Monday, December 15, 2014

2015 Fantasy Nascar Profile: Joey Logano

Welcome to TimersSports

Driver Name: Joey Logano

Car #: 22

Make: Ford

Aka: JoLo ,Sliced Bread

Rookie Season: 2009

Number of Championships: 0

# of Career starts: 218

# of Career Poles: 8

# of Career Wins: 8

# of Career Top 5s: 43

# of Career Top 10s: 82

# of Career DNFs: 20

# of Career laps led: 1653

Career Average Finish: 16.7

Career Average Start: 15.0

# of 2014 Wins: 5

# of 2014 starts: 36

# of 2014 Top 5s: 16

# of 2014 Top 10s: 22

# of 2014 Poles: 1

# of 2014 DNFs: 4

# of 2014 Laps led: 993

2014 Average Finish: 11.1

2014 Average Start: 9.8

2014 Reap: For the record , Logano was my championship pick back in January. People laughed. Well they didn't laugh for long. As JoLo had his best season ever in 2014. He previously had only 3 career victories from 2008 - 2013. He scored 5 in 2014. Top 5s? Nearly doubled his previous career total of 27. Had 16 in 2014 alone. Top 10s? Had 22 of them in 2014. In 2 seasons , Logano have 41 Top 10s. His whole career with JGR (4 seasons) , Logano had 41 Top 10s. Yeah he had a fantastic 2014.

Strong tracks: Dover , Charlotte , Texas and Atlanta

Weak tracks: Darlington

Yahoo Grouping Prediction: A  grouping Tier

Overall Value Prediction: Steaky option with high potential

2015 Fantasy Outlook: Joey Logano is one of my dark horses to win the championship. I say "dark horse" because I believe Logano doesn't repeat his 2014 performance. Two big reasons: 1) Its hard to back up 5 wins , 16 Top 5s & 22 Top 10s. 2) I don't think Penske will have a significant advantage like in 2014. I expect Logano to be a major threat in 2015 , but not like many are predicting after a career year. I expect 2-3 wins , 9-14 Top 5s , 15-19 Top 10s in 2015 from Logano in '15.

Twitter - @JeffNathans

2015 Fantasy Nascar Profile: Ryan Blaney

Welcome to TimersSports

Driver Name: Ryan Blaney

Car #: 21

Make: Ford

Aka: N/A

Rookie Season: N/A

Number of Championships: 0

# of Career starts: 2

# of Career Poles: 0

# of Career Wins: 0

# of Career Top 5s: 0

# of Career Top 10s: 0

# of Career DNFs: 0

# of Career laps led: 15

Career Average Finish: 24.5

Career Average Start: 12.5

# of 2014 Wins: 0

# of 2014 starts: 2

# of 2014 Top 5s: 0

# of 2014 Top 10s: 0

# of 2014 Poles: 0

# of 2014 DNFs: 0

# of 2014 Laps led: 15

2014 Average Finish: 24.5

2014 Average Start: 12.5

2014 Reap: Blaney made two starts in 2014 for Penske racing. Neither of them were super impressive , but those were only his only two career starts in NSCS. His best finish of the two were at Talladega. Where he came home 22nd. Had an solid 24.5 average finish.

Strong tracks: N/A

Weak tracks: N/A

Additional info on Blaney: Blaney have a lot of unknowns heading into 2015. He's so young , we don't know what his strong & weak tracks are. In 2015 he will drive the 21 car. Its is expected to br entered in the same races as Bayne was scheduled in (least I would assume.) Which is really intermediate racetracks.

Yahoo Grouping Prediction: C  grouping Tier

Overall Value Prediction: Inconsistency with slight to mild upside

2015 Fantasy Outlook: I am really not high on Blaney in 2015. Big reason he is young. Second , Blaney will probably use 2015 to learn NSCS better. Kinda like what Bayne did. He was never super-impressive , but all that mattered was the seat time. Blaney should be able knock off a few top 20s. But beyond that I say that about his ceiling.

