Thursday, September 15, 2016

Fantasy Football Starts/Sits (Week 2)

Welcome to TimersSports

Last week, I decided not to write up a start and sits fantasy football post until we got some season stats under our belts. Now that we are in week 2, we can finally start digging in. I love fantasy football, it is one of my favorite games. This weekly start/sit article is really enjoyable to me, it is one of the first column to say that I ever wrote for his site. I primary write Fantasy Nascar posts for this site, but fantasy football is what got me started here at Timerssports. But heck fantasy sports always been pretty personal to me. I like to think of it as a distraction to get away from reality. Even if it just for a Sunday. I am so excited about this fantsay football season. I wish each and everyone of you the best of luck this week. Alright let's get started!

Also remember to check out my William's Fantasy Football Rankings for Week 2

Week 2 Start/Sits -

Starts:

Quarterbacks -

Matthew Stafford - I love Matthew Stafford in the Cooter system, he have been simply awesome since Bob Cooter has taken over. Since week 9 of last season, he's ranked as a top 5 fantasy scorer. He took full advantage of a weak and thin Indianapolis defense. Guess what? He has another juicy matchup this weekend against a questionable Titans offense. In week 1, the Titans fair very well against a lackluster Minnesota offense. Bad news for the Titans though. They allowed the 4th-most fantasy points per game (23.8) with the 3rd-most touchdown allowed (34). Since week 9 of last season, he has scored 23 Touchdown passes. You can feel good about employing Stafford this week and going forward.

Carson Palmer - Palmer didn't have a bad outing vs New England. He was alright overall with a couple of touchdown tosses, but the offense wasn't ever on the same page for back-to-back series in my opinion. They would have one really good drive and follow it up a dud the next. I think Palmer and co will find even more success against the Bucs. The Bucs allowed the 8th-most fantasy points last week to the Atlanta Falcons offense. With a couple of passing touchdowns through the air and 330+ yards to Matt Ryan. No disrespect to Matt Ryan, but Carson Palmer has a far better offense and is much better quarterback as well. I fully expect him to shred apart the Tampa Bay secondary!

Eli Manning - Eli Manning may be one of the most underrated fantasy Quarterbacks in the NFL, he may not be the flashy or sexiest product. However, he will get the results more often than not. Manning finished as a top 10 scorer a year ago, in fact he scored the 7th most fantasy points per game (22.8). He also nearly collected 4500 yards and 35 Touchdowns. So many people don't get what type of a solid fantasy producer he is, but he showed why he was last week. Throwing three touchdown passes to three different weapons in the New York's offense. And he has some great weapons on the outside in Odell Beckham Jr and Sterling Shepard. If they are covered? You have Victor Cruz and tight ends of Will Tye and the always touchdown hungry Larry Donnell. Point being? There are more than enough options for Eli Manning to torch defenses all season. This weekend, they will face the New Orleans defense. A defense that have put ugly numbers in recent seasons as well. They allowed a lead-high 45 Touchdowns last season and the 2nd-most yards at nearly 4800 yards. They also allowed the most fantasy points overall (469.9) and the highest per game at 29.1. The second-highest average was at 24.5. That's a huge difference. This defense is not much improved, as they were shredded by Darek Carr and the Oakland Raiders in week 1. Manning will have no problem with passing against them.

Running Backs -

C.J Anderson - Anderson is clearly the top back in the Denver's run-first offense and showed why he was considered a top fantasy running back headed into last season. As he destroyed the Carolina's defense for 100+ yards and multiple touchdowns. And that was suppose to be a difficult matchup for him too. On the other hand, the Indianapolis defense is a mess. They were man-handled by the Detroit Lions and the their running attack. The Lions could run up the middle. left or right. It didn't really matter, whatever they wanted to do they seemed to gain yards. Nothing new for the Colt's run defense though. Last season they allowed the 11th-most fantasy points per game (18.8) with nearly 1700 yards (little over 100 yards per game) and 12 Touchdown (about 1.8 Touchdowns per contest). I think Anderson will get about 17 to 20 touches for least 100 yards and a couple touchdowns!

