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Tuesday, December 22, 2015

2016 Fantasy Nascar Profile: AJ Dinger

Welcome to Timerssports

Drive Name: AJ Dinger

Car #: 47

Make: Chevy

Debut: 2008 (First-Full Season)

# of Career Races: 264

# of Career Poles: 4

# of Career Wins: 1

# of Career Top 5s: 7

# of Career Top 10s: 38

# of Career DNFs: 24

# of Career Laps Led: 465

Career Average Finish: 21.3

Career Average Start: 20.3

# of 2015 Wins: 0

# of 2015 Top 5s: 0

# of 2015 Top 10s: 3

# of 2015 Poles: 2

# of 2015 DNFs: 3

# of 2015 Laps Led: 55

2015 Average Finish: 23.1

2015 Average Start: 21.6

2015 Fantasy Recap: AJ Dinger didn't have the season, that many of us were expecting. He held the most value on the road courses. However he failed to finish inside the top 20 in either road course races, making his fantasy value pretty much worthless. Minus a few good runs on some shorter racetracks. Overall it tough to find fantasy value out of a driver such as AJ. He really struggled on the intermediate racetrack, even though he had a few quality finishes. His big problem is being consistent and his equipment. I think his equipment holds him back most weeks and makes him nothing but a top 25 driver. In 2015, he lacked consistency, speed and upside. He had a few good runs at Martinsville, Richmond,Sonoma and WGI though. He didn't always get the results, but we saw the potential.

Strong Tracks: Sonoma, WGI, Martinsville, New Hampshire and Richmond

Weak Tracks: Pocono and Dover

Yahoo Grouping Prediction: B-list Grouping Tier

2016 Fantasy Outlook: I don't expect a lot from Dinger.  I think he will run well at certain tracks like Sonoma, Watkins Glenn, Martinsville, Richmond,etc. He will be at his on the road courses, he is a road course ace and the 47 team have a history of running well at both courses. His equipment is what holds him back. Over the past two seasons, we have seen how strong he was at both Sonoma and Watkins Glenn. But he have finished 3 of those 4 races outside of the top 20. That's not good enough for what we are expecting out of him. The courses will give Dinger the most fantasy value, but he will also run well on the shorter flats. Martinsville is probably his best racetrack not a road course-type track. Dinger also will run well at the shorter flats of Richmond and New Hampshire. He is a deep sleeper at Bristol. He ran very well here last spring and was running top 15 before running into Smoke. Last fall, he struggled but came on strong in the later stages. Like I said a deep sleeper. I expect him to struggle the most on the intermediate racetracks. He may knock off a finish here or a finish there in the mid teens, but mostly I expect him to finish from 22nd-27th. Overall, there will be opportunities to use Dinger at certain tracks. I don't think there is a large window to use him, but there will be places to unload him. I will also add that, he will be a risk every time you use him.

Twitter - @JeffNathans