Twitter - @JeffNathans

Sunday, December 14, 2014

2015 Fantasy Nascar Profile: Matt Kenseth

Welcome to TimersSports

Driver Name: Matt Kenseth

Car #: 20

Make: Toyota

Aka: Mr. Consistency

Rookie Season: 2000

Number of Championships: 1 (2004)

# of Career starts: 544

# of Career Poles: 11

# of Career Wins: 31

# of Career Top 5s: 151

# of Career Top 10s: 270

# of Career DNFs: 46

# of Career laps led: 9455

Career Average Finish: 14.1

Career Average Start: 18.2

# of 2014 Wins: 0

# of 2014 starts: 36

# of 2014 Top 5s: 13

# of 2014 Top 10s: 22

# of 2014 Poles: 2

# of 2014 DNFs: 2

# of 2014 Laps led: 529

2014 Average Finish: 13.2

2014 Average Start: 14.0

2014 Reap: Matt K wasn't overly stellar in 2014. He was a major letdown in many people opinion. But I disagree. Outside of the win, average start and pole categories , Kenseth improved in every major category. Including Top 5 , Top 10 and average finish. Why did he improve in those categories? With JGR being down on power , Kenseth was able to get back to more consistency. I think it worked out great for him.

Strong tracks: Atlanta , Kansas and Kentucky

Weak tracks: Sonoma and Pocono

Additional info on Kenseth: There two type of drivers. Inconsistent and Consistent drivers. MK is the king of consistency. Big reason why MK haven't won a lot of races over the years. Only winning roughly every 18 races. MK can be super-competitive when needed , but he prefer being consistent. Anytime I am struggling to pick a driver. MK is the guy I go to. Why? He's a safe bet. 14.1 Average finish over 500+ races is pretty impressive.

Yahoo Grouping Prediction: A grouping Tier

Overall Value Prediction: Consistency with major upside

2015 Fantasy Outlook: I expect JGR to have more speed in 2015. More importantly , I think the 2015 package might benefit JGR the most. I see Matt K returning to his winning ways like in 2013. Or being consistent like he was in 2014. Either way MK should be a nice value in most formats. Figuring out which one he is will be an important factor early in the season.

Matt Kenseth Review - NBTW

Twitter - @Jeffery_Nathans

Saturday, December 13, 2014

2015 Fantasy Nascar Profile: Carl Edwards

Welcome to TimersSports

Driver Name: Carl Edwards

Car #: 19

Make: Toyota

Aka: Cousin Carl

Rookie Season: 2005

Number of Championships: 0

# of Career starts: 373

# of Career Poles: 13

# of Career Wins: 23

# of Career Top 5s: 108

# of Career Top 10s: 187

# of Career DNFs: 23

# of Career laps led: 4850

Career Average Finish: 13.5

Career Average Start: 15.3

# of 2014 Wins: 2

# of 2014 starts: 36

# of 2014 Top 5s: 7

# of 2014 Top 10s: 14

# of 2014 Poles: 0

# of 2014 DNFs: 2

# of 2014 Laps led: 135

2014 Average Finish: 15.1

2014 Average Start: 13.5

2014 Reap: Edwards was inconsistent all season long. Never was really competitive for a entire race. Honestly not sure how he manage to get a lot of those good finishes. If you watched Edwards in 2014 , it was clear he was at best an 15th place driver most weekends. His driver rating can probably back that up too.

Strong tracks: Watkins Glenn , Michigan , Homestead and Kansas.

Weak tracks: Talladega , Martinsville and Kentucky

Yahoo Grouping Prediction: A grouping Tier

Overall Value Prediction: Consistency with high potential

2015 Fantasy Outlook: I expect good things from Edwards in 2015. Edwards is jumping from Ford to Toyota. Last driver to do that (Kenseth) did it pretty successfully. I don't see 7 wins from Edwards. But an career year could be on tap. Kinda interested how Edwards does right off the bat with a new team. I expect 2-4 wins , 12-15 Top 5s , 14-18 Top 10s in 2015.

Twitter - @Jeffery_Nathans

Friday, December 12, 2014

Fantasy Nascar Sleepers Review (2014)

Welcome to TimersSports

The 2014 Nascar season ended roughly 1 month ago. Like your average race fan , I decided to take some time off. To be honest , I love talking (and writing) about Nascar. More specific Fantasy Nascar. Not because I am good at it. But because I find it thrilling. So I am beyond happy to be getting back at it. Even if it only the offseason!

