Saturday, February 29, 2020

2020 Fantasy Nascar Update (Auto Club)

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Fantasy Nascar Update -

1. Joey Logano - I loved the Penske cars last week at Vegas and I think they will race pretty well on Sunday at Auto Club. I really liked Joey in practice on Friday. He showed some speed out of his car in both sessions and he has a great track record here as well. He has finished in the top 5 in each of the last 4 races here and has knocked off 7 straight top 10 finishes at Auto Club overall. In his last 4 races here, he has compiled 4.0 average finish with 5.8 average running and 112.1 driver rating. There's a lot to love about Joey this weekend!

2. Kevin Harvick - Harvick is just one of those guys that seems to run well just about everywhere. Harvick wil roll off from inside the top 5 and seems to have a pretty good car this weekend. I am not sure, if it is as good as his car from last weekend but I am excited to find out. On the stat side of things, there's not many with numbers than him. At Auto Club, he has a lot of success and some bad luck in recent seasons. However, he has finished in the top 5 in 3 of the past 5 seasons. He finished 4th and 2nd in 2019 (last season's race) and in 2017. He finished 35th in 2018 and 13th in 2017's event. If he has no problems, I think he's a safe bet to finish inside the top 5!

3. Brad Keselowski - I have a good feeling about the Penske cars again this weekend, honestly. They didn't qualify as well as I hoped, but I do like them a lot. Keselowski has been a strong in recent seasons here at Auto Club! In 4 of his last 5 races here, he has finished inside the top 5! He has been really impressive over the past three seasons when looking at the numbers. In his last three races at Auto Club, he has compiled 3.0 average finish with 9.3 average running position and 104.6 driver rating. He was also very strong on these worn out surfaces in 2019, as he posted 6.4 average finish in 5 races. That 6.4 average finish ranked 2nd-best in those races to only Kevin Harvick!

4. Martin Truex Jr - Yes, I am well aware that Truex Jr will be starting dead last. And I don't really care! The Toyotas are lacking speed, but that's not Truex's problem. His team isn't concerned about him starting in the back, either. His crew chief sounded pretty confident in his chances for tomorrow's race. I love him a lot this weekend. How much? I would had ranked him No.1, if he didn't go to the back. I think he has a great car for Sunday's race! I personally don't think starting in the back means that much anymore, especially with these stages factored. At a place like Auto Club? Where there's extreme tire wore and plenty of room to pass? Forget about it!

5. Kyle Busch - I will be honest, I don't really love Kyle Busch to point that I think he will win. However I think he will be better than he was at Vegas. And I also believe he will find himself inside the top 5 at some point. His record here is pretty damn amazing, too. Over the past two seasons, he has been just simply unstoppable pretty much. In his last two races here, he has compiled 2.0 average finish with 2.4 average running position and 137.1 driver rating. Guys, that is stupid impressive! I am not sure if Busch can live up to his recent numbers here, but I think he is someone who gonna surprise some people! Which is kinda dumb, since it's Kyle Busch we are talking about here!

6. Alex Bowman - The talk of the garage this weekend is the driver of the No.88 in Alex Bowman! If you ask drivers around the garage who the favorite it is, then most would be pointing at the No.88 car. Kurt Busch even mentioned it in his pre-qualifying interview on Fox. Alex sounded pretty confident in his interview! He said they had a fast car on the long run and boy I love hearing that! I usually don't rank him this high, but that car is getting some serious buzz and it is difficult for me to ignore!

7. Kyle Larson - Larson loves these 2.0 mile intermediate tracks and he should at least be a top 10 contender for Sunday's race. He don't think he has enough speed to score another win, unless they make some changes to that car. However, he has been good enough this weekend to be a quality fantasy pick overall. He won from the pole here 3 years ago, but he really wasn't that great in last season's race here. He finished 12th and that probably where he should had finish. I think he will be better in Sunday's race. I think the thing with Larson is he will always have that upside to outperform his car. If he has a top 10 (he does in my opinion), he will have a chance to finish in the top 5. This dude is that talented!

8. Jimmie Johnson - Alright I will bite! He is starting from the 2nd position and he had a strong run last weekend at Las Vegas. The Hendrick cars are off to a lot better start than they were last season. I don't believe that the 48 will hang in the top 5, but for sure could see him being a top 10 guy. If helps that he shares a garage with the No.88 team that seemed to be really fast this weekend. Johnson has more wins here than any other driver in series' history, too. Am I saying he gonna win? No, but he gonna finish in the top 10 or maybe a little more if they play out right!

9. Clint Bowyer - How about Clint Bowyer starting on the pole!? I was caught a little off guard by that, but these SHR Fords seems to be really strong in qualifying on these larger faster tracks like Auto Club and Michigan. Will Clint stay there? I honestly doubt it, but crazier things has happened. Realistically, I got him pinned as a 8th to 12th place guy. Could he outperform that? Sure! He actually performed very strong on these worn-out intermediate tracks in 2019. He finished 5th at Altanta, 6th at Darlington and 6th at Homestead! He compiled 5.7 average finish and 8.6 average running position in those 3 races. Don't sleep on Clint Bowyer, just because he didn't run well last weekend at Las Vegas.

10. Kurt Busch - I think I could rank Kurt a little higher, but I will give him a higher ceiling for the race. I liked Kurt at start of the week and I still like him plenty this weekend after practice and qualifying! He will start inside the top 10 and is pretty underrated here. Believe it or not, but this is one of his better track overall for his career. He really struggled last week in the race, even before that issue with Chastain on a late restart. I think Kurt is gonna be one of those guys that will be good enough to be talked about in this race, but not good enough to actually challenge for the win. So basically another day at the office for good ole Kurt Busch!

Just missed -

Ryan Blaney

Chase Elliott

William Byron

Denny Hamlin


****All stats from DriverAverages and Fantasy Racing Cheat Sheet

Twitter - @JeffNanthans18