Jeremy Langford - I wasn't super high on Langford headed into the season, I thought he got lucky last season with his opportunities. However, after last week it is pretty clear he is the feature back in week 1 vs the Texans. In fantasy football, it is all about value and number of opportunities. Just like when Matt Forte was the feature back in Chicago, Langford will see enough carries to be least a very solid RB2 in most fantasy formats. In week 2, he will face an Eagles defense which haven't exactly fair well against the run. Last season, they struggled pretty bad. As he they gave up the 5th-most fantasy points per game (21.7) and allowed the most yards in the league at 1930. Which is about 120 yards per contest. Guess what? They were ran all over in week 1 by the Cleveland Browns. Yes the Cleveland Browns. Cleveland scored 18.8 fantasy points on 84 yards rushing (with 44 yards through air to Rbs) and a touchdown. I know that doesn't sound like a lot, just 84 rushing yards. But then you realize that Cleveland was playing from behind and only had 15 rushing attempts. Only three other teams rushed less times and they all were in big holes early too. Also they were playing stout run defenses as well. The Eagles however are not very stout. Langford will eat good on Monday night and so will his owners!

Rashad Jennings -Jennings was the feature back vs the Cowboys as he carried the ball 18 times for 75 yards. The Cowboys aren't anything special when it comes to stopping the run, but it was still good to see Jennings get good production from his carries. Even though it wasn't nothing to headline about. In week 2, he will face a very poor New Orleans defense. Last week, the Raiders ran all over the Saints defense. Despite, the Saints grabbing a pretty early lead. The Raider scored 38.2 fantasy points with 150 yards on the ground and 3 rushing Touchdowns by 3 different running backs. When you get scored on by three different backs, you know you are doing something wrong. Nothing new for this defense though. They allowed the 3rd-most fantasy points per game last season at 23.0 per game. With the 2nd-most yards allowed at 1857 (little under 120 yards per game). If Jennings get 15 to 20 touches vs this defense, he will go off for 100 yards easily and probably find the endzone a couple times as well. He should be played in all formats as he will get rewarded this week vs one of the worst defenses in the league.

Wide Receivers -

Julian Edelman - Even with Rob Gronkowski back in the starting lineup, you can expect the Pats to heavily depend on Edelman. I would say that is even more true than ever before. The Pats will want Gronk healthy when Brady comes back, so they may make a gameplan which is less depended on Gronk and more featured around Edelman and the other weapons. Even though, I wouldn't be shocked if they threw often towards Gronk, either. It doesn't matter because Julian will get his fair share of balls. Jimmy G loves throwing Edelman way, much like Brady does. Against the Cardinals he thrown to early and often. In the first Quarter alone, he caught 3 passes in the first couple drives. It was pretty obvious that they would be looking towards him often. He ended the night with 7 catches on 7 targets for about 76 yards. He didn't find the endzone though. In week 2, I don't really expect anything different. He will be one of the feature options in the passing game and long as it is a fair close game, then I think the Pats will be passing the ball. Much like they did in week 1 vs the Cardinals. I expect 6 catches on 8 targets for 82 and a score from Edelman this weekend vs the Dolphins

Marvin Jones - Jones was only able to haul in 4 passes but turned it into 80+ yards on 10 targets. Not only did he have 80+ yards, which was a team-high. But he also led the team in targets (10), over teammate and oppose Wide out Golden Tate. I thought week 1 for Jones was going to be huge, as it would tell us what to expect from his role. In the preseason, the reports were that Stafford loves throwing to Jones and has great chemistry. Those reports weren't made up either, as Stafford looked towards one of his newest weapon on offense. The Lions offense is designed to spread the ball around, but I have a feeling he will be looking Jones little more often than rest of his options. In week 2, Jones should be able to do whatever he wants against a pretty questionable Titans defense. Who allowed Diggs to have 107 yards and a score. No disrespect to Diggs, but Jones is a far better player in a much better offense. He will have himself a big day in my opinion.