In today's article , I compiled an list of the  sleepers from 2014 season. Let get started!

*Author Note - Individual weren't eligible if they were one of 16 chase contenders.

Garry's Sleepers List:

Jamie McMurray - McMurray in my opinion had his best season ever. But wasn't taken serious until after the chase started by most. JMac had a great chase no doubt , but his value was pretty darn high all season long. Big reason was he wasn't being pick. I will admit I was one of them who didn't take Jamie serious. Mainly because I been burned so many times over the years. In 2014 , Jamie had many solid performances. But he also had multiple terrible performances which probably chase most players away early to mid season. Overall he was a nice sleeper option.

Casey Mears - Mears surprisingly had a much better season then most realize. Check out Jeff Nathans's Casey Mears Profile . Jeff made some great points about Mears. More specifically , it was stated Mears had his best season since 2009. His 22.5 average finish , 4 Top 10s and 1 Top 5 makes 2014 his best season with the 13 team. Mears also only had 1 DNF. That's pretty impressive to be honest.

Danica Patrick - Danica get an slot on my rankings. I thought she was overlooked a lot mainly because of how inconsistent and limit upsided she was in 2013. Danica easily improved in almost every major category. She also had a breakout performance at Kansas. Wasn't ever given enough credit. She not a star. We cannot expect star-type numbers.

Paul Menard - Menard in my opinion belongs at the top when it came to sleepers in the regular season. I firmly believe you have to jump on a trend in early season. Then ride it into the ground. Menard had 11 Top 10s in the first 24 races. Which ranked inside the top 10 among all drivers in the Cup Series in that span. He also racked up 4 Top 5s in first 24 races. After that point , Menard just quit trying really. Still a great season that mostly went unnoticed.

Twitter- @Gbriggs12

Wednesday, December 10, 2014

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits (WK15)

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***Scoring Format: CBS Scoring

Quarterbacks-

Starts:

Eli Manning- Manning who been inconsistent this season have been given a fantastic matchup vs Washington. The Redskins have allowed the most fantasy football points per game (24.8) vs Quarterbacks. Maybe last time vs Washington on TNF? I sure do.

Tony Romo- Romo bounced back nicely in week 14 (as I said he would) , and now Romo have another solid matchup. I know many people will be hesitant to have confidents in Romo again vs Philly. Remember Romo been much better on the road then at home. Matter of fact , Dallas haven't lost all year on the road. The Eagles have allowed the 4th most fantasy points per game (23.6) vs Quarterbacks. Over the past 5 weeks , Romo have scored the 11th most fantasy points per game (22.6) vs QBs. Over the past 3 weeks , Romo also scored the 11th most fantasy points per game (20.9) over the previous 3 weeks.

Jay Cutler- Cutler been inconsistent this season , but his matchup vs New Orleans is a fantastic matchup. The Saints have allowed the 5th most fantasy points per game (22.9) vs Quarterbacks. I think Cutler will have a nice stat line vs an terrible pass defense. Not like New Orleans have a stout overall defense. I mean Cam Newton had a field day in week 14.

Sits:

Colin Kaepernick- CK7 is like a monster movie. Its ugly , but how ugly its get all a part of the fun. The past two weeks may have hit his lowest in San Fran. Highly doubt he does anything vs Seahawks. Seattle have allowed the fewest fantasy points per game (14.5) vs Quarterbacks. Over last 3 weeks , Colin ranked 30th of 42 Quarterbacks with 9.9/average fantasy points per game. Only Geno Smith and Brian Hoyer have scored less fantasy points , who played in week 12,13 and 14.

Drew Stanton- The Rams don't really have a well-know reputation for a dominated pass defense. In 2014 , they have allowed the 8th fewest fantasy points per game (17.8) vs Quarterbacks. Stanton been pretty average overall. I would sit him , as over past 3 weeks Rams allowed only 7.7 points per game. Which is 2nd fewest fantasy points per game in that span.

Ryan Tannehill- Loads of respect for Tannehill , but New England defense can cause problems for Quarterbacks. Rivers sure found out the hard way in week 14. Pats have allowed the 13th fewest fantasy points per game (19.0) vs Quarterbacks. Tannehill over past three weeks have ironically averaged 19.0 fantasy points per game.

