Welcome to Timerssports
Football is back and so far it has been a crazy couple weeks of betting for your friend, Garry! Two weekends ago, I went 17-2 on my bets. Then last week it was a complete circus but betting on MLB middle of the week usually don't bodes well for your betting momentum. So I stood out of doing anything last weekend, minus betting Indiana +10 and Kansas st ML, which ended as you would thought *face palm*
This week has been much better, though. The mojo is back! Hit on Saints ML and Steelers (live) ML on Monday night. We came back on Tuesday to hit on WNBA with Washington Mystics +6.5 and Dallas Wings -6.5. Wednesday, we got off track by betting the Reds in the early afternoon. Good bet as Greene struckout 14 batters in the first 7 innings but it all ended south with the bullpen as they lost 4-3 somehow. Next up was the Rockies ML +135 (live). I normally stay away from bad teams, but MLB is exception. They led the entire game until the 8th inning. It wasn't a smart bet, but it was one they should have won. So I am fine with that outcome. The lynx was up next at 8 and it was one I do regret. As they lose by 15 to the Sun in the WNBA
As bettors, we are always looking to get our money back and that why Vegas loves us! Unless, we get hot and that exactly what happened next! First, I went Tigers/Dodgers under 8.5. Banger. Followed it up on Thursday with Brewers ML, as you would expect it was easy money. Then of course it was football on Thursday and it was an no doubter. As I placed 3 single bets on Georgia state spread of +7.5. I loved Georgia state so much I put a 4th one together with 49ers -9.5.
We are gonna try to keep the momentum going into Friday night and then onto Saturday massive slate of games! As a bettor, it doesn't get much better than this! There's a lot of good games on Saturday and we are gonna try to feast before NFL Sunday Week 3 starts. If we play our cards right, then we can have a really good weekend!
Let's roll into Week 4 betting predictions!
Wisconsin vs Purdue, 7 pm Friday
I don't love Wisconsin, I just don't. They have a great backfield and good blocking offensive line. But this new offense really haven't taken off as many were hyping them up to be under their new coach. Now, they are 2-1 which is good. But problem is, they have gotten off to poor starts in every single game this season. I think part of it is because their defense really hasn't lived up to the expectations, either. It is an all-around issue on both sides of the ball.
Purdue hasn't been good at all this season, especially on defense side of the ball. I am not concerned about the offense as they have been able to score points. That is not the problem here by any means. I do have a concern about them turning the ball over, though. If they lose the turnover battle on Friday night, I really don't give them much of a chance of winning this game. If they want to beat Badgers for the first time in last 17 games, then they will have to be perfect. They will need to create some turnovers and stop the run. Then be able to effective move the ball
Personally, I can't take Purdue in Friday's night game. Even on the spread, I think 5.5 is not enough points for me to feel comfortable. I think if you combine that with 16 straight losses to the Badgers, I don't want any part of the Boilermakers! Now, I don't want any part of Wisconsin on the spread, either. They haven't proven to me that they can trusted by any means. They will win this football game, but there is only one play I am comfortable with in this matchup!
Recommendation: Badgers Money Line
Air Force vs San Jose State, 10:30 pm Friday
This battle between these two teams are two teams that have scheduled their opponents vastly different so far. San Jose St picked a tougher schedule with the likes of USC and Oregon st in the first couple games, while Air Force have played the likes of Utah State and Robert Morris. So the question becomes, are we sure Air Force should be the favorites here? I think the answer is zero question! In betting, we look at three things. If they are the favorite, we look how they played lesser talented teams. In Air Force's case, they have dogwalked all 3 teams they played. Bad teams don't do that. Next, we look at the opponent. What do they do well and what do they don't well? Well, I think San Jose state has the best QB in their conference. Chevan Cordeiro is a fun and exciting player, overall I think he has done a fine job. Even with the tough schedule so far, I think he has done really well. I think the problem is San Jose state has allowed 175 rushing yards per game. That is a really big problem, though as Air Force is one of the nation's top rushing teams.
The third thing we look at is what does Air Force do well? There are two things that they will have advantage at in this game! The first (already mentioned) is that Air Force runs the ball extremely well. The second thing is they have a stellar defense. An defensive unit that performed very well in 2022 as well. So it isn't a fluke that the Falcons are looking sharp on defense side of the ball. In betting, we know two things about this style of team. A run-first team is usually bad for unders and point spreads. In San Jose state's case, it is bad for their point spread. As Air Force will most likely drain the clock with the run game and limit the time that they have the ball. If this happens on Friday night, San Jose State will not cover this game.
Personally, I am going with Air Force on the spread in this one. I think San Jose state has a capable offense and has done well vs the spread. But problem is, I just can't see them getting enough chances to keep it at a touchdown game!
Recommendation: Air Force -6
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Garry Briggs