Tuesday, September 19, 2017

2017 Fantasy Nascar Early Rankings (New Hampshire)

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Early Rankings -

1. Martin Truex Jr
2. Kyle Busch
3. Kyle Larson
4. Kevin Harvick
5. Denny Hamlin
6. Matt Kenseth
7. Brad Keselowski
8. Jimmie Johnson
9. Chase Elliott
10. Joey Logano 
11. Ryan Blaney
12. Jamie Mac
13. Kurt Busch
14. Ryan Newman
15. Clint Bowyer
16. Erik Jones
17. Daniel Suarez
18. Austin Dillon
19. Kasey Kahne
20. Dale Jr
21. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
22. Trevor Bayne
23. Paul Menard
24. Aric Almirola
25. Danica Patrick
26. Ty Dillon
27. Michael McDowell
28. AJ Dinger
29. Chris Buescher
30. Landon Cassill

Twitter - @MattAleza

Sunday, September 17, 2017

2017 Fantasy Nascar Update (Chicago)

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Fantasy Nascar Update -

1. Kyle Busch - Kyle Busch is starting on the pole and looked very good on Saturday. He opened final practice with a 20-lap run and eventually topped the charts with the fastest single-lap overall. He was good throughout the session. I wouldn't say that he have a dominant car, but he was definitely among the best sine unloading. Kyle have started on the pole in 2 of the last 3 races here and have pair of 7th and 8th place finishes. Currently, he have 5 straight top 10 finishes at this track. On the season, he have been a top 5 contender at almost every 1.5 mile tracks this season.

2. Martin Truex Jr - Truex Jr has consistency been the driver to beat on the 1.5 mile tracks this season. Including 3 wins this season at Las Vegas, Kentucky and Kansas. He will start from 3rd on Sunday afternoon. There haven't been many races this season, where Truex Jr haven't led any laps. So there is a great chance that Truex will lead at some point at Chicago. History says that the polesitter will fade after lead portion of the early laps. If that hold true, then you can expect Truex Jr to be the favorite to dominate in the latter stages of the event. Again, that is just a trend. Nothing is set in stone right now. However, everything is pointing to Truex Jr to be a top 2 driver entering the race on Sunday afternoon!

3. Kevin Harvick - It is hard to overlook Kevin Harvick this weekend. He always run well here at Chicago and he looked very good on Saturday. He posted the best ten-lap average in final practice and was posted really good laps late in runs. That is a great sign for Harvick as long green flag runs are usual here. Harvick has been pretty good on the 1.5 mile tracks this season and seems to be finding more speed over the past month or so. With the additional speed, good track record and starting up front, that should add up to something pretty awesome. I say he is a top 5 guy headed into the race.

4. Kyle Larson - Larson will start from the 6th position on Sunday afternoon and he should be have something for win, too. He opened Saturday's final practice with a 25-lap run. He was only ranked 10th on the best-ten lap average. But not many drivers on their opening-run (from the drivers who I tracked) looked as good as Larson did after 20 laps, in my opinion. He remained fast throughout the session and seems to be top 5 good. Larson has been in the top 3 at every 1.5 mile race this season, not named Charlotte. And remember, he starting deep in the field in that race and then had issues in middle of the race.

5. Brad Keselowski - Keselowski been in the news a lot this weekend, and most of it has to do with his comments on Friday. He said the Toyota have a unfair advantage over everyone else. I respect the hell out of Brad, but I didn't hear the Toyota camp complaining when the Fords were quick out of the gate at start of the year. Brad would be smart to shut up and work harder to find more speed. That's my thoughts on that issue. The #2 looks good this weekend though. He has one of the better cars on the long run it seems and will likely challenge for a top 5 finish, especially if we get some long run flag runs. History has also treated him pretty well here, too.

6. Denny Hamlin - Hamlin was terrible last week at Richmond, he struggled throughout the race, after that first run. But somehow and someway, he made it back to the front of the pack. Problem is? He wrecked Martin Truex Jr while running 3rd. In the process, he dropped to 5th in the final finishing order. Hamlin doesn't have a great car, but I say he is more than capable of challenging for a top 10 finish and a chance he flirt with the top 5 for awhile, too. The Toyota cars are by far outrunning everyone else on a consistent basis. That alone should give you confident that Hamlin can be a factor in the race on Sunday's afternoon.

7. Matt Kenseth - Kenseth isn't lack speed, he is good enough to win on any given weekend. I have no doubt in my mind, but goes back to Matt Kenseth being himself. What I mean by that? Over the years, Kenseth has had a habit of finding bad luck. And not during the bad races, but the good races. Races where he is in a position to win. We have seen this time and time again over the past couple seasons. He should be good this weekend, but can he finish it out? I think he certainly can. He has enough speed to challenge for a solid top 10 finish and plus some.

