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Another weekend is here and that means another race weekend is here as well. Last weekend was a good weekend for my picks for the most part, so I can't complain too much about it. All of my sleepers & dark horses were hits I gotta say. Some of them could had done a bit better, but it was a solid weekend. Now we will turn our attention to Texas Motor Speedway, the second straight of three 1.5 mile tracks on the schedule (excluding ASR). I would personally put a lot in what has happened so far in 2020, more than what has happened at past Texas' races. If you are gonna look at past history, I wouldn't go beyond the 2017 season. As it was repave prior to the 2017 season here!
Let's get rolling!
Sleepers -
Austin Dillon - Dillon is probably one of the biggest sleepers in Nascar in 2020! He get zero respect and that's not fair at all. He has been really underrated so far this season. In reality, he has been better than most realize. On intermediate tracks, he has been very good overall. In 6 races this season, he has only one finished worse than 13th and that was a 15th place finish. In fact, his average finish in those 6 races is like 9.7. In 4 of those 6 races this season, he has finished 11th or better. At Texas, he is in that same rage. In four of his last five races at Texas, he has finished 15th or better. Including three straight finishes between 10th and 14th.
Tyler Reddick - I debated who to put on here between Reddick and Matt DiBenedetto, but I have put Matt on here a lot in recent weeks. So I will give some love to Tyler Reddick. I really enjoy watching Tyler Reddick drive a racecar and I still believe that Reddick is best driver in this rookie class. However, I gotta give major props to Cole Custer. He was impressive at Kentucky! I didn't think he would win, but he was flirting with a top 10 finish a lot in second half of the race. Back to Reddick, he has been really good this season and seems to excel on these intermeidate tracks the most it seems. In six races this season on 1.5 mile tracks, he has posted 11.8 average finish and has finished in the top 10 in half of those races. Reddick is legit on these 1.5 mile intermediate tracks and would make a strong fantasy option in many formats.
Dark Horses -
Aric Almirola - Almirola has ran great in recent weeks and I think we gotta keep riding that wave of momentum that he has. He didn't keep his streak of top 5 intact at Kentucky, but he ended up leading the most laps on last Sunday at Kentucky. This weekend, he will be starting on the pole for Sunday's race. He has a great record here over the last few races at Texas. In his last three races at Texas, he has finished in the top 8 in all three races. Almirola is in general just a very good fantasy pick and will have enough upside to finish inside the top 5. Doesn't hurt that he could easily win a stage with starting in position no.1 right off the bat!
Kurt Busch - I was gonna say Ryan Blaney here but he's a heavy favorite in my eyes and we expect him to win or at least lead laps. So I will go with Kurt Busch. I really haven't been that high on Kurt this year, but I am higher than usual on him. He has been pretty consistent at Texas and coming off a pretty solid race at Kentucky. He had the 7th-best average running position and 6th-best driver rating for the event. Maybe he's not a possible race-winning dark horse pick, but nobody would be too shocked if he end up in victory lane. I say that would be a reach for him to actually pull it off, but top 10 and maybe more is very realistic to me!
***All stats are from DriverAverages.com and FCRS.PRO
Email - Garrybriggs265@gmail.com
Twitter - @Garryy12
Another weekend is here and that means another race weekend is here as well. Last weekend was a good weekend for my picks for the most part, so I can't complain too much about it. All of my sleepers & dark horses were hits I gotta say. Some of them could had done a bit better, but it was a solid weekend. Now we will turn our attention to Texas Motor Speedway, the second straight of three 1.5 mile tracks on the schedule (excluding ASR). I would personally put a lot in what has happened so far in 2020, more than what has happened at past Texas' races. If you are gonna look at past history, I wouldn't go beyond the 2017 season. As it was repave prior to the 2017 season here!
Let's get rolling!
Sleepers -
Austin Dillon - Dillon is probably one of the biggest sleepers in Nascar in 2020! He get zero respect and that's not fair at all. He has been really underrated so far this season. In reality, he has been better than most realize. On intermediate tracks, he has been very good overall. In 6 races this season, he has only one finished worse than 13th and that was a 15th place finish. In fact, his average finish in those 6 races is like 9.7. In 4 of those 6 races this season, he has finished 11th or better. At Texas, he is in that same rage. In four of his last five races at Texas, he has finished 15th or better. Including three straight finishes between 10th and 14th.
Tyler Reddick - I debated who to put on here between Reddick and Matt DiBenedetto, but I have put Matt on here a lot in recent weeks. So I will give some love to Tyler Reddick. I really enjoy watching Tyler Reddick drive a racecar and I still believe that Reddick is best driver in this rookie class. However, I gotta give major props to Cole Custer. He was impressive at Kentucky! I didn't think he would win, but he was flirting with a top 10 finish a lot in second half of the race. Back to Reddick, he has been really good this season and seems to excel on these intermeidate tracks the most it seems. In six races this season on 1.5 mile tracks, he has posted 11.8 average finish and has finished in the top 10 in half of those races. Reddick is legit on these 1.5 mile intermediate tracks and would make a strong fantasy option in many formats.
Dark Horses -
Aric Almirola - Almirola has ran great in recent weeks and I think we gotta keep riding that wave of momentum that he has. He didn't keep his streak of top 5 intact at Kentucky, but he ended up leading the most laps on last Sunday at Kentucky. This weekend, he will be starting on the pole for Sunday's race. He has a great record here over the last few races at Texas. In his last three races at Texas, he has finished in the top 8 in all three races. Almirola is in general just a very good fantasy pick and will have enough upside to finish inside the top 5. Doesn't hurt that he could easily win a stage with starting in position no.1 right off the bat!
Kurt Busch - I was gonna say Ryan Blaney here but he's a heavy favorite in my eyes and we expect him to win or at least lead laps. So I will go with Kurt Busch. I really haven't been that high on Kurt this year, but I am higher than usual on him. He has been pretty consistent at Texas and coming off a pretty solid race at Kentucky. He had the 7th-best average running position and 6th-best driver rating for the event. Maybe he's not a possible race-winning dark horse pick, but nobody would be too shocked if he end up in victory lane. I say that would be a reach for him to actually pull it off, but top 10 and maybe more is very realistic to me!
***All stats are from DriverAverages.com and FCRS.PRO
Email - Garrybriggs265@gmail.com
Twitter - @Garryy12