DeSean Jackson - Jackson had a very solid season opener against the Steelers, as he had 102 yards with 6 catches on a team-high 10 targets. Outside of Jordan Reed, he is by far the top receiving option in the Washington's offense. And in week 2, he will play a questionable Dallas defense who haven't been known to shut down offense. In fact, just last week they allowed multiple touchdown passes from the Giants offense. In fact, 2 different wide receivers scored on them and his name wasn't Odell Beckham Jr. When the 2nd and 3rd best offense players are doing the scoring, then you know you are doing something wrong on defense. The Cowboys allowed nearly 14 yards per catch vs the Cowboys WRs last week. Jackson shouldn't have many problems producing a solid stat line, especially if the game remains close throughout the first half and into the second

Tight Ends -

Eric Ebron - I am pretty high on the Detroit offense vs the Tennese defense, so I guess we can add the tight end of Ebron to the party list. He only caught 5 balls on 5 targets for 46 yards and a score vs Indy. In the Lions offense, I believe there will be three very relevant fantasy options in the passing game. They would be Golden Tate, Marvin Jones and you guessed it Eric Ebron. I love Ebron because he much more under the radar than the other two top options. He isn't a flashy tight end, as he won't burn you with staggering speed. But he is the most talented tight end in the Detroit offense in quite awhile. Long as the Lions are passing the football, he will be good enough to have 3 to 5 catches per game and hover with least 50 yards. Any tight end who can do that in this league will be worth being on your roster. This week, you can expect Ebron to take advantage of the Titans.

Antonio Gates - With Allen's season ending injury, I would expect certain players to step up and take charge of this offense. Gates is one of those players. He is one of the few in that passing game, that Rivers trust without question. Obviously there are a couple other options who will get easy targets, but I would expect Gates to be the favorite to get increase in targets now. Behind Allen, he has been Rivers' go-to-guy. Benjamin, Williams and Woodhead will take away some targets his way, but I am not too concerned about that. Chargers love passing the football and I expect them to pass heavily in week 2 vs Jacksonville. The Jags aren't your pushover easy win anymore, the Chargers will have to earn this win this week. So expect a tight contest between the teams, which will lead to a lot of passing in my opinion.

Sits -

Quarterbacks -

Tyrod Taylor - Taylor will have a tough night on Thursday vs the New York defense. They looked impressive vs the Bengals. Despite letting AJ Green go for 180 yards on 12 catches and a touchdown, they did a great job of tossing around Andy Dalton. They sacked him 7 times and that was without their best pass rusher in Sheldon Richardson. Bad news for the Bills as they will have on the field this Thursday. More bad news for Taylor's owners? The Bills will be without their starting Left tackle. It concerning because the Bills offensive line was complete garbage in week 1. On top of that, the Bills top offensive weapon in Sammy Watkins also dealing with foot pain. Early in the week, many thought he would be shut down for the year. Turns out he will play, but you cannot expect much from a offense who best player is basically on one foot. Just stay away from Taylor!


Russell Wilson - I don't hate Russell Wilson this week, but there are some major concerns about him though. He struggled overall vs the Miami Dolphins and just wasn't himself. He did help lead them down the field on a game-winning drive late in the game, but otherwise he looked pretty meh to me. There also is a concern of him with that ankle injury, he says it is nothing. But I am no idiot though. It is bothering him, even if he denies it. That injury may not affect him in terms of taking the field on Sunday, but you have to wonder how much it will limit him though. Wilson loves moving around with the football, escaping the pressure and throwing on the run. This ankle injury may not give him that luxury. Of course I am just guessing, none of us really know the true extent of his injury. Personally I don't think it will limit him too much from his typical stuff. However, the Rams could be a tough matchup. Despite the Rams being embarrassed on Monday night. They only allowed 170 yards through the air and a touchdown. So not like they were garbage. You wouldn't know it, but they allowed the 3rd-fewest passing yards, but the 15th-most fantasy points in week 1. A lot of that is do with they allowed the 2nd-most rushing yards to Quarterbacks in week 1 as well. You can start Wilson if you really want to, but this wouldn't be a bad week to sit him. That given you have another really good Quarterback on your roster, too.