8. Jimmie Johnson - I have heard it all about Jimmie Johnson over the past few weeks. ''Oh, he's gonna turn it soon!'' or ''The 48 team is sandbagging it!'' or whatever crazy story the media comes up with. Sorry, people but I don't believe fairytales like that. The best drivers will still be the best drivers, even more so during the playoffs. The 48 team have been average for most of the year. I don't see him suddenly turning it up this year. It is just not in the cards. The 48 car has struggled this weekend, just as I expected him to. He is terrible? No, but he isn't a guy I see contending for the win on Sunday afternoon. I say his ceiling is top 10.

9. Chase Elliott - Elliott haven't been too bad this weekend. He looked top 10 good since unloading, in my opinion. He was great here last season and was strong on the 1.5 mile tracks in general during the chase. This season, he haven't been quite good. He is consistency a top 10 driver, but he haven't taken that step to the next level though. There is not much to say about Elliott. He will start in the top 10 and he will likely finish in that same range. I say he finish 1-2 position of his starting position of 8th place.

10. Jamie Mac - There were a couple drivers I considered here, but I went with the driver who I think is the most consistent and most reliable. That's easy in Jamie Mac. He is starting deeper in the field than I like, but I think he can move up and be at least a top 15 driver with upside. I have a feeling, he will flirt with the top 10 more than likely. He does not have speed of his teammate, but I am not concerned about it. He haven't finished worse than 12th on the 1.5 mile tracks this season. I like that stuff right there! I would expect him to finish between 10th-14th when the checkers wave.

Just missed -

Joey Logano
Ryan Blaney
Kurt Busch
Clint Bowyer
Ryan Newman


***All stats from DriverAverages.com and FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com

Twitter - @JeffNathans18

2017 Fantasy Nascar RaceDay Thoughts (Chicago)

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RaceDay Thoughts -


Jeff Nathans (@JeffNathans18):

- Gibbs bunch are strong again and should all be considered the favorites

-Kyle Larson looked really good in final practice. He was showing a lot of speed on the long runs, especially on his opening 25-lap run. I remember closely tracking that one and being impressed.

-A lot of people are expecting Jimmie Johnson to suddenly come to live in the playoffs. Sorry folks, I don't believe in fairytales.

- Kevin Harvick has been one of the better cars here this weekend. Be watching him once the green flag drops

Matt Aleza (@MattAleza):

- Brad Keselowski has looked great this weekend. His car is really strong on the long runs.

- Chase Elliott has been at top of the speed charts all weekend long. It will be interesting if he can translate it into the race

- Ryan Blaney will be a interesting guy to watch. He is showing good speed this weekend and looks good enough to challenge for a top 10 finish (like usual). Question is: Can he finish a race out for a change?

- Gibbs/FRR look like the favorites headed in, followed by Larson and Harvick

Yahoo lineup -

Jeff's lineup - 18,31,42,19

Matt's lineup - 18,31,41,13

Dark Horse -

Jeff's Pick - Erik Jones

Matt's Pick - Kurt Busch

Winner -

Jeff's Pick - Kyle Busch

Matt's Pick - Kyle Busch

Saturday, September 16, 2017

2017 Fantasy Nascar Final Rankings (Chicago)

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Final Rankings -

1. Kyle Busch
2. Martin Truex Jr
3. Kyle Larson
4. Kevin Harvick
5. Denny Hamlin
6. Matt Kenseth
7. Brad Keselowski
8. Jimmie Johnson
9. Joey Logano
10. Chase Elliott
11. Jamie Mac
12. Ryan Blaney
13. Kurt Busch
14. Ryan Newman
15. Austin Dillon
16. Clint Bowyer
17. Erik Jones
18. Daniel Suarez
19. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
20. Kasey Kahne
21. Dale Jr
22. Trevor Bayne
23. Aric Almirola
24. Ty Dillon
25. Paul Menard
26. Michael McDowell
27. Danica Patrick
28. AJ Dinger
29. Chris Buescher
30. Landon Cassill

Twitter - @MattAleza

Thursday, September 14, 2017

2017 Fantasy Nascar Picks (Chicago)

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Fantasy Nascar Picks -

Yahoo -

A:

Start - Kyle Busch

Bench - Martin Truex Jr

Reasons - It should not be a suprise that Kyle Busch and Martin Truex Jr are two of the best cars this weekend. This has been the normal all season long. Kyle Busch has a great car this weekend and can lead a lot of laps from the pole. If you have him, you are starting him!

