. Ryan Blaney
19. Austin Dillon
20. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
21. Daniel Suarez
22. Paul Menard
23. Ty Dillon
24. Aric Almirola
25. Trevor Bayne
26. AJ Dinger
27. Danica Patrick
28. Landon Cassill
29. Michael McDowell
30. David Ragan

Twitter - @MattAleza
 

Wednesday, March 22, 2017

2017 Fantasy Nascar Sleepers (Cali)

Welcome to TimersSports

Sleepers -

Ricky Stenhouse Jr - Three straight week that Stenhouse Jr has landed on the sleeper list for my column. He's finished 13th (ran top 10) at Atlanta and finished 4th at Phoenix. That was after wrecking his car in practice and was top 10 good on the long runs. But the 17 team got smart and stayed out on the final caution. I love that move and it paid off in a big way, too. So good momentum and has a good track record here, too. In his past two races, he's finished 15th or better in both races. He's finished 5th in last season race, after running top 10 most of the day. In that event, he had 12.0 average running position. Which basically says he was a legit driver for that event. A lot of people don't understand that Stenhouse Jr is very underrated on these intermediate tracks. Last season, Stenhouse Jr said they were close on their intermediate tracks. I believe that is true a year later, I think the 17 and 6 are making gains on this type of track. Gains, where they are contending in the low-teens and maybe top 10. If they are really good that weekend. I really like Stenhouse Jr to be a top 15 driver.

Aric Almirola - It is time to wake up and face it that Aric Almirola is a pretty good damn value right now. Though 4 races, he's finished 17th or better three times already. Including finishes of 14th and 17th in his past two races at Vegas and Phoenix. That's very good overall. On top of that, he has not started any better than 28th outside of Daytona. His average starting position is his last three races (since Altanta) is 29.33. His average position gained (from his starting spot to finishing position) is 9.3 per race. On average in those races, he has posted 19.33 average finish. In 3 of his past 4 races at Cali, he has finishes of 21st, 11th and 14th. What am I getting toward? Aric is a idea sleeper (and value) play in certain leagues that offer scoring category such as position differential. If you are looking for a straight up finisher, then you are barking up the wrong tree. However, he can be a effective fantasy option in deeper scoring leagues. Especially if he's qualifies poorly, per usual. 

Jamie Mac - Jamie Mac is off to a great start this season overall, with 3 top 15 finishes in 4 races so far. His lone non-top 15 finish is his finish in the Daytona 500's race. In his past three races this season, he's posted 11.0 average finish with 2 top 10 finishes. Both of those top 10 finishes were on the intermediate tracks. Last season on 2-mile intermediate tracks (Michigan and Cali - three races), he's finished inside the top 10 in all three races. Dating back to 2016, he's finished 5 of the past 7 races on the intermediate tracks inside the top 11. Only one-non top 11 finish wasn't a DNF-like result and that was at Texas (November). In his past 8 intermediate tracks (on 1.5 or 2.0 mile tracks), JMac has 6 Top 11 finishes. He's been one of the most underrated drivers on this type of track for nearly a year. And Chip Ganassi Racing is running better than I can remember in quite awhile.

**Stats are from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com

Have a question or want to chat?

Email - briggs_garry48@yahoo.com

Twitter - @Garryy12