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We are headed to Dover this weekend for race 29 of 36! For good part of a decade , I have struggled to produce good points at Dover. No surprise same goes for New Hampshire. New Hampshire and Dover are relatively similar in length. Dover just have more banking. Hopefully Dover will be kinder this around. The key to success here is selecting an well balance lineup. Stacking your lineup with studs could end badly. Dover will have similar outcome as New Hampshire , but craziness times 3. So add in a few upsided drivers. Let get rolling!
Sleeper -
Jamie Mac: I like JMac this weekend. He is one of the hottest drivers since Bristol. Averaging around 7th place finish in his previous 5 races. Dover isn't Jamie best track , but this cat is hot. My rule always is ride 'em while they hot. The key is to jump off before the train comes to a halt. Jamie should be a popular sleeper pick this week.
Bust -
Ryan Newman: Newman was very consistent during the 2014 season. Well during the regular season. Okay the final 12 races of the regular season he was an top 12 machine. So far in two chase races he been at best average. With 15th and 18th. There better options to consider. At best he is an top 15 option. Maybe not even that at a track like Dover.
Sleeper -
Kyle Busch: Rowdy have done well lately. After looking lost for 5 straight races , he looked like solid so far in the chase. Heck he even took a piece of crap looking car and finish 8th last week. His Dover record is misleading. Very few times have Kyle performed poorly at Dover. Only problem he is all or nothing. Have nothing to play for? Go all out and test your gambling skills with Mr. Rowdy.
Bust -
Carl Edwards: RFR cars = Junk. Edwards isn't worth a spot on any roster really. He may knock off a few more top 10s this season. But that it. Edwards skills aren't in question , but more that RFR aren't an top performing team anymore. Edwards also supports an bit rocky record here lately. Edwards is overvalued in most formats. Not worth the price in my opinion.
Sleeper -
Aric Almirola: Not a name most are familiar with when selecting their lineups. Typically players don't even consider him. Dover is a rare case. His record here is actually good enough to be considered fantasy relevant. Not many realize that Dover is Aric best track. He finished 12th last time. He is a nice choice in any format with addition value then normally.
Bust -
Justin Allgaier: Allgaier have attributes of both sleepers and busts. So usually the ultimate determination is by looking at his potential value. Allgaier is overvalued in Yahoo Fantasy Racing. 30% as of Tuesday morning. His realistic % should be around 23%. There are better choices to choose this week , unless you are in a tight spot and have no choice.
Twitter - @Gbriggs12