B:

Start - Kurt Busch, Ryan Newman

Jamie Mac, Chase Elliott

Reasons -I made two changes late Thursday night and that was adding Newman and Kurt Busch over Kyle Larson and Ryan Blaney. Looking back on it, I probably should had kept Blaney. Oh well though. I like the 31 and 41 at lot this weekend. They are both have a lot of momentum and both can challenge for top 15 finishes with ease. I think both will have something for a top 10 finish, however I don't think it is a given.

Elliott and Larson are obviously the best choices in this grouping tier though. Jamie isn't a terrible choice, but he haven't really looked that good, in my opinion. I like Blaney, but he has a habit of finishing worse than he ran

C:

Start - Ty Dillon

Bench - Erik Jones 

Reasons - Benching Erik Jones this weekend was pretty easy, after he spin in quantifying. It is not that I don't think he cannot recover. It is just that, I don't want to waste one of my few limited starts with him here. He is starting 24th and I want to use him when he is starting close to the front. Plus, he does not look good as he has in the past. So going with Ty Dillon. There is a good chance that Dillon finishes worse than Jones, but the difference won't too much.

Dark Horse -Kurt Busch

Winner - Kyle Busch

Twitter - @MattAleza

Wednesday, September 13, 2017

2017 Fantasy Nascar Early Rankings (Chicago)

Welcome to Timerssports

Early Rankings -

1. Martin Truex Jr
2. Kyle Busch
3. Kyle Larson
4. Kevin Harvick
5. Brad Keselowski
6. Denny Hamlin
7. Kurt Busch
8. Matt Kenseth
9. Joey Lognao
10. Jimmie Johnson
11. Chase Elliott
12. Jamie Mac
13. Ryan Blaney
14. Ryan Newman
15. Erik Jones
16. Clint Bowyer
17. Austin Dillon
18. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
19. Daniel Suarez
20. Kasey Kahne
21. Dale Jr
22. Trevor Bayne
23. Paul Menard
24. Aric Almirola
25. Ty Dillon
26. Michael McDowell
27. Danica Patrick
28. Chris Buescher
29. AJ Dinger
30. David Ragan

Twitter - @MattAleza  

Saturday, September 09, 2017

2017 Fantasy Nascar Sleepers & Dark Horses (Richmond)

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Sleepers -

Ricky Stenhouse Jr - I was a little off on Stenhouse jr last week, as he hit the wall pretty hard and that screwed up his entire race. I don't think his car was ever the same again. I like him again this weekend though. He is very underrated at Richmond. In his past four races here: 4th, 18th, 26th and 16th. Those are pretty good numbers overall and that 26th place finish is pretty explainable. He spun and was never able to recover. He was running top 20, beforehand though. Still 3 top 18 finishes in his past four races here is pretty damn good! I know most people will overlook him, but like always I like him. He is starting from 8th and he is easily capable of finishing inside the top 15.

Aric Almirola - Aric is one of the better value plays this week and he is usually at his best on this type of track. At Richmond, he haven't started better than 23rd in the last 6 races (tonight's race will make 7) and he have finished 21st or better every single time. In his last 6 races at Richmond, he have 3 top 10 finishes. Including 9th place run earlier this season. In his last 9 races at Richmond, he have not finished worse than 21st. In 8 of those 9 races, he's finished 20th or better. In terms of average finish (16.1), this is Aric's best track. He is starting 23rd tonight and history says he will find a way to finish inside the top 20.

Dark Horses - 


Kurt Busch - Kurt Busch is starting to find his stride as we approach the playoffs portion of the season. Good time to find it as any. I think his recent stench of good runs started back at Bristol. He finished 5th. Then he took that momentum and finished 3rd in last week's race. Now, he is starting 3rd for tonight's race. That momentum is building for this 41 team and the best thing in Fantasy Nascar is a hot driver. On top of that, he is pretty good at Richmond, too. In his last 6 races at Richmond, Kurt has 5 top 10 finishes. His lone non-top 10 finish is 15th. Good things have happened for Kurt at this 0.75 mile racetrack.

Erik Jones - The Toyota cars look the strongest overall (again) and Jones is no difference. He may not look nearly as good as his teammate, but he will have a good outside chance of winning. Am I saying he is going to win? No, but I wouldn't be shocked if he did. He has been running really lately and the confidence in this young man is growing with each race. Not only that, but FRR is giving him good enough cars to challenge for the win. That's the key for him and he is talented enough to be at the front. He is starting 10th in tonight's race, you should be watching the No.77 car during the race. Because that car will be at the front at some point. Weather it is pit strategy or by racing there, he will be there. I can almost bank on it! 

***All stats are from DriverAverages.com 


Want to chat or have a question?

Twitter - @Garryy12