Welcome to Timerssports
We are at Michigan this weekend! I grow up near Plymouth , Indiana and every summer the family would take a yearly trip to Michigan for the August race. Almost every race comes down to fuel mileage. The winner could come out of nowhere. In 2013, Logano took his Ford to victory lane after Mark Martin fuel mileage gamble failed in the closing laps.
Sleeper -
27-Paul Menard: Good ole Nard Ship have had some bad outing since Kentucky. But luckily his solid record at Michigan gives him some fantasy value this week. Menard have been strong on Intermediate racetracks. There been zero races at this type racetrack since Kentucky. There been a road course , plate track , and flat tracks. Zero top 10s in that span. Upside is Menard have struggled on those tracks in 2014. Menard have scored top 10s at Las Vegas , Auto Club , Dover ,Martinsville , Texas , Charlotte , Talladega, Sonoma and Michigan. 6 of those 9 are Intermediate racetracks.
Bust -
99-Carl Edwards: RFR was a joke in June. They were so bad , I could not think of a proper joke to describe them. Almost two months later , I seen little improvement from the organization. Least on Intermediate tracks. Currently 45% on Yahoo have Edwards selected. Which is almost 10% up from Watkins Glenn. I smell disappointment like I did back in June.
Sleeper -
1-JMac: JMac rarity have made my sleeper list in 2014. But when he have , I been spot on. Looking back at my predictions , I am 4 for 5 with JMac as a sleeper. And 4 for 5 on JMac as a bust. Okay not confident in my prediction skills? Take into consideration , Jamie was strong back in the first race and finish 12th. Terrific start save option with nice upside.
Bust -
16-Greg Biffle: There no secret , I hate Greg Biffle. I think he is overrated on Intermediate racetracks. RFR as a whole get way too much credit. There no way the Biff should be rostered by 35% or more. No disrespect , but Biff haven't been relevant enough to be selected over more deserving individual. Such as Ryan Newman , JMac , Paul Menard. Heck Brain Vickers and Aric Almirola from time to time have shown more promise. Point being , Biffle have upside with a solid past track record. Unfortunately current season data is more important.
Sleeper -
31-Ryan Newman: Newman actually have gone unnoticed this week. Quite surprised to be honest. Michigan have been a good track for the local northern Indiana native. As of right now ,less then 35% have selected Newman. My theory is bad finish at Watkins Glenn have people steering away from Newman. I think that a mistake. Newman finished strong a few months ago here. No reason he cannot repeat. In fact , I would put money on a improvement.
Bust -
Denny Hamlin: Not gonna say much about Hamlin. As there isn't a lot to say. Hamlin and team 11 have performed solidly since Kentucky. Back at the first Michigan race , he was not very impressive to me. He looked lost and confused. Started outside the top 25 and lost a lap early. Never really recovered and eventually lost another lap in the process. Too many good tracks coming up for Denny to use him. Especially since his record seems to be trending down lately here.
Twitter - @Gbriggs12
