Friday, October 16, 2020

2020 Fantasy Nascar Likes and Dislikes (Kansas)

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Fantasy Nascar Likes & Dislikes -

Likes: 

Erik Jones - Jones was told a few months ago that he would not return to the No.20 car and might be having the season of any driver, since that point in the season. He currently has the best-average finish in the field, since we started the playoffs. Pretty incrediable for a non-playoffs driver! Kyle Larson had a pretty good run, a few years ago as a non-playoffs contender. So it happens more commonly than you would think. At Kansas, he has been awesome in his career. In 7 career starts, he has posted 11.3 average finish with 5 top 10 finishes. Including 3 top 5 finishes. And all three of those races has ocurred in the last 4 races at this racetrack. He also has came on stronger in second half of the season on these 1.5 intermediate tracks, too. In his last three races on 1.5 mile tracks, he has finished between 5th and 8th. 

Austin Dillon - Dillon has been really good in 2020 and RCR as a whole has clearly improved in the speed department, compared to a year ago. His finishes on the 1.5 mile tracks have been inconsistent, but he did win his lone race on the season at Texas. He also has had multiple finishes outside of the top 30. I say he's a top 15 driver headed in with some obvious upside. Dillon likely won't lead a bunch of laps or anything, but he should be a solid bet for a good finish between 10th and probably 14th. Of course, that if nothing goes wrong in the race, too. 

Ryan Blaney - Not a lot of people are on the Blaney bandwagon this week at Kansas and that has a lot to do with how he has ran during the playoffs. Yeah, it hasn't been pretty. However, he has been great in 2020 on the 1.5 mile tracks. He didn't perform as well as I wanted him to at Las Vegas, but he still was pretty solid. His highest finish at Kansas over the last three races is 20th. But don't be alarmed, because he finished in the top 5 in the first stages in the first Kansas' race this season. He also finished 7th and 2nd in last fall's race here. He ended up 20th and 21st in those two races. With some luck, he should challenge for a top 10 finish and maybe more! 

Dislikes - 

Clint Bowyer - Bowyer haven't been great on intermediate tracks and I think he could be a better producer on the shorter tracks. Which is why I was higher on him last week at the Roval (road course race)  and over the next couple races (Martinsville and Phoenix) than I am this weekend (and then at Texas). And these 1.5 mile tracks never been a top notch guy on the 1.5 mile tracks, either. I don't hate him, but he is nothing more than a mid-teen driver, in my opinion. So far in 2020, he has not finished in the top 10 on any intermediate track. I bank on that trend to be the case once again in 2020. So he is not a bad option, but I think other drivers in his range will have higher upside!

Matt DiBenedetto - Matt D started the year off great in general and was very consistent, but his production has really fallen off as we got into second half of the season. Matt just isn't as appealing anymore and he is a prime example of using a driver while he's hot. I think some of his decline has to do with Penske seeing their performance falling off a bit. Obviously, it hasn't been major but they were a little better at start of the year. If so, then I am sure that has affected Matt's performance as well. I also don't consider Matt to be at his strongest on the 1.5 mile tracks. He can be good, but fantasy value relies on him being consistent. Since his upside is typically limited at most tracks, in my opinion. I think it is time to put Matty D away for 2020 and see what he has to offer in 2021 in the #21 car! 

**All stats are from DriverAverages.com

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