Monday, November 30, 2015

2016 FantasyNascar Profile: Danica Patrick

Welcome to TimersSports

Driver Name: Danica Patrick

Car #: 10

Make: Chevy

Season Debut: 2013

# of Career Races: 118

# of Career Poles: 1

# of Career Wins: 0

# of Career Top 5s: 0

# of Career Top 10s: 6

# of Career DNFs: 15

# of Career laps led: 27

Career Average Finish: 24.7

Career Average Start: 25.9

# of 2015 Wins: 0

# of 2015 Top 5s: 0

# of 2015 Top 10s: 2

# of 2015 Poles: 0

# of 2015 DNFs: 4

# of 2015 laps led: 7

2015 Average Finish: 23.5

2015 Average Start: 22.4

2015 Fantasy Recap: Danica was a tough driver to figure out 2015. She had some qualities run during the season, but they were never back-to-back. One week she could finish top 20 and the next wreck out. Really there was no real pattern in her finishes. Personally I think that killed her fantasy value. Even though she had some solid performances throughout the season. Her best days were on the intermediate racetrack. That actually didn't surprise me at all. Throughout her career, she have performed her best on the faster racetracks. A good result for Danica was 20th place and anything better was pretty much a bonus on most weekends.

Strong Tracks: Michigan and Atlanta

Weak Tracks: Phoenix and Indy

Yahoo Grouping Prediction: C-list Grouping Tier

Overall Value Prediction: Inconsistency with limited upside

2016 Fantasy Outlook - As I stated above, Danica will be inconsistent. But at times during the 2016 season, I expect her to get solid finishes inside the top 20. Most weekends, she won't be anything better than a 20th place driver. What holds Danica back from being a useful fantasy option is, she more often than not finishes poorly. Time and time again, I have preached on this blog that consistency is key to fantasy success. If Danica can stabilize solid finishes around 20th, then I think she could be more of a reliable option. So far in her career, she haven't proven that. Headed into 2016, she will have the potential to run well at certain tracks. More specifically, her best days will come on the intermediate racetracks. Michigan is her best track and haven't had a bad race at that venue yet. Her worst days will be on the flat racetracks. More commonly it come on the larger flats of Pocono and Indy. Shorts tracks won't be far behind. The road courses and Plates tracks will be where she is either a hit or miss. More often, I would expect her to be more reliable on the road courses.

Twitter - @JeffNathans