Running Backs -


 Jeremy Hill - Hill was heavily depended on touchdown last season and this season may not be any different. Last week vs a tough Jets defense, he wasn't able to gain much on the ground. But that also was because the Bengals had to abandon the run game pretty early in the game. As Cincy had to go to the passing attack often after the first quarter. Hill was able to save his fantasy owners by scoring a touchdown in the 4th Quarter, but he has another tough matchup vs the Steelers this weekend. The Steelers has been extremely tough on running backs lately and Hill haven't ever scored a touchdown vs his AFC North rivalries. Trust me, you see stats like that you are just much better off in staying away. I expect about 12 carries for about 45 yards out of Hill. I think he will get a lot of carries early on, but Cincy will have to go to passing when they fall behind in the second-half of the game.

Frank Gore - Gore wasn't anything special against the Lions, where he only mustered 14 carries for 59 yards. I guess that isn't terrible, but it was against a lackluster Detroit defense. Trust me, the Lions aren't that good of a defense. Especially compared to his week 2 matchup vs the Denver Broncos stout defense. They are much more known for their strong secondary, but when they need to, they can stop the running game. As they did last week vs Carolina. Personally, I don't think there will be much running go on for Indy. As I expect Indy to play from behind before halftime. Big problem with running backs in Indy is, they seem to fall behind on the scoreboard and have to go to the passing game early and often. I think Gore can manage about 60 to 70 yards at max this week. You should probably sit him, as I am sure you have some better option on your bench which can be employed. Especially since I don't see much upside in this matchup.  

Wide Receivers -

Sammy Watkins - Sit him folks. Sammy Watkins only had 4 catches in week 1 and was playing on a injured foot. He was able to play through the game, but that was against a softer Baltimore defense. He will not get so lucky on Thrusday night, when he has to make a visit to Revis Island. Some people say that Revis isn't the cornerback he once was. And I call bullshit! He still can be that shutdown that we all remember. And heck anyone who trying to cover AJ Green is going to have trouble. Even for Revis. And even a fully healthy Watkins isn't the player that Green is. I expect Revis to keep Sammy in-check for most of the night. Not that it will matter, as the Jets defense will be in the face of Tyrod Taylor most of the night. So good luck trying to get the ball out. Just sit him and find a new fantasy option to roll with. Also it's never seems to pay off to start someone on Thursday night.

Ty Hilton - So far in his NFL career, it's seems like Hilton is boom or bust. He may be the number 1 wide receiver in Indy. But it doesn't change the fact that, he always seems to be lackluster when he doesn't score a touchdown. Not to say, he doesn't have good non-touchdown games. But he's a speedster. He get down field and make big plays. When he doesn't make big plays, he more often than not won't have that big fantasy points upside. Example, in week 1 he had 12 targets but only was able to haul in 6 catches for 79 yards vs the Lions. The Lions defense is terrible, so if he can only get 79 yards against them. Then he's in trouble vs the Broncos. You can expect the Broncos to put their best players on him throughout the game. It makes for a very tough matchup for him. He might be still good as a WR3 or a flex, but that pretty much it.

Tight Ends -

Jared Cook - I was on the fence about Cook in the offseason, It thought the move to Green Bay was a good one for him. I also thought he would be overhyped as well. And I was right, in week 1 he was only targeted twice by Aaron Rodgers. To be fair, there are a lot of mouths to be fed in Green Bay right now. The pecking order goes: Nelson, Cobb, Adams, then the tight ends. So he is fighting at least 4 other players (who all above him - I will include Richard Rodgers because of chemistry with QB Rodgers), who will take up a lot of targets. Until we see more how the Packers will use their Tight ends, I would recommend that you bench Cook. Starting this week vs the Vikings.

Martellus Bennett - If you are a deeper league, I don't know if you can bench Bennett (12 teams or deeper), but in your basic 10-team leagues I think there will be better options out there. Especially after the complete dud that Bennett dropped on his fantasy owners in week 1. There was Rob Gronkowski, so logically thinking he would have a great game. But nope! He had 4 catches for just 14 yards on 5 targets. Even with Jimmy G as the starter, I expect at least 40 yards from him as the secondary option to Edelman. Instead he was primary used as a blocker for much of the game. In the New England offense, it is always hard to figure out who Bill Belichick will feature. But guessing based off of pure logic, Bennett will be at least third fiddle to Gronk and Edelman. Heck, Bennett may be the 4th or 5th option in this offense. Who knows maybe the Pats just plan to use him as a primary blocking Tight end. Wouldn't surprise me, if that was the case honestly.

