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NFL Predictions -
Bucs at Packers -
The 2020-21 Bucs remind so much of 2007 and 2011 Giants in regards how they have gotten hot at the right time. Maybe no team in the NFL playoffs has gotten hotter over the past few months than the Tampa Bay Bucs! Every couple seasons, it seems like an NFC team get hot and make an impressive run and the Bucs certainly has the talent to get it done. I think top to bottom that the Bucs have the most talented team left in the NFL playoffs! As for this game, I think the Bucs' front 7 will determine the outcome of this game! In week 6, we saw how the Bucs' defense took over this game and literally controlled the outcome of the game. After the first quarter, they pretty much forced turnovers or three and outs on every drive vs the Packers. I think the Packers just gave up on their gameplan after the two interceptions. I do have two concerns about the Bucs, though. 1) I think their secondary might get exposed a bit, if they can't consistently get after Aaron Rodgers. Especially, if they blitz. If the Bucs blitz (they blitzed Aaron Rodgers a season-high 21 times in week 6), I think they need to hit home on them. If not, they are at a disadvantage in coverage most likely. 2) I think the Bucs' weakest part of their offense is the interior offensive line. Packers can wreck the Bucs' offensive gameplan if they get after Brady. The Packers killed the Rams last week on the interior! Probably apart of their gameplan this week!
There has been a lot of talk about Week 6 and how the Bucs dominated the Packers for 3 quarters. I know some people will say that the momentum changed after those turnovers and that why they lost. Some will say that the Packers just gave up after that. Both of things may be true, but frankly I don't think week 6 matters. Because I believe both teams are better than they were in week 6. I did go back and watch that game, though. And I am sure the Packers did, too. One thing I notice about it? Packers had a stupid gameplan on how they tried to run the football. They tried to run too many outside runs. I don't understand why they would want the Bucs' speedy linebackers to get head full of stream going in the open-field. They are too fast to block when they play like that. And guess what? Packers best two runs of the game were right up the middle attacking those speedy linebackers head on! Why up the middle? Because you can push those linebackers around with your offensive blockers and create holes. And we saw this same concept last week vs the Rams. A lot of inside zone runs are probably on tap for the Packers!
There has been a lot of talk about the Bucs' pass rush this week vs the Packers' offensive line. I think the Packers are much better equipped to stop the Bucs' pass rush this time. Why? Well for one, I think LaFleur learned something from that game. It seems like since that game, he has used a lot more set two RBs sets and more FB/TEs in the backfield to help pass protect. Aaron Rodgers haven't been sacked on a blitz since week 6. On the flip side, I think the Packers can take advantage of the Bucs' interior offensive line. Especially the offensive guards in this matchup. Rashan Gary, Kenny Clark, ZaDarius Smith and Preston Smith is a tall task for any offensive line to block. It will be interesting if the Packers play more zone defense or man defense in the secondary, though. I think them playing zone defense is safer, but I think Brady will pick them apart with a bunch of easy checkdowns and short passes. I believe man coverage is more risky, but I think they are a far better man coverage defense and I think the pass rush would benefit more!
Prediction - This is a really difficult game to predict because there are so many things to consider. Top to bottom, I think the Bucs are more talented. But I don't believe the Bucs really have a massive advantage anywhere in this matchup, though. I am leaning towards the Bucs in this one just because I think the Bucs will be able to run the football more effectively and probably control the clock. I also not sure if the Packers' pass rush can get enough pressure on Brady to take him out of his game. You don't beat Tom Brady, if you can't pressure him. I think the Packers are capable of getting to him, but like last week vs Saints, I don't believe it will overwhelm him. I have Bucs by 5 points in this one!
Buffalo at Chiefs -
I really thought the Chiefs were gonna lose in last week's game vs the Browns, after Patrick Mahomes went out. But Andy Reid is just an offensive genius! He has proven time and time again that he is one of the league's most creative minds and it really don't matter which QB is starting in his offense. He did it last season with Matt Moore and did it again with Chad Henne. Henne wasn't great, but he was certainly good enough to hold off the Browns. I am just not sure if Pat Mahomes is 100%. Sure, he passed concussion protocol and everything, but that doesn't mean he isn't being put into danger still. I get it this is a dangerous game and we don't know what can happen, but I am just not convinced that he could be cleared this soon after being almost knocked silly on Sunday. Heck, he was even practicing on Wednesday which is pretty unreal. And maybe he really is all good, as every concussion is different. Anyways, this is gonna be a great matchup between these two teams. I don't expect much defense being played. Both defense suspect, in my opinion. They both will have their chances to make plays, but I have hard time seeing this game not ending in the 30s for both offenses!
The Bills has been a really fun team this watch this season and Josh Allen has been amazing! It has been crazy to watch him take this offense to the next level! I think the addition of Stefon Diggs has been massive as we all thought he would be! But I didn't think he would have this big of impact even. He really helped Josh Allen make this one of the league's top offenses by far. Even though, they don't have a run game and that is the crazy part. Teams know that the Bills will pass the ball and they still drop crazy amount of points on you. I think almost everybody are going with Mahomes and the Chiefs! And rightfully so, but don't overlook this Bills' team! They are very capable of creating problems for Kansas City on both side of the ball! If the Bills are to win this game, I think they need to create pressure on him and give Josh Allen a couple short fields. I think they are capable of doing that, too. If they don't, I still think they have a shot in this game. But I think they will have to be perfect and probably take the top off of the Kansas City's defense a couple times in the process.
Prediction - I really want to go with the Bills in this one, but my gut is telling me that the Chiefs are gonna find a way to pull this out and head to the SuperBowl again. Pat Mahomes is a special player and special players do special things when stakes are high. We seen him do it before and I fully expect him to take over this game. Maybe it's not until the 2nd half, but at some point I think we will see the difference in these QBs. And Josh Allen has been great, but Pat Mahomes can be special and that might be the difference in this game today!
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