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We are at Dover this weekend! Fantasy Nascar in my opinion is the toughest fantasy sport game to be successful at. No other game do you have read and sort out practice data , know who will qualify well , figure out what driver will produce most points , etc. Dover will be no different. The monster mile is known to be hard on us fantasy players. Can you survive the "monster mile"? Let get rolling!
1-Jamie Mac: Nobody not in the chase is hotter then Jamie-O-Mac! I said that last week and knock off another impressive run. Since Bristol dominating performance , He have 3 Top 10s (4 races) and 2 of those were 4th place finishes. Over the past 5 races here , JMac have compiled 20.0 average finish , 3 Top 20s , 0 laps led and 77.7 driver rating. He finished inside the top 15 back in June.
2-Brad Keselowski: When he hot , he is hot! Brad K rebounded nicely at New Hampshire , even though he wrecked earlier in the race. Dover isn't a bad track to use him , but I don't think he wins though. Expect Brad K to show up with a fast racecar. Over the past 5 races here , BK have compiled 11.4 average finish , 1 win , 3 Top 5s , 3 Top 10s , 4 Top 20s, 17 laps led and 99.1 driver rating.
3-Austin Dillon: Dillon isn't my first choice for an option , but he bring two things to the table I like. Doesn't drive aggressively towards other and typically completes most of the laps. I think Dillon could be a top 15 , given he avoid trouble on Sunday.
4-Kevin Harvick: Harvick came so close last week , but that been the story of his season. Back in June ,Harvick had a car capable of winning. But had a issue and went a lap down. Rebounded to 17th , but very disappointing he was much better. Over the past 5 here ,KH have compiled 9.2 average finish , 1 Top 5 , 3 Top 10s , 5 Top 20s , 25 laps led and 98.9 driver rating.
5-Kasey Kahne: Kahne will likely need a win to advance to Round 3. So he is likely eliminated from championship contention after Sunday. Over the past 5 races , KK have compiled 15.8 average finish , 1 Top 10, 4 Top 20s , 2 laps led and 89.7 driver rating. In 21 career races , KK holds an 20.9 average finish (32nd best all-time out of 75) , 1 Top 5 , 5 Top 10s , 11 Top 20s and 90 laps led. His best finish ever here was 4th.
10-Danica Patrick: Patrick actually been solid lately. Dover been a trouble track for her though. In 4 career races , She have an 26.0 average finish. Her best finish was 23rd. There better choices out there in salary cap leagues. She might be worth it in Yahoo and other limited useage leagues.
11-Denny Hamlin: Hamlin have developed a trend over the past 5 races. That trends seems to be 1 Top 10 , followed by a finish outside top 20. Last week he finished 37th. So logically he should finish well this week. This isn't Denny best track , but Hamlin have to win or hope for contenders to have issues on Sunday. Over the past 5 races here , DH have compiled 17.0 average finish , 1 Top 5 , 2 Top 10s , 4 Top 20s , 82 laps led , 2 poles , 1 DNF and 94.5 driver rating.
14-Tony Stewart: Smoke done. Plain and simple. I was hoping to get a few more starts out of him , but I think that opportunity have slipped away. He is nothing more then test crash dummy for Harvick during practice. Should be avoided at all costs.
18-Kyle Busch: If an month ago , you told me Kyle Busch would be sitting 5th in points. I would have laughed. Well here we are. Dover been a solid track for him. Outside of Johnson , no one been better then Rowdy. Over the past 5 races , Rowdy have compiled 17.4 average finish , 2 Top 5s , 3 Top 10s , 3 Top 20s , 563 laps led , 2 DNFs and 112.9 driver rating. His average finish ranks 17th best. But his driver rating is actually what you should look at when analysing past race data. As driver average are misleading. Driver rating gives a more accurate count on a driver's performance. Only Johnson rating is better.
20-Matt Kenseth: Kenseth was looking good until Paul Menard came along at New Hampshire. Kenseth should advance to Round two , but it closer then I would want. Dover have been a good track for him over the years. Over the past 5 races , MK have compiled 17.6 average finish , 2 Top 5 , 3 Top 10s , 3 Top 20s , 84 laps led and 103.6 driver rating.
22-Joey Logano: My championship pick in January keeps on proving the haters wrong. Dover is considered Joey best track. Back in June , he really never contended. Came home with an top 10 though. Over the past 5 races here , JoLo have compiled 7.2 average finish , 1 Top 5 , 5 Top 10s , 5 Top 20s , 0 laps led and 94.5 driver rating. In 11career races at Dover , JoLo holds an 14.73 average finish , 0 wins , 3 Top 5s , 7 Top 10s and 8 Top 20s.
24-Jeff Gordon: Gordon was stout earlier this season at Dover. Had the car to beat on the long run , but didn't have anything for Johnson. Gordon overall been good at Dover in his career. Over the past 5 races here , Gordon have compiled 7.4 average finish , 3 Top 5s , 3 Top 10s , 5 Top 20s , 64 laps led and 109.5 driver rating. His driver rating ranks 3rd best only behind Johnson and Ky. Busch. His average finish ranks 5th. In 43 career races , Gordon holds 11.6 average finish , 4 wins , 17 Top 5s , 24 Top 10s , 35 Top 20s, 2,295 laps led and 4 poles.
27-Paul Menard: The window of opportunity has closed and it probably been closed since the regular season ended. He is nothing more then a fill in driver at this point. Maybe not even that. Dover been a shaky place for him as well.
31-Ryan Newman: Newman was Mr. Consistency in the final 6 or 8 races of the regular season. Now its seems to a distanced memory. One of the downsides to trust an average option like Newman. You will never know how long the consistent results. Dover been up and down for Newman. Was running top 10 before an mechanical issue just before pitting the problem surfaced.
42-Kyle Larson: Larson been impressive. Came so close at Chicago (3rd) and New Hampshire (2nd). He finished 11th earlier this season. Wasn't a true contender ever. He may score another top 10 this weekend. This kid is the real deal.
48-Jimmie Johnson: Johnson is my early pick. Folks he just been dominated here over the years. Over the past 5 races here , JJ have compiled 4.8 average finish , 3 wins , 4 Top 5s , 4 Top 10s , 5 Top 20s , 990 laps led , and 133.5 driver rating. In 25 career races , JJ holds 8.3 average finish , 9 wins , 13 Top 5s , 18 Top 10s , 23 Top 20s , 2,976 , and 4 poles.
88-Dale Jr: Dale Jr doesn't have the records of his teammates , but it shouldn't stop him from being an productive option in most format. Over the past 5 races , Dale jr have compiled 7.2 average finish , 2 Top 5s , 4 Top 10s , 5 Top 20s , 81 laps led and 102.0 driver rating.
99-Carl Edwards: RFR at one time was an top tier organization , and there was a time when RFR was good at Dover. The only problem is that is in the past. RFR looked losted last season and continued to look the same this season. They aren't the studs of yesterday. Avoid Edwards and his teammates.
Also check out: Nascar Behind The Wall . Great blog. Great content. Always got to give them a shout out.
*** All stats from http://www.driveraverages.com/
Twitter - @JeffNathans
