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Sunday, February 26, 2023

2023 Fantasy Nascar DFS Targets and Fades (Cali)

 Welcome to Timerssports

If you play DFS (Daily Fantasy Sports) games like FanDuel or DraftKings, then this is probably the article you are looking for as I will breakdown each week the drivers that I will be targeting and staying away from. It will make things more challenging this weekend as there was no practice and qualifying. I think it will be easier to get some value from some good drivers starting deep in the field and should move forward. With that said, there are some good drivers in the mid-price range that would be good options normally. However, if they are starting further up then their value goes down. Regardless, we have some nice plays for the weekend! Let's dig into targets and fades!

Targets - 

Chase Elliott - While I am not super high on Elliott as a possible race winning contender, I think he will be a great addition in DFS games as he is probably one of the best top drivers to start outside of the top 30. With that said, everybody and their mother will have him in their lineups this weekend. 

Kyle Larson - Larson will undoubtedly be one of the highest priced drivers this weekend at Cali, as he should with being the race defending winner. He is also starting 15th and should move up to the front and contend for the win. Larson is easily one of the most talented drivers in the field and ended 2022 very strong. I am very high on him for 2023 and I think he will contend for a lot of race wins, too. 

Kyle Busch - Much like Kyle Larson, I think Kyle Busch will be very strong in 2023. He will start outside of the top 20 and much like the other target drivers, he will start deeper in the field. In 23 races at Cali, he has produced 16 Top 10 finishes. So the chances are he will finish in the top 10 again this weekend. When we pick drivers that start deeper in the field, we need them to finish in the top 10 at least. I think Busch have enough upside to do that and possibly much more. Don't over think this!

Fades - 

Kevin Harvick - I think Harvick will finish just a few spots higher or lower than his starting position and that's a problem to me. To be a great DFS option, you must either gain a lot of positions or start up front and dominate. I don't think Harvick gonna challenge for a win and he starts too far up to be a good candidate to gain bunch of spots. Harvick is a easy candidate to avoid for me!

Alex Bowman - Some people might be on the Bowman wagon this weekend based on him domianting in 2020 here, but that's 3 seasons ago and he hasn't proven that he can consistently go out and lead laps at any given track. Bowman will start 4th and will likely head in the opposite direction. I say he might be able to hang around in back half of the top 10, but he is probably from there to a mid-teen driver. I don't buy into the hype with guy, I might if this was one of his teammates, though. 

Ryan Blaney - Blaney has 3 traits as a driver (in my opinion) and has consistently displayed these traits time and time again. The first would be the ability to consistently inconsistent. If you played Fantasy Nascar enough, I am sure you have been burned number of times by him. His second trait would be being the most unlucky driver in the sport. And the 3rd would be a weekly race contender to only be fool gold by end of the race. They all kinda go hand and hand. I don't trust Blaney and frankly he starts too far up to be a strong DFS play anyways. Even if he didn't have those concerns, I would probably stay away because he kinda in DFS hell starting 9th. Doesn't really start up front, but not far enough back to have the PD value, either. 

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