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Well folks, we are gonna end the season with bring back one of our most popular fantasy articles. Back in my first couple years of writing fantasy nascar articles, I had a similar weekly feature article and it was called ''Sleepers and Busts''! It was a simple little article that on a weekly basis consisted of 2-3 sleepers and usually 2 Busts. After the 2015 season (I believe), I realized two things: 1) Most people didn't realize that there's a difference between sleepers & dark horses. 2) Busts were to too complicated to write on because some people got their feelings hurt by it. Solution? Exclude the ''busts'' and add a ''dark horse'' portion to go along with the sleepers. It has worked very well over the last 3 seasons! I love writing articles about sleepers and dark horses!
Anyways, I am excited for this weekend's race! I will miss it live, but I am looking forward to watching it when I get home on Sunday night! I cannot say that I enjoyed the 2019 season as much as I did in seasons' past, but I am pretty excited for the off-season! This off-season, we have some incredible stuff planned.
Let's get started!
Sleepers -
Austin Dillon: Dillon isn't someone who will be talked much about this week, but he has been really consistent here and these 1.5 mile tracks has been good to him of late! In his last five 1.5 mile tracks, he has produced 4 top 20 finishes. He has finished 13th (Texas), 20th (Kansas), 12th (Las Vegas), 35th (Kentucky) and 10th (Chicago). So he has 13.75 average finish, if you take out the Kentucky's race! How has he done recently at Homestead? He finished 25th in his first start here in 2014. How about his four races since then? 14th or better in every single race. Another thing I love? He has improved or matched his finish in every start. In 2015, he finished 14th. In 2016, he finished 12th and finished 11th in 2017/2018. Is a top 10 finish in order? It isn't crazy!
Ryan Newman - Newman isn't the sexy fantasy sleeper this week, but he will most ikely be a pretty effective one, though. In 2019, he has been really consistent between 9th and 17th on the ever so popular 1.5 mile racetracks. He has only finished worse than 17th in three races this season on 1.5 mile tracks. Of 10 races on 1.5 mile tracks, he has only one DNF finish. In the other 9 races? He has posted 15.3 average finish with 5 Top 15 finishes. Exlcuding Kansas, he has finished 15th, 10th and 9th in his last three 1.5 mile tracks. He has been a consistent performer at Homestead, too. In 4 of his last 5 races here, he has posted 4 top 16 finishes. With finishes of 16th, 10th, 15th and 2nd in those 4 races. Based on the data, he is probably a teen driver this weekend. For a sleeper, that is usually what we are hoping for and his consistency is what makes him most appealing!
Dark Horses -
Kyle Larson - In my eyes, Kyle Larson is easily a favorite. However, he won't be viewed like by most, though. Why? Because he isn't in the championship race. No driver in the field can run the wall like Kyle Larson can! He's so good at it and he will probably be stupid fast on the long runs! In 2015, he ran down Brad Keselowski in the closing laps but came up short after a late caution came out. In 2016, he dominated but came up short after a late caution. In 2017, he domianted again and came up short. In last season's race, he was very strong again and probably had one of the cars to beat early in the race. Later on in the 3rd stage, he smacked the wall and got a flat tire. He fell from contention and finished 13th. I got my eyes on Kyle Larson this weekend!
Chase Elliott - Elliott is having a similar playoffs to what Kyle Larson had in 2018. So can Chase end it on a high note? I think he can! In his career races at Homestead, he has posted 7.7 average finish with three top 11 finishes in 3 career races. But that's nothing compared to how well Chase Elliott has ran on the 1.5 mile tracks in 2019! He finished 40th at Texas, but he had one of the cars to beat. In 4 of his last 6 races (exlcuding the Texas' race), he has finished 4th or better. During the playoffs, he has finished 2nd and 4th. I really like Chase as a sneaky good fantasy pick this weekend!
Have a question or wanna chat?
