Welcome to Timerssports
We are headed to Bristol! Nothing quite like the excitement and frustrating of night racing. Saturday night we will see wrecked race cars , bad tempers and grown men will cry. One mistake and half the field could destroyed. One of the reasons to be careful with your selection of picks. Unpredictable fits Bristol to a tee.
Sleeper -
Paul Menard: Okay I will admit it , I have a fantasy nascar man crush on Paul Menard. Damn him and his underrated status. He killed it at Michigan with a 4th place finish. I was thrilled. Bristol is another good track for him. 4 of the past 5 races here , Menard have scored a Top 10 finish. Unfortunately he finished 21th in March. Nevertheless he is a nice option with terrific upside. Definitely someone to consider.
Bust -
Carl Edwards: Edwards is overrated (least right now). Last week I said it. And I will say again. I am relatively low on Edwards. He wasn't that great in the spring. Had about an 15th place car at best. Fortunately after a late caution , Edwards took advantage of an golden opportunity. At end of the day , there are better choices this week. His high percentage on Yahoo alone makes him a bad value deal.
Sleeper -
Marcos Ambrose: Ambrose is a underrated option at Bristol. Very few realize how good he been recently at Bristol. I was actually surprised. Normally I wouldn't consider him. But Ambrose should make a nice possible top 15 option. His solid average finish suggests Bristol is one of his best oval tracks. Some will argue it was "luck" especially with a poor driver rating over the past 5 races. Fortunately for Ambrose, luck rarely repeat itself multiple times in a row. Despite a 74.0 driver rating in his past 5 races. He holds an 14.91 average finish in 11 career races.
Bust -
Brain Vickers: I understand why he is a possible sleeper. As his solid record is hard to ignored. With that being said , figuring out how much of an asset Vickers is critical. Luckily that not my job. My job is to determine sleepers and busts. In my opinion , Vickers is a potential bust. Few things back this up. The big one would be the departure of Rodney Childers. Vickers haven't done too well at Bristol without him compared to the 4 races with him. In fact his 9th place finish in March was the worst finish with MWR. Also his driver rating and laps completed in the top 15 was one of his worse as well. In 3 short tracks starts in 2014 , Vickers have an 13.0 average finish. I don't hate picking Vickers this weekend. Honestly I feel like people are too high on him. Expect a finish of 12th or something in that range.
Sleeper -
Jamie Mac: JMac isn't a horrible choice this week. Actually JMac been under the radar lately at BMS. He been pretty good in the summer Bristol races. Much better then in the spring. And that should scare everyone. JMac was extremely strong in the spring. Just got a rotten deal at the end. He was in the wrong place at the wrong time. In fact he been stout on short tracks in 2014. Zero Top 10s. But was impressive in all three races.
Bust -
Kyle Busch: Rowdy have had rotten luck lately. Honestly I suspect they are testing or Rowdy just really really bad luck. Either way I am avoiding Kyle Busch at Bristol. First Time I have ever said Kyle Busch , Avoid and Bristol in the same sentence. I really hope he have a good run this weekend , but I wouldn't trust him to deliver. Fantasy Nascar is about riding the hot drivers and avoiding the ice cool ones. No need to make an unnecessary gamble.
Twitter - @Gbriggs12