Saturday, July 14, 2018

2018 Fantasy Nascar Sleepers & Dark Horses (Kentucky)

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Sleepers -

Michael McDowell - After finishing 24th and 37th in his first two 1.5 mile intermediate tracks, McDowell has been one of the best values in the series. In his last four races on this type of track, he has not finished worse than 21st. With finishes of 14th (Texas), 20th (Kansas), 18th (Charlotte) and 21st (Chicago). That's pretty damn good! He will start from the 23rd starting position and I have a feeling that he has a great shot at least another top 25 finishes. And if the recent numbers are any indication, he will be in contention for a top 20 finish, too.

Paul Menard - I don't think Menard is really a sleeper anymore, but too many people disrespecting him and not giving him credit. In 5 of his last 7 races this season, he has finished in the top 14. Yes, the top 14. We have raced on three 1.5 mile intermediate tracks during that stench. All three times, he has finished in the top 14. With finishes of 6th, 14th and 13th in those three races. Not bad at all! The 21 car has shown speed all season long with Menard behind the wheel. They aren't contending for wins, like when Blaney was behind the wheel. But a decline was expected with a lesser talent. However, Menard is having one of best seasons of his career right now! He qualified 6th for tonight's race!

Dark Horses -

Clint Bowyer - I love Bowyer for tonight's race. He has been fast all season long and he is starting in the top 10 again this weekend at Kentucky. In 3 of 6 races on 1.5 mile tracks, he has finished in the top 10. All three times, he has finished in the top 10, too. He will start from 5th at Kentucky. Last time that he started 5th was Chicago. He probably had the car to beat in the early going. Any reason to believe that he cannot do it again? He certainly has the momentum to do it! Minus the Daytona's race, he had three straight races in the top 5. With finishes of 1st, 3rd and 5th from Michigan to Chicago. Don't let the driver of the #14 car go under the radar!

Erik Jones - Jones is a great dark horse pick for tonight's race. He is fresh off a win at Daytona and now he has a chance to do something great here at Kentucky. What stands out when I do research on him? He has only one finish worse than 11th on 1.5 mile tracks in 2018. More so? He three finishes of 7th or better in his last four races on 1.5 mile tracks. The Charlotte's race is the only race, where he didn't finish in the top 7. Otherwise, it would be four straight races. It should had been. He had such bad luck in that event. He got screwed multiple times by the 95 team on pit road. The most noticeable? When the 95 team ripped the air gun out of the hand of a crew member. Not intentionally, but still screwed the 20 team. They were a top 5 car, running in 2nd, prior to the pit stop. For tonight's race, he will start from the 2nd starting position. I think he will have a very strong race here at Kentucky. Maybe back-to-back wins? Certainly not totally out of the question!

***All stats are from DriverAverages.com and FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com

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