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Saturday, January 24, 2015

2015 Fantasy Nascar Driver Preview: Jimmie Johnson

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Jimmie Johnson 2015 Profile

For any normal driver 4 wins would be a fantastic season , right? Well Jimmie Johnson isn't your normal driver. To be honest he actually had great stats across the board. Yet it considered a down year. That just speaks volumes on how great Jimmie Johnson been since debuting in 2002.

Intermediate venues will definitely be a strong suit for Jimmie Johnson. Cannot say there a weak track for him. Maybe Michigan from a career standpoint. Dover is probably his best track. In 26 races , JJ have a staggering 9 wins , 14 Top 5s and 19 Top 10s. Most NSCS drivers don't even have a race at Dover. Let alone 9 wins. 2 of those wins have came within the past 2 season. There plenty of other tracks to use him at. I would recommend Kansas , Texas , Charlotte , Darlington , Kentucky , ACS and Las Vegas.

Flat tracks always been a strong suit for Johnson. Maybe it have something to do his top tier equipment. But he seems to excell at them. Phoenix  stands out as his best track. In 23 starts , JJ have 4 wins , 14 Top 5s and 18 Top 10s. Lately Johnson been pretty decent. Outside of that one bad finish Johnson ranked among the best in the series. 3.6 Average finish minus his bad finish in November 2014. Pretty darn good.

Pocono is another excellent flat for Jimmie Johnson. In 26 trys , Johnson have 3 wins and 9.9 average finish. JJ inconsistent lately. Over past two seasons , JJ have 1 win and 2 Top 10s. But 2 finishes of 11th or worse. Pocono always been a good track Jimmie. Expect that to continue in 2015.

New Hampshire is another flat that Johnson have done great on. Yeah I know I sound like a broken record. In 26 races , Jimmie have 10.2 average finish. Including 3 wins and 23 finishes of 20th or better. Impressive. Over past 2 seasons , Johnson have 12.7 average finish. 3 Finishes inside top 10. The lone bad finish was because of last season tire issue in July.

Short tracks arguably could go down as weakness. Outside of Martinsville , Johnson been hit or miss at Richmond and Bristol. Martinsville would be the only place I trust him at. Period. In 26 races , Johnson have 8 wins and 6.5 average finish. No other  driver can say that. About any track really. At Bristol , Johnson have 1 win and 14 Top 10s. With 15.0 average finish. Not terrible. But Johnson such a great fantasy asset you want max potential every time. Bristol isn't really safe enough for that potential. Plus he usually don't dominate.

At Richmond Johnson have 3 wins in 26 races. He also only have 5 Top 5s , 9 Top 10s and 16 Top 10s. Which comes out to 17.5 average finish. Most people don't realize Johnson is overrated at RIR. Probably because those 3 wins stand out. Haven't been very good outside of that.

Plate track of Daytona and Talladega have plagued Jimmie for years. He shown improvements finish wise. I still don't trust him. Two reasons: 1) Too many unknowns at these races. 2) Too better tracks to use him at. Use him if you want. But won't see me using him.

Jimmie is one of Nascar best kept road course racer secrets. Not sure why either. He learned from probably the best road course racer in Jeff Gordon. Johnson only have 1 win. But don't be fooled. In 26 races combined , JJ have 15 Top 10s and 21 Top 20s. Let be real that legit. Johnson never get enough credit. But I get it. Too many good places to use him. Road courses get the boot. Big reason why people overlook him probably.

Johnson will have another stellar season. I won't pick him to win the championship like I did last season. But wouldn't surprise me if that happened though. With Johnson I try to use him when the situation is right. If he looks dominated in practice. Good chance he will be dominate the race. Use him. You can use him anywhere. That the not question. The 1 million dollar question is where will he score max points. Good chance he score max points at his best track. Very good reason to know his career stats.

Twitter - @MattAleza