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Hey how everyone doing? The 2015 Nascar season is upon us. Only 1 month until the Daytona 500. Who isn't excited about that? I know I am. This week we are diving in Fantasy Nascar sleepers & busts. I think there a major misunderstanding when its comes to these terms. The general public definition of a sleeper is someone who traditionally an unknown or an trending up option with potential. Or something along those lines.
That fairly accuracy definition. But most fantasy nascar players out there don't fully understand a sleeper necessary need to be an unknown (or non-star) driver. Actually any driver can be a sleeper on any given week. Keep that in mind as we get into the season. Look for trends and compare them to a driver current worth (or price). Usually there hidden value laying around waiting for you.
Busts are more difficult to determine. The difficult part about them are identifying. Typically busts are drivers you're expecting to do well. The most common signs of a bust usually vary from terrible track record , over-valued , cold streak, or inconsistency on specific track-type. Now that we cover the basics. Lets look at some sleepers and busts for the 2015 Nascar season.
***Note: All drivers in this article are from my Tier 1 selection of drivers. Based on my preferences.
****Author Note: You're solely accountable for anything you use or apply to fantasy sports related games. Timerssports should and will not be held responsible for any information you choose to use.
Sleepers:
Kasey Kahne- Yes I believe Kahne gonna have solid year in 2015. The rule package should work out in his favorite. Plus he's in HMS level equipment. Anyone in a major-caliber ride will have a chance to do well. Most people have jump off the Kahne-train. I see no harm in taking a free ride in a luxury room. I mean what the worst that could happen? Don't think his fantasy value can drop anymore. Especially after the 2014 chase effort.
Paul Menard - I rode the Nard-Dog into the ground last season. I got every ounce of value out of him. I think he can sneak into victory lane early in the season. He holds the most value in the first 12 races. After that you're basically playing with fire and gasoline. Only take one mistake to light the whole neighborhood on fire.
Martin Truex Jr - Truex Jr was someone I mentioned a lot towards end of the 2014 season. Felt like he finally got comfortable with the 78 team. Something I knew would take awhile. Truex was among the top 12 quite often in the final 10 races. I think the 78 team will use their 2014 chase success and have nice 2015 season. Don't think Truex will win. But definitely a nice underrated fantasy value.
Busts -
Sam Hornish Jr: I know a lot of people are high on Sam. But I cannot be super-high on a guy who best season was an 19.3 average finish with Penske. I am not buying into the hype. Sam never really been a legit Cup driver. He barely an upgrade from Marcos Ambrose. Not that me hating on Hornish Jr. I really like the guy. I hope he proves me wrong.
Brad Keselowski - My definition of a bust is someone fails to meet the standards of the public. After 6 wins I have heard a lot of people talk about a similar 2015 season for Keselowski. Yeah I don't think so. Since the chase format formed very few drivers have scored 5 wins in back-to-back season. Honestly I cannot name anyone outside of Jimmie Johnson. With the ever changing rules packages it very unlikely for BK to repeat an magic 2014 campaign. I expect some disappointed fans.
Twitter - @Gbriggs12