Saturday, June 06, 2020

2020 Fantasy Nascar False Alarms & Last Calls (Atlanta)

Welcome to Timerssports

I didn't get around to writing up an article for this specific piece last weekend, but that's okay! We are moving onto Atlanta this weekend, which means it is another good chance to score some monster points. I love Atlanta, as it is one of my favorite tracks actually. Hopefully the good racing will stay with us in the state of Georiga. For the most part, I have really enjoyed the racing so far in 2020.

As for false alarms and last calls, my picks overall has been hit or miss in 2020. I don't keep track how they do, but I know I have been pretty dead wrong on a few of them. And hey that's the risk you take, when you make bold predictions and that what they are. Saying a popular pick will be dud will always rough up some feathers, but sometimes taking that risk is worth it. Like Erik Jones at Charlotte, I thought he was an ''False alarm'' and had a bad feeling about him. He ran well (as I kinda figured he might), but he ended up finishing outside of the top 10 in both races. Then there's Ryan Blaney who managed to sweep the top 5. It happens, but I had every reason to have doubt about him. As his inconsisency makes him an extremely risky fantasy pick on a weekly basis.

Anyways, I think I have rambled on long enough. Let's get started and dig into today's content!

False Alarms -

Matt Kenseth - Kenseth has had a rough stench of races, since joining the No.42 team. He has failed to finish in the top 15 in 4 straight races now. He had problems in all 4 races of some form, though. With that said, he hasn't exactly been stellar minus the issues. Seems like he runs okay for awhile and then he fades once we get a few runs in. Same thing with teammate, Kurt Busch and it goes deeper than that. These CGR cars has lacked speed all season long and Matt hasn't consistently been in the car over the last few seasons. If Matt Kenseth ends up finishing in the top 10, then great. But he has been in a slump lately and I betting on that trend to stay on the upwing.

Clint Bowyer - I think a lot of people will be on the Clint Bowyer's bandwagon this weekend because of the last few seasons at Atlanta and his top 5 finish at Bristol. I was very happy that he scored a top 5 finish at Bristol (I had him in all my lineups), but we shouldn't expect him to repeat that this weekend at Atlanta. In fact, I think he will be on more people radars' since he has scored back-to-back top 5 finishes at Atlanta. The problem is? He has only shown top 10 speed in one race on these intermediate tracks in 2020 and he still couldn't get a top 10 finish. His best finish on an intermediate track in 2020 is 12th at Las Vegas. He held 15.5 average running position and 75.5 driver rating for that event. If I were to use Clint this season, it would be at the shorter tracks, plate tracks and road courses. Those are his strengths!

Last Calls -

Austin Dillon - I actually like Austin Dillon more than most this weekend and he has ran pretty well since Darlington! In the five races since racing returned, he has finished 20th or better in every single race! In 4 of those 5 races, he has finished inside the top 15. And 3 of those 5 races has ended in 11th or better. Including back-to-back top 10 finishes entering this weekend's race! Austin also has finished in the top 15 at Atlanta in the past two ''even'' seasons. Such as finishing 11th in 2016 and 14th in 2018. So hopefully, that every other year trend stays active and he scores another top 15 finish. I think it is a real possability with how well these RCR cars has ran this season! Dillon is a really good sneaky pick, because I think most people are blinded on how well he has ran overall this season.

Chiroshper Bell - I wasn't super impressed with Bell early in the season, but he has started to come on stronger of late. In 3 of his last 4 races, he has finished in the top 11. There's not a lot of data to go on with him, but he has some momentum on his side and I don't think enough people realize just how big that is in fantasy nascar. In the past, we have seen drivers really ride it for all it is worth! I think it is unlikely for Bell to score another top 11 finish, but I do have a pretty good feeling about him, though. Bell has some question marks, but he someone worth watching. Especially with all of the slipping and sliding that goes on here. This track is right in his wheelhouse.

***All stats are from DriverAverages.com and FRCS.PRO

Email - Garrybriggs265@gmail.com

Twitter - @Garryy12