Welcome to Timerssports
Happy Thursday, sports fans! For the next 7 weeks, there is football on every single day of the week! We all have an excellent chance to win a lot of money, but we also have to be smart about so we have enough money to bet everyday. There is a big difference in betting a couple times a week and 7 days a weeks for extended period time! The first day (yesterday), we got off a decent start. I put two units on Jacksonville st (+3.5) and then 1 unit on under 52. Jacksonville state came back and won by 45-30 after being down 23-7. However, the under didn't hit. I didn't love the under not cashing, but I ended up a little over half unit up for the night. So what should we do for day 2? It is hard to say since there is only a couple games on. I will give you my personal plays for each game. There are two College Football games on and one NFL game on. Let's dig in!
Liberty vs Sam Houston State
Current line as of posting: -20.5/+20.5
You know I originally thought making this my favorite play of the night, but I have since taken a step back. Not because I don't think this is a blowout. Because this game has the making of a complete utter manslaughter. Liberty has one of the best offenses in the nation and ranked in the top 10 in points per game and yards. They are number 2 in rushing offense to only Air Force. They rack up over 270 yards per game on the ground and still average over 200 yards through the air. They are lethal on offense and their defensive rankings are all very strong. Sam Houston State are dead last in points per game and only once topped double digits points in a game. That happened to be in their last game, where they went crazy for 28. As crazy as it sounds, that worried me. Now, do I think that was fluke? You bet your bottom dollar, I do. I think Liberty will roll Sam Houston State pretty good. Personally, I don't like backing heavy favorites though. So I won't have any money in this game, but I think there is a strong chance Liberty is up by at least two and a half touchdowns by halftime. Back Liberty on the spread at 20.5. I would go up to 21.0, if I had
Official recommendation: Liberty -20.5
Western Kentucky vs LA Tech
Current line as of posting: -6/+6
This will be the best game of the three and there are two plays that I actually would recommend, which would depend how you want to play it. Western Kentucky is the 6 points favorite in this matchup, which is fair since they are regarded as one of the top teams in CUSA. But are they? They have taken a noticeable step back this season compared to last season. Austin Reed is a stud at QB, but they aren't moving the ball as well as last season. He getting pressured at a lot high rate than a year ago and his WRs are dropping balls at a higher rate than a year ago. On other side, Western Kentucky defense has been inconsistent and hasn't been able to effectively stop the run. Their pass defense is still pretty decent, though. LA Tech isn't anything special, especially if the backup is playing again. That isn't why I like them in this matchup, though. They have excellent secondary and quite possibly one of the best outside of the Power 5. One thing about Western Kentucky this season is, they haven't fair well vs good secondaries. This will be one of those games. So do I think Western Kentucky win by a full touchdown? I don't and I also believe the total of 59.5 is way too high for this matchup based on things we have already discussed!
My official recommendation: LA Tech +6 (down to +5.5) or under 59.5 (down to 56.5)
Bears vs Commanders
Current line as of posting: -6/+6
I just want it to be known that I will not be playing anything on Thursday night football. Now, I do feel decent about the play that I am writing up about. However, I have zero interest in watching a game between the Bears and Commanders. That just sounds awful, the only people watching that game are those respected fanbases or sicko that bet on because they feel they need to bet on the NFL. Not me, though. However, if I were looking at an angle for this game. I think the spread for this game is a little too high overall. Look, the Bears suck. We all know that, but I don't personally think the Commanders are all that much better. At least not a full Touchdown better. I think Justin Fields will get loose in the opening field and be able to move the football. It also should be noted that teams that played Overtime on the previous Sunday, went 1-8 on the spread on Thursday night football. That is not a good number. I don't love the Commanders secondary, either. Justin Fields isn't a good passer, but as Denver showed us that bad secondaries can make even bad quarterbacks look good. Washington is better than Denver, but I think Fields will hit some plays and keep this game close enough. Remember this is the NFL, we don't see blowouts every game. I think this spread is simply too high
Official recommendation: Bears +6
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Site Owner
Garry Briggs