Running backs-

Starts:

Justin Forsett- Forsett continues to have an awesome season. The Jacksonville defense been far from impressive against the run. As they have allowed the 6th fantasy points per game (21.8) vs Running backs. They've allowed the 9th most fantasy points (23.7) vs Running backs over the past 3 weeks. Forsett have scored the 5th most fantasy points  per game (19.0) since week 12 vs Running backs.

Joique Bell- Bell been pretty good all season long. Since week 12 , Bell have scored the 7th most fantasy points per game. The Vikings been inconsistent against the run as they have allowed the 9th most fantasy points per game (20.6) vs Running backs. While surrendering the 13th most fantasy points per game (18.1) vs Running backs. Bell get added value with catching passes out of the backfield from time to time.

LeGarrette Blount- I like Blount this week vs Miami. Over the past 3 weeks , he have averaged 11.1/ fantasy points per game. In that span he have averaged 67.3/yards per game. Dolphins have allowed the 15th most fantasy points per game (18.5) vs Running backs. While allowing the 6th most per game over previous 3 games (24.2) vs Running backs.

Sits:

Frank Gore- Gore have been decent this season as he ranked among the top 25 scorers on the season. But he only have averaged 7.8 fantasy per game on the season. While ranking 47th among backs in total points (11.5) over past 3 games. His average fantasy points  in that span? Dreadful 3.8 fantasy points per game. In which he have only tallied 127 yards on 35 carries. Seattle have allowed the fewest fantasy points to running backs this season.

Lamar Miller- Miller have been at best average over past 5 weeks. Where he only have scored 1 TD and have 56 yards per game. The Patriots been very unkind to running back in the recent weeks. Over previous 5 weeks (4 games) , New England have allowed the fewest fantasy points (9.5) vs running backs. Allowing the 5th fewest fantasy points per game (11.6) vs running backs in past 3. Since week 10 , New England have allowed 0 rushing Touchdowns.

Denard Robinson- Robinson started off as a hot item when first throw into the starting role midseason. In the recent weeks , DRob have been very unproductive while failing to top 100 yards in his last 3 games combined. Ravens been very good vs the run all season. They have allowed the fewest fantasy points per game (12.1) vs running backs.

Wide Receivers-

Starts:

Sammy Watkins- Watkins have had a great rookie season. The Packers should only help his cause. The Packers have allowed 4th most fantasy points per game (26.1) vs Wide Outs. No other defense have allowed more then 18 Touchdowns. Packers defense have allowed 20 on the season vs Wide Outs.

Alshon Jeffery- Back in week 12 (View week 12 article) I felt like Jeffery could be a useful option in upcoming weeks. Over past 3 weeks , Jeffery have scored the 8th most fantasy points per game. While scoring 4 Touchdowns and receiving 188 yards. Marshall is done for year which gives Jeffery even more opportunities. Saints have allowed the 7th most fantasy points per game (25.1) vs Wide Outs this season.

Odell Beckham Jr- OBJr keeps on impressing me. Not the catches he makes , but how effective and consistent productive he's is. Over his past 5 games , OBJr have caught 41 passes (8.2/per game) for 567 yards and 3 Touchdowns. Only Julio Jones (694) have more yards. Washington loves giving up fantasy points to Wide Outs. As they have allowed the 9th most fantasy points per game (24.7) vs Wide Outs this season.

Sits:

Michael Crabtree- Crabtree been terrible in recent weeks. Big reason is his QB poor performances. Seattle will not do him any favors. Seattle have allowed the fewest fantasy points per game (14.5) vs Wide Outs this season. For those wondering , Crabtree have scored 12.4 fantasy points combined in his past 3 games. Which averages out to 4.1 fantasy points per game. In that span , he have 17 catches for 124 yards. Ranked 72nd in total fantasy points of all Wide Outs.

Larry Fitzgerald- Larry Fitz probably one of my favorite players of all time. But even I abandoned ship on the Larry Fitz SS. That ship was a lose cause when Carson Palmer went down. Unlike the Philly system , not any old QB can be successful. Plus it Drew Stanton , you know the ex-backup Detroit Lion. Not exactly a winning formula. Rams have allowed the 6th fewest fantasy points over past 3 weeks.

