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Last week was another successful week. I went 4 for 6 and raised my overall prediction % up to 77.9% on the season for sleepers and busts. We now turn out attention to Atlanta. Logically I prefer the big guns here. As the fastest cars at end of a long run will be up front. The fall off here is unbelievable. Which really helps us fantasy nascar folks determining an starting lineup. Atlanta isn't the best place to use an sleeper , simply because players don't tend select them. Least not as much as a short track or SuperSpeedway. But I am not against it , given the price or value is right. An bust on the other hand is more difficult to figure out. So an prediction will be based off recent trends and stats for potential busts.
Sleeper -
Paul Menard: Menard is like a freaking drug. And folks I am hooked. 11 Top 10s and 4 Top 5s in 24 races. His 11 Top 10s is more then: Carl Edwards , Kyle Busch , Denny Hamlin, Tony Stewart , Kevin Harvick, Ryan Newman , and among other. Start respecting Paul Menard , he have earned. Menard have been awesome at Intermediate tracks. Look at all of the intermediate races run this season. Over 70% of them , he finished 10th or better. Still not convinced? Menard have scored most of his top 10s in 3s. He have back to back top 10s. He going for another triple at Atlanta.
Bust -
Kyle Busch: After last week meltdown on pit road. It clear , Kyle cannot be trusted. No disrespect to him , but I will probably have a hard time trusting him going forward. This is coming from one of his fans. Avoid KB will all costs to he caught fire. Using at this point can only end bad.
Sleeper -
Jamie Mac: JMac like Menard also ended up on my list of sleepers at Bristol (last week). To be honest , JM seems to a popular pick based on current momentum then possible potential heading to Atlanta. He definitely could leave a mark this weekend. Personally I still think he underrated. JMac been strong all season long of this type track. Always a nice top 15 potential , with top 10 upside.
Bust -
Brain Vickers: As of Tuesday morning , BV is selected by over 25% in Yahoo. That way to high. To put that in perceptive , he on pace to be selected by 20% come Friday. His inconsistency makes me concern. Especially on Intermediate racetracks. He been at best an top 20 guy , Top 15 potential. Honestly his results at Atlanta recently have him overvauled a bit. I don't think he back up his 10.5 average. I have about top 15 option with risk though.
Sleeper -
Danica Patrick: If Danica had a strength it may just be Intermediate tracks. She may be a bit inconsistent with her results , but the potential is always there. Rarely have she ran poorly on this type track. Always something close to top 20. If Burton not in the 14 , then I would recommend Danica in Yahoo as a start save. Not confidently of course. As Danica always bring some risk.
Bust -
Carl Edwards: I was wrong about Edwards last week. But at the same time I was right. You probably thinking , "Garry , how is that possible?" Quite simple. I was wrong on him being an bust , but his driver rating and laps completed in the top 10 disagrees. Anyways this isn't Bristol. Pit Strategy and track position isn't gonna save you. I personally don't think Edwards can run up inside the top 10 and deliever the package. Roush is giving The Biff the best equipment which is barely good enough for an top 10. Hate to see what Edwards getting. Its likely top 15 material. I expect an top 15 at best.
Which that's it for week!
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