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We are headed to Talladega! Just saying that makes my body cringe in fear. The season be changed in a instance. The brutal part is you have absolutely no control. Talladega and Daytona are ranked as my least favorite tracks on the schedule. It really hell for us fantasy nascar folks. The winner can come from anywhere. And usually it does. Stats and trends means nothing here , even though we want to think otherwise.
Usually I list a bunch of impressive stats to impress all of you. But at Talladega , I don't need to. Because the data from previous races is irreverent and unlikely accurate. Due to the unquestionably craziness which always seems to happen.
*Below are the drivers I like and dislike for Talladega
Drivers I like:
2-Brad Keselowski: After headlining the drama at Charlotte. BK needs a win in the worse way. He is a elite plate racer.
3-Austin Dillon: The kid knows how to finish up front at Dega. Earlier this season he finished inside the top 15. Dillon sweeped the top 10 at Daytona in 2014. This kid is great at avoiding trouble.
10-Danica Patrick: Danica been hit or miss at Plate races. Either a top 15 or wreck out is the likely outcome.
11-Denny Hamlin: Hamlin not really known for his plate skills have changed our opinions. He been almost unstoppable at these races. His average finish in 3 races is ridiculous. But will it matter?
13-Casey Mears: Um..why not? Mears is one of those guys who stay around the back and survives all the wrecks. Therefore usually snag a solid finish. Unfortunately nobody is safe from the big one. Nevertheless I don't hate him. He could be your ticket to championship gold.
15-Clint Bowyer: I consider him a legitimate sleeper. Not many realize how great of a plate specialist Bowyer is. Can he deliver though?
16-Greg Biffle: Biffle isn't no stranger to success at Dega. The RFR cars always seems to be boom or bust. More times then not , they deliver a solid finish.
17-Ricky Stenhouse: Okay I am not bally enough to roll the dice again (backfired in a big way at Daytona.) But I won't deny he is good on this type track. Any daredevils out there?
20-Matt Kenseth: Kenseth is do it all at Dega. Including winning. I wouldn't bet against him.
27-Paul Menard: Menard is really a mid range filer. He have potential , but usually ended up getting caught up in someone else mess. But anything can happen. I got a good feeling about him.
88-Dale Jr: Dale is probably one of the best plate racer in nascar. He understands the concept and what it takes to be successful. Hard to bet against him , right?
Drivers I dislike:
1-Jamie Mac: JMac is the definition of boom or bust. So expect a win or a 30-ish finish.
4-Kevin Harvick: Harvick is a good plate racer , but in allocation leagues (such as Yahoo) , there are better tracks. Probably too pricey for his value worth in salary cap leagues.
5-Kasey Kahne: If you look up "bad luck" , Kasey Kahne appears next to it as the definition. Okay..Kahne isn't in no dictionary. But his bad luck is like the flu. Just cannot get rid of it. Probably not something I would want in a pick.
18-Kyle Busch: Kyle scares me as fantasy pick this week. He is very talented without question. But the value isn't there. I just wish more people would jump on the Kyle wagon. Then if something goes wrong , its wouldn't hurt so much. Plus Kyle been hit or miss here.
21-Trevor Bayne: Bayne was a stud at the two-car tandem (in 2011.) Unfortunately since being modified to what we have now , Bayne have wrecked in all but one race (since Daytona 2012) , I know where to put my money.
22-Joey Logano: Not a fan of selecting a driver who already locked in. Their finishing result doesn't mean anything really. So it could be risky to say the least.
24-Jeff Gordon: Gordon will go down as one of the best ever at Talladega. But he been on the bad end for awhile. Gordon holds too much value to be wasted at Dega.
43-Aric Almirola: I don't see Aric winning this week. So he will likely be a letdown , since some people will be expecting an encore.
48-Jimmie Johnson: The hunt for 7 will likely be put on hold until 2015. Johnson gonna need some major luck at Talladega. Anything can happen. A lot have to go right , not a easy task to accomplish.
I hate to be the bad guy , but since this was a opinionated article.. please note:
*Everything said in this article are Jeff Nathans opinions and his only. He shouldn't/will not be accountable for any knowledge taken out of context and apply to fantasy nascar related subjects.
Also check out : Nascar Behind The Wall . Great blog. Great stuff. Great everything.
Twitter - @JeffNathans