Wednesday, May 23, 2018

2018 Fantasy Nascar Sleepers & Dark Horses (Charlotte)

Welcome to TimersSports

I hope everyone enjoyed the nice off-week, because I sure did. It was nice not worrying about anything Fantasy Nascar related. For a lot of fans, it was brutal. Minus having the All-star race (which I thought damn good), but I like off-weeks. I really do. Mainly because it gives me a break from writing up any articles.

I am ready to dig back into the swing of things. Sleepers and Dark Horses are two of the most underrated aspect of the Fantasy Nascar game. They are the key to success for any weekend of the season. I don't care, you will need to ulize them to win on any given weekend. Because they usually set your fantasy lineup apart. Weather that be ridiculously bad or taking the top spot. There is obvious risk involved. Sleepers are to do with fantasy value. Usually the drivers who can outproduce what the public's original expectations are. Good example would be David Ragan. He has consistently finished better than what most people figure. That's some damn fine fantasy.

Then there is the Dark Horses. They get confused all the time with sleepers, but these two terms are different. Like Sleepers, they are not expected to win. But we would not be shocked, if they do end up winning. Because they have that high-potential that give us reasons to believe in them. To breakdown it into simple terms, sleepers are associated with value and dark horses are potential!

Sleepers -

David Ragan - David Ragan has been criminally underrated all season long and not enough people has notice. This is an excellent example of a sleeper. David Ragan is one of those drivers has outperform his equipment consistently, but get no credit due to who he is and who drives for. In 9 of 12 races, he has finished 25th or better this season. He has consistently finished better than he has started. He has not finished worse than 23rd on a 1.5 mile track. At Kansas, he finished 13th and may had his best race of the season. On 1.5 mile tracks this season, he has posted 20.5 average finish and 23.5 average running position. He finished 13th at Kansas and had 20.0 average running position for the entire event. It was an event where several drivers had trouble, but he was still competitive. Especially for the equipment that he is in!

Chris Buescher - The disrespect that Buescher has received this season is crazy. I been watching him and I can tell you he is very underrated right now. And that's key in fantasy nascar. You know to jump on fantasy value when it is gripe. He finished 25th at Atlanta, 15th at Vegas, 13th at Texas and then 34th at Kansas. He was competitive at Kansas. He was top 20 for most of the day, especially in the early stages and into the middle. They lost speed in latter part of race, but still not bad. He held 20.0 average running position and 58.8 driver rating for the event. He ran in the latter teens for much of the event. Maybe dropping into the low-20s from time to time, but like I said solid. He is someone that could be a very fine sleeper at Charlotte!

Dark Horses -

Ryan Blaney - Blaney probbaly had the 2nd or 3rd best car at Kansas. He was very good, but seems to be a step behind Larson and Harvick. He was probbaly better than both of them at some point in the race. But never really at the same time. Either Harvick was a little better or Larson was a little better. Except for that one run, where he was able to pull away from the field there. Shame, it ended like it did for him though. He had a great car and should finished top 5 easily. I don't think he is as nearly good at Charlotte, but his speed on the 1.5 mile tracks this season has really stood out. He has top 10 legit speed at all four 1.5 mile tracks so far this season. Blaney is one those drivers has huge upside on a weekly basis. He is my top dark horse pick!

Erik Jones - Jones is quietly having a very strong season in the No.20 car and has been pretty underrated on the 1.5 mile tracks. In 4 races this season on 15. mile tracks, he has posted 7.5 average finish, 10.8 average running position and 90.6 driver rating. He also finished 7th at Cali. This season he has not finished worse than 11th at Atlanta, Las Vegas, Cali,Texas or Kansas. He's 5 for 5 in the top 11 on 1.5 or 2.0 mile intermediate racetracks this season. He is criminally underrated for the season as a whole. Excluding Daytona and Talladega, he has finished 7 of 10 races in the top 13. Those three races outside of the top 13? Bristol, Martinsville and Dover. The three tracks you most likely expected him to have problems on. He just might be the best bet that nobody is thinking about. He is someone that I have on my radar for this weekend!

Bust of the week -

Clint Bowyer - I need myself a bust and Bowyer is my man this week. I know a lot of people will be on the Bowyer's bandwagon, but there are reasons to believe that he will not meet our standards. First off, he has not had a top 10 finish since 2013 season at Charlotte. For obvious reasons, he has struggled in recent seasons. In 24 career starts at Charlotte, he has only posted 5 top 10 finishes. He qualified in the top 10 in both Charlotte races in 2017, but finished 14th and 27th. Next thing to look at? He has 11.8 average finish and 9.8 average running position on the four 1.5 mile tracks this season. Problem is? He has finishes of 9th, 15th and 18th in his last three 1.5 mile tracks. His average finish comes out to 14.0 average finish with 11.0 average running position. He also has not led a single lap on any intermediate tracks this season. He will be good, but he won't be great though. His best races has came on the shorter tracks such as Dover, Richmond and Martinsville, etc. Not the intermediate tracks. I am banking on this to continue.


****Stats are from DriverAverages.com and FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com

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