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Sleepers-
3-Austin Dillon: Dillon have proven he is a decent option on the restrictor plate tracks. Last season , he held 10.5 average finish and 19.3 average running position with 4 Top 15s. Earlier this season at Daytona , he added another top 15 to his already impressive track history. Dillon also does a great job of avoiding wreck , so I would give him a hard look for Talladega. The RCR have been strong qualifiers too. Think back to last season how impressed I was at the 3 car being on the front row. His 14.8 average starting position in 2014 wasn't bad either which is very encouraging!
13-Casey Mears: Mears have definitely shown us something on the plates lately. Last season he compiled 9.5 average finish and 19.5 average running position with 3 Top 10s. Not to mention , he finished 6th earlier this season at Daytona and looked very impressive doing it too. I personally wouldn't gamble on him because I am not a fan of using underfunded drivers. But I think he gonna knock off another excellent result for owners.
48-Jimmie Johnson: Move over Dale Jr! There a new cat in town on the SuperSpeedways! Over the past 9 races on restrictor plates tracks , Johnson have put together 13.2 average finish (2nd-best) , 2 wins (Series-best) , 5 Top 5s (Series-best) , 314 laps led (Series-best) , 10.3 average running position (Series-best) and 108.1 driver rating (Series-best). Last season at Talladega? He posted 23.5 average finish. However held the best driver rating (109.0), the best average running position (8.0) and led the most laps (86). He finished 5th at Daytona earlier this season.
Busts -
1-Jamie McMurray: Hard to put him on this list since he have such great potential! I don't hate using him , but past history suggests you shouldn't. Its seems he run up front for awhile. Then he fades to mid-pack. Most noticeably , that where trouble tend to happen a lot more often than not. Just look at his past 12 races! Seven times he have finished worse than 20th, but have 2 wins in that same time frame. I don't think it a question weather or not Jamie is a good play. I think question is can he stay out of trouble for 500 miles?
17-Ricky Stenhouse Jr: Great Talladega record , but he is due for a bad race! If the pattern holds , Ricky will have a disappointing week. On his 4th Daytona start , Ricky found trouble. He had all top 20s in previous three. His Talladega record exactly the same as well. Three excellent results and makes his 4th start on Sunday. Also the SuperSpeedways haven't been very kind lately. In his last three attempts , Ricky have finished outside the Top 25 twice and didn't even qualify for last Fall race. Hard to start a guy who have gone completely cold on this type track. Least it is to me.
Email - MattAleza@yahoo.com
Twitter - @MattAleza