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Driver Name: Austin Dillon
Car #: 3
Make: Chevy
Season Debut: 2014 (First full-season)
Number of Championships: 0
# of Career Starts: 121
# of Career Poles: 3
# of Career Wins: 0
# of Career Top 5s: 6
# of Career Top 10s: 22
# of Career DNFs: 7
# of Career laps led: 66
Career Average Finish: 18.7
Career Average Start: 17.3
# of 2016 Wins: 0
# of 2016 Top 5s: 4
# of 2016 Top 10s: 13
# of 2016 Poles: 2
# of 2016 DNFs: 3
# of 2016 laps led: 17
2016 Average Finish: 15.9
2016 Average Start: 14.0
2016 Fantasy Recap - Dillon had his best season yet in the Sprint Cup Series with numbers improved across the board, which resulted in him being a legit fantasy option during stenches of the season. He saw improvements in average finish (up from 21.0 to 15.9), average start (up from 17.4 to 17.0), more Top 5 finishes (up from 1 to 4), more Top 10 finishes (up from 5 to 13) and more poles (up from 0 to 2). In fact, he destroyed his previous totals since joining RCR in the #3 car. In his first two seasons in the #3 car, he has produced 2 Top 5 finishes and 9 Top 10 finishes with 1 pole. He slaughtered those totals. Double both his top 5 finishes and poles in 2016 alone. So we saw a major step forward by Dillon. In 2015, we saw him be inconsistent from time to time. Which was something I was discouraged by last off-season. I felt it killed his fantasy value, with that said I am happy to announced that was not an issue in 2016. He showed a good blend of consistency and upside on a weekly basis. In fact, he even contend inside the top 5 more than a couple times. I felt like he was a real race-contender at the 2nd Michigan race and also had something for the top 5 at Texas. He's still searching for his first Cup win, but I think he is getting much closer than he was in years 1 or 2!
Strong Tracks - Michigan, Texas, Kansas and Daytona
Weak Tracks - Dover, Richmond and Watkins Glenn
Yahoo Grouping Tier: B-list Grouping
Overall Value Prediction - Consistent with good blend of upside
2017 Fantasy Outlook - With Kyle Larson winning his first Cup race in 2016, the heat now turns to Austin Dillon to go to victory. So far in his cup career, Dillon hasn't gotten much heat for lack of success. But that had a lot to do with someone else having the heat, now Dillon will be in the public eye. He's in headed into his 4th year and many people will wonder when he will get his first cup win. I think he will contend for race wins more often in 2017 than he has in the past couple seasons. Dillon's trademark isn't winning races though. Dillon moved through the ranks and won championships by being consistent. That's what he does and we saw him ride to another milestone last year (making the chase.) I would like to see him go to victory lane, but I don't know if he will. He is still progressing as a driver and will take time before he is ready to win races. Not for lack of speed, as Dillon is inching closer to being a top 10 driver in the series. I say he in the low-teens now as a Cup driver. Low-teens with weekly upside to contend for a top 10 finish. Most weeks that's all you can expect from him. His best days will on the intermediate tracks, especially at places like Kansas and Michigan. He loves the big-fast tracks. So places like Texas and other 1.5 mile tracks will also fit into his wheelhouse. But he will be his very best on the plate tracks though. He has a knack for running well and finishing up front. In 2017, I am not expecting an major uptick in production but I do expect him to at least to match last season's totals and make the chase again. If he doesn't take any step backwards, then it will be a pretty successful year for him, in my opinion.
**All stats from DriverAverages.com
Twitter - @JeffNathans18
Driver Name: Austin Dillon
Car #: 3
Make: Chevy
Season Debut: 2014 (First full-season)
Number of Championships: 0
# of Career Starts: 121
# of Career Poles: 3
# of Career Wins: 0
# of Career Top 5s: 6
# of Career Top 10s: 22
# of Career DNFs: 7
# of Career laps led: 66
Career Average Finish: 18.7
Career Average Start: 17.3
# of 2016 Wins: 0
# of 2016 Top 5s: 4
# of 2016 Top 10s: 13
# of 2016 Poles: 2
# of 2016 DNFs: 3
# of 2016 laps led: 17
2016 Average Finish: 15.9
2016 Average Start: 14.0
2016 Fantasy Recap - Dillon had his best season yet in the Sprint Cup Series with numbers improved across the board, which resulted in him being a legit fantasy option during stenches of the season. He saw improvements in average finish (up from 21.0 to 15.9), average start (up from 17.4 to 17.0), more Top 5 finishes (up from 1 to 4), more Top 10 finishes (up from 5 to 13) and more poles (up from 0 to 2). In fact, he destroyed his previous totals since joining RCR in the #3 car. In his first two seasons in the #3 car, he has produced 2 Top 5 finishes and 9 Top 10 finishes with 1 pole. He slaughtered those totals. Double both his top 5 finishes and poles in 2016 alone. So we saw a major step forward by Dillon. In 2015, we saw him be inconsistent from time to time. Which was something I was discouraged by last off-season. I felt it killed his fantasy value, with that said I am happy to announced that was not an issue in 2016. He showed a good blend of consistency and upside on a weekly basis. In fact, he even contend inside the top 5 more than a couple times. I felt like he was a real race-contender at the 2nd Michigan race and also had something for the top 5 at Texas. He's still searching for his first Cup win, but I think he is getting much closer than he was in years 1 or 2!
Strong Tracks - Michigan, Texas, Kansas and Daytona
Weak Tracks - Dover, Richmond and Watkins Glenn
Yahoo Grouping Tier: B-list Grouping
Overall Value Prediction - Consistent with good blend of upside
2017 Fantasy Outlook - With Kyle Larson winning his first Cup race in 2016, the heat now turns to Austin Dillon to go to victory. So far in his cup career, Dillon hasn't gotten much heat for lack of success. But that had a lot to do with someone else having the heat, now Dillon will be in the public eye. He's in headed into his 4th year and many people will wonder when he will get his first cup win. I think he will contend for race wins more often in 2017 than he has in the past couple seasons. Dillon's trademark isn't winning races though. Dillon moved through the ranks and won championships by being consistent. That's what he does and we saw him ride to another milestone last year (making the chase.) I would like to see him go to victory lane, but I don't know if he will. He is still progressing as a driver and will take time before he is ready to win races. Not for lack of speed, as Dillon is inching closer to being a top 10 driver in the series. I say he in the low-teens now as a Cup driver. Low-teens with weekly upside to contend for a top 10 finish. Most weeks that's all you can expect from him. His best days will on the intermediate tracks, especially at places like Kansas and Michigan. He loves the big-fast tracks. So places like Texas and other 1.5 mile tracks will also fit into his wheelhouse. But he will be his very best on the plate tracks though. He has a knack for running well and finishing up front. In 2017, I am not expecting an major uptick in production but I do expect him to at least to match last season's totals and make the chase again. If he doesn't take any step backwards, then it will be a pretty successful year for him, in my opinion.
**All stats from DriverAverages.com
Twitter - @JeffNathans18