Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits

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***All scoring is based off CBS Sports scoring

Starts -

Quarterbacks:

Phillip Rivers - Rivers should continue his already hot start against Kansas City. KC have allowed the 19th most fantasy points against QBs. Should be noted they have had only 98 pass completed (2nd fewest) and 158 pass attempted (3rd fewest). Per pass completed , they are allowing 11.6 yards/per successful play. Also 9 TDs in 5 games is 4th most by any team with a bye so far. Rivers should make work of them pretty easily. He is the 2nd best QB after week 6.

Kirk Cousins - Say whatever you want , but it hard to ignore the consistent  productive Cousins have output thus far. In his last three games , Cousins have average 330 yards and 2 TDs per game. Tennessee have allowed 10 TDs and 1565 yards in 6 games.

Colin Kaepernick: CK7 have been somewhat inconsistent this season. But he been at his best on the road. Denver just helps out his case. After 5 games , Denver defense have allowed the 15th most fantasy points against QBs. What I like most about this matchup is the Broncos have allowed the 6th most yards on the ground against QBs. Including an TD as well.

Running Backs -

Justin Forsett: Forsett have taken over the Baltimore running back. After 6 games , Forsett ranked 8th among all RBs. His abilities to add receptions to his game is an additional bonus. Atlanta have allowed the most rushing yards , and most rushing TDs. While allowing 2nd most receiving yards. What not to like about Forsett? Absolutely nothing. Start him with ease.

Andre Ellington - Ellington haven't been an elite back after 5 games , but he should be a great option against an defense such as Oakland. The Raiders have allowed the 6th most fantasy points against running backs. While allowing on average 1 TD/ per game. They have surrendered 22.8 fantasy per game. Ellington should be a good play in week 7.

Ben Tate - Tate have done very well since coming back from injury. His success should continue against Jacksonville who have allowed running backs to run wild so far in 2014. Jacksonville have allowed the 7th most fantasy points to running. Including 637 yards rushing , 293 receiving yards and 7 TDs (2 receiving.) Expect a very productive day from Mr.Tate.

Wide Receivers:

Randall Cobb - How about some love for Mr. Cobb. Not many WR2 on their respected NFL teams can say they are leading the league in Touchdown receptions. The Packers are loaded with offensive talent. Cobb may be the most underrated after 6 game. He ranked 5th among all WRs with 29 catches for 331 yards and 7 TDs. Carolina will likely be focused on Nelson , so expect more opportunities for Cobb. Also worth noting , Carolina have allowed the 7th most fantasy points against WRs. Including 9 TDs passes and 1005 yards.

Golden Tate - Calvin continues to fight injuries and Tate yet again is primed for a great potential points day come Sunday. Even if Johnson plays in week 7 , he will likely be a decoy least that speculation. Baltimore Ravens have allowed the 8th most fantasy points to Wide Outs so far in 2014. Including 1259 receiving yards (most in the NFL) , and 5 TDs.

Greg Jennings - Jennings is a sneaky play that I really like this week. He isn't the superstar he was back in Green Bay (clearly) with a lesser talent throwing to him. Nevertheless Jennings got a good matchup against Bills who have allowed the 6th most fantasy points to Wide Outs. Jennings have had solid  productive against good matchups this season.

Tight Ends:

Dwayne Allen - Welcome to the pal (Die hard quote). That line is fitting against a disgraceful Cincy defense who have allowed the 5th most fantasy points against Tight Ends in 2014. What more sad is they already had their bye. So this is based off 5 games. Only half the league have had their bye week fyi. Their 13.1 fantasy points allowed/per game ranked 1st in the NFL. Dwayne is almost must start in week 7.

Larry Donnell - Did Larry Donnell fall off face of earth? Back to back goose eggs for the young tight end. But his value just gone up with the season ending injury to Victor Cruz. The Cowboys have looked like school yard girls trying to stop the tight ends this season. They have allowed the most fantasy points to Tight ends. Including 424 yards (2nd most) and 6 TDs ( 3rd most).

Sit -

Quarterbacks:

Eli Manning - Last week , Eli was who we thought he was. In week 7 , he faces the hot Dallas Cowboys. They have allowed 4th fewest fantasy points against QBs after 6 games. Last week Cowboys contained Russell Wilson for the most part and I expect them to do the same to Eli Manning who will be without his favorite target.

Cam Newton: Newton did very well against Cincy and great for him. Unfortunately he get another unfavorable matchup against those Packers. The packers have a very good secondary. If you don't follow Packers football or not a fantasy football greek , then you probably wouldn't know that. They have allowed only 7 TDs while coming up with 9 Interceptions in 6 games in 2014. Also only have allowed 1344 yards (3rd fewest among teams who have played all 6 games this season.)

Andy Dalton - Andy Dalton have proven to be a reliable option when needed. But he not answered the bell in big time games. In week 7 , he get an unfavorable matchup against the Colts. Indy have allowed on average this season 17.2 fantasy points per game (7th fewest) and Dalton been inconsistent this season as well. Dalton ranked 28th among all QBs with an 17.2 fantasy points (average) , bench him folks.

Running Backs:

Ronnie Hillman - Hillman was great against the Jets and that's was great to see. But the 49ers is very unfavorable for him. The Niners have allowed the 4th fewest fantasy points against running backs. While only allowing 3 scores in 6 games in 2014. On average this season , Niners have allowed 11.5 ffpts per game (2nd fewest) , only to Buffalo.

Steven Jackson: I wouldn't touch if with an 10 foot pole. This guy is the definition of unreliable. I never been more disappointed in Jackson then this season. And things doesn't get any easier for him in week 7 against the always tough Baltimore defense. They have allowed 7th fewest fantasy points (71.3 total ffpts) and only 11.9 ffpts per game in 2014.

Zac Stacy - Stacy is looking like a bust after 5 games. Just terrible so far. In week 7 , the Seahawks are coming for him. Honestly even if they were playing the worse run defense , I wouldn't like his chances. Seahawks are far from the worst run defense. Actually they have allowed the 8th fewest fantasy points against running backs. Yeah I will pass.

Wide Receivers:

All jets Wide Receivers - Starting any Jet Thursday night will likely end bad. I don't see an reason nor an advantage. The Pats have done a great job this season against  much better WRs crops. On average New England have allowed 16.5 ffpts to Wide outs. I expect the outcome to be ugly.

Wes Welker - Wes Welker performance was just terrible. Garry Briggs tweet's probably best sums it up. It had to be painful to watch. Now the 49ers are up next who have allowed the 12th fewest fantasy points to Wide Outs. There are better options to consider then a weapon filled Broncos team.

Tight Ends:

Martellus Bennett - Bennett decline will most likely continue. This been an consistent trend throughout his career. He typically starts off hot in September. Then rapidly decline starting in October. In week 7 , the Dolphins in town. Despite a somewhat good matchup , I cannot overlook his declining numbers in October. Sit him for now.

Greg Olsen - An tough awaits Olsen in Green Bay. The Packers are only one of three who haven't surrendered an Touchdown this season. On average this season , the Packers have only allowed 5.0 ffpts. I am sure you could find someone with a better matchup. Least for this week that being.

**All stats from FFToday

Links to previous Starts/Sits -

Starts/Sit - Week 1

Start/Sits - Week 2

Starts/Sits - Week 3

Starts/Sits - Week 4

Starts/Sits - Week 5

Starts/Sits - Week 6

As always you can send me any fantasy football question on Twitter.

Twitter - Matt Aleza