Email - briggs_garry48@yahoo.com
Twitter - @Garryy12
Well folks, we are gonna end the season with bring back one of our most popular fantasy articles. Back in my first couple years of writing fantasy nascar articles, I had a similar weekly feature article and it was called ''Sleepers and Busts''! It was a simple little article that on a weekly basis consisted of 2-3 sleepers and usually 2 Busts. After the 2015 season (I believe), I realized two things: 1) Most people didn't realize that there's a difference between sleepers & dark horses. 2) Busts were to too complicated to write on because some people got their feelings hurt by it. Solution? Exclude the ''busts'' and add a ''dark horse'' portion to go along with the sleepers. It has worked very well over the last 3 seasons! I love writing articles about sleepers and dark horses!
Anyways, I am excited for this weekend's race! I will miss it live, but I am looking forward to watching it when I get home on Sunday night! I cannot say that I enjoyed the 2019 season as much as I did in seasons' past, but I am pretty excited for the off-season! This off-season, we have some incredible stuff planned.
Let's get started!
Sleepers -
Austin Dillon: Dillon isn't someone who will be talked much about this week, but he has been really consistent here and these 1.5 mile tracks has been good to him of late! In his last five 1.5 mile tracks, he has produced 4 top 20 finishes. He has finished 13th (Texas), 20th (Kansas), 12th (Las Vegas), 35th (Kentucky) and 10th (Chicago). So he has 13.75 average finish, if you take out the Kentucky's race! How has he done recently at Homestead? He finished 25th in his first start here in 2014. How about his four races since then? 14th or better in every single race. Another thing I love? He has improved or matched his finish in every start. In 2015, he finished 14th. In 2016, he finished 12th and finished 11th in 2017/2018. Is a top 10 finish in order? It isn't crazy!
Ryan Newman - Newman isn't the sexy fantasy sleeper this week, but he will most ikely be a pretty effective one, though. In 2019, he has been really consistent between 9th and 17th on the ever so popular 1.5 mile racetracks. He has only finished worse than 17th in three races this season on 1.5 mile tracks. Of 10 races on 1.5 mile tracks, he has only one DNF finish. In the other 9 races? He has posted 15.3 average finish with 5 Top 15 finishes. Exlcuding Kansas, he has finished 15th, 10th and 9th in his last three 1.5 mile tracks. He has been a consistent performer at Homestead, too. In 4 of his last 5 races here, he has posted 4 top 16 finishes. With finishes of 16th, 10th, 15th and 2nd in those 4 races. Based on the data, he is probably a teen driver this weekend. For a sleeper, that is usually what we are hoping for and his consistency is what makes him most appealing!
Dark Horses -
Kyle Larson - In my eyes, Kyle Larson is easily a favorite. However, he won't be viewed like by most, though. Why? Because he isn't in the championship race. No driver in the field can run the wall like Kyle Larson can! He's so good at it and he will probably be stupid fast on the long runs! In 2015, he ran down Brad Keselowski in the closing laps but came up short after a late caution came out. In 2016, he dominated but came up short after a late caution. In 2017, he domianted again and came up short. In last season's race, he was very strong again and probably had one of the cars to beat early in the race. Later on in the 3rd stage, he smacked the wall and got a flat tire. He fell from contention and finished 13th. I got my eyes on Kyle Larson this weekend!
Chase Elliott - Elliott is having a similar playoffs to what Kyle Larson had in 2018. So can Chase end it on a high note? I think he can! In his career races at Homestead, he has posted 7.7 average finish with three top 11 finishes in 3 career races. But that's nothing compared to how well Chase Elliott has ran on the 1.5 mile tracks in 2019! He finished 40th at Texas, but he had one of the cars to beat. In 4 of his last 6 races (exlcuding the Texas' race), he has finished 4th or better. During the playoffs, he has finished 2nd and 4th. I really like Chase as a sneaky good fantasy pick this weekend!
Have a question or wanna chat?
Email - briggs_garry48@yahoo.com
Twitter - @Garryy12