Any Seahawks Wide Receiver- Lets be honest , Seattle have solid offense. But trying to figure out the WR core required an Sherlock Holmes. Not even Baldwin (their top wideout) a lock to score an TD. San Fran have allowed the 6th fewest fantasy points per game (19.0) vs Wide Outs. I take my chances with a more upsided option.

Tight Ends -

Starts:

Larry Donnell- Donnell may be extremely inconsistent. But last time Donnell faced Washington , he scored 3 Touchdowns. I say he doesn't repeat , but I don't see how he doesn't score least 1 In the rematch. Washington have allowed the 2nd most fantasy points per game (10.7) vs Tight Ends this season.

Delanie Walker- Not very productive last few weeks, but the Jets are here to help our buddy Walker out. The Jets have allowed the 5th most fantasy points per game (10.3) vs Tight Ends this season. Jets have allowed 12 Touchdowns to Tight ends in 2014. Most in the league.

Sits:

Heath Miller- Miller been inconsistent all season long. In recent weeks , he seems to be back on track after a slow start. Week 15 probably must-avoid against Atlanta who have allowed the 3rd fewest fantasy points per game (5.2) vs Tight Ends. While only allowing 2 Touchdowns all season long. Eagles are the only team to surrender less in 2014.

Jermaine Gresham- Gresham scored his third Touchdown of 2014 vs Pittsburgh. Unfortunately that only his second game he scored a Touchdown this season. Cleveland have allowed the 10th fewest fantasy points per game (5.9) vs Tight Ends. There better options out there to use.

**All stats from FFToday

Also check out William Frang's Rankings

Link to previous Starts/Sits:

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits -WK 1

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits -WK2

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits - WK3

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits - WK4

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits - WK5

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits - WK6

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits - WK7

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits - WK8

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits - WK9

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits - WK10

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits - WK11

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits - WK12

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits - WK13

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits - WK14

Twitter - Matt Aleza

2015 Fantasy Nascar Profile: Kyle Busch

Welcome to TimersSports

Driver Name: Kyle Busch

Car #: 18

Make: Toyota

Aka: Rowdy

Rookie Season: 2005

Number of Championships: 0

# of Career starts: 365

# of Career Poles: 15

# of Career Wins: 29

# of Career Top 5s: 118

# of Career Top 10s: 178

# of Career DNFs: 39

# of Career laps led: 10244

Career Average Finish: 15.2

Career Average Start: 13.8

# of 2014 Wins: 1

# of 2014 starts: 36

# of 2014 Top 5s: 9

# of 2014 Top 10s: 15

# of 2014 Poles: 4

# of 2014 DNFs: 4

# of 2014 Laps led: 453

2014 Average Finish: 17.6

2014 Average Start: 13.1

2014 Reap: Rowdy had a rough 2014 season. At times , Rowdy looks to be putting everything together. At Others Rowdy was just terrible. Was it all Rowdy fault? No. Bad luck was big reason for Rowdy's misfortunes. The lack of speed also was something that was a factor. JGR never true contended in most races because they didn't have the power to stay with the HMS and Penske powered cars.

Strong tracks: Richmond , Bristol and ACS

Weak tracks: Kentucky and Sonoma

Additional info on Rowdy: Rumors are the 2015 cup car drives like the nationwide car. If that the case , this new package just screams Kyle Busch. Of course we won't truly know until February , but Rowdy might be a nice long shot to win it all in 2015. As I expect JGR to be more like 2013 then 2014.

Yahoo Grouping Prediction: B Grouping Tier

Overall Value Prediction: Inconsistency with huge upside

2015 Fantasy Outlook: Honestly I feel like KB will be overlooked early. Mainly because how he struggled in 2014. Realistically I expect a bounce back year for the 18 of Busch. He's in a top ride with a new Crew Chief in Steve Adams. Most of all , Busch too talented not to bounce back from one of worst seasons ever in wins , Top 5 and Top 10s. In 2015 I expect 2-4 wins , 12-15 Top 5s, 18-21 Top 10s , and 1-3 poles.

Nascar Behind The Wall- Kyle Busch Review

Twitter - @Jeffery_Nathans