***All stats are from FFToday.com

Got a Start/Sit question?

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Twitter - @MattAleza


Wednesday, September 14, 2016

Fantasy Football Rankings (Week 2)

Welcome to TimersSports

Positional Rankings -

Quarterbacks -

1. Cam Newton
2. Drew Brees
3. Andrew Luck
4. Matthew Stafford
5. Aaron Rodgers
6. Blake Bortles
7. Big Ben
8. Carson Palmer
9. Eli Manning
10. Russell Wilson
11. Darek Carr
12. Joe Flacco
13. Philip Rivers
14. Marcus Mariota
15. Jameis Winston
16. Andy Dalton
17. Matt Ryan
18. Kirk Cousins
19. Josh McCown
20. Ryan Tannehill

Running Backs -

1. David Johnson
2. DeAngeleo Williams
3. Adrian Peterson
4. Lamar Miller
5. CJ Anderson
6. Spencer Ware
7. Todd Gurley
8. Latavius Murry
9. Ezekiel Elliott
10. LeSean McCoy
11. Jeremy Landford
12. Mark Ingram
13. Arian Foster
14. Doug Martin
15. Jeremy Hill
16. Melvin Gordon
17. Duke Johnson
18. Eddie Lacy
19. Matt Forte
20. Demarco Murray
21. Gio Bernard
22. Carlos Hyde
23. Ryan Mathews
24. Devonta Freeman
25. LeGarrette Blount

Wide Receivers -

1. Antonio Brown
2. Odell Beckham Jr
3. AJ Green
4. Julio Jones
5. Brandon Marshall
6. Alshon Jeffery
7. Mike Evans
8. Brandlin Cooks
9. Dez Bryant
10. Jordy Nelson
11. DeAndre Hopkins
12. Amari Cooper
13. Jeremy Maclin
14. Allen Robinson
15. Randall Cobb
16. Doug Baldwin
17. Kelvin Benjamin
18. Eric Decker
19. Julian Edelman
20. DeSean Jackson
21. Larry Fitzgerald
22. Golden Tate
23. Jordan Matthews
24. Demaryius Thomas
25. Ty Hilton

Tight Ends -

1. Rob Gronkowski
2. Jordan Reed
3. Travis Kelce
4. Julius Thomas
5. Delanie Walker
6. Zach Ertz
7. Greg Olsen
8. Antonio Gates
9. Coby Fleener
10. Jason Witten
11. Zach Miller
12. Gary Barnidge
13. Charles Clay
14. Larry Donnell
15. Kyle Rudolph

Previous Rankings articles: 

Fantasy Football Rankings - Week 1

Twitter - @WilliamFrang

Tuesday, September 13, 2016

Fantasy Nascar Early Rankings (Chicagoland)

Welcome to TimersSports

Early Rankings -

1. Kevin Harvick
2. Kyle Busch
3. Brad Keselowski
4. Matt Kenseth
5. Carl Edwards
6. Joey Logano
7. Martin Truex Jr
8. Denny Hamlin
9. Kyle Larson
10. Kurt Busch
11. Jimmie Johnson
12. Jamie Mac
13. Ryan Newman
14. Tony Stewart
15. Chase Elliott
16. Austin Dillon
17. Kasey Kahne
18. Paul Menard
19. Ryan Blaney
20. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
21. Greg Biffle
22. AJ Dinger
23. Trevor Bayne
24. Alex Bowman
25. Chris Buescher
26. Aric Almirola
27. Casey Mears
28. Danica Patrick
29. David Ragan
30. Clint Bowyer

Twitter - @MattAleza

Fantasy Nascar Preview (Chicagoland)

Welcome to TimersSports

Fantasy Nascar Preview -

1-JMac: I don't think it a fluke that the Chip Ganassi Racing cars have a ton of speed right now. Over the past month and a half, they have consistently challenged up towards the front. Remember how strong they in the 2014 chase? Contending for multiple top 5 and top 10 finishes on a weekly basis? I do. And if JMac is running and finishing top 10 on a consistent basis, then you know they have some speed. The 1 car have lacked speed on the 1.5 milers this year, but we have not raced on one since Kentucky though. And Ganassi have found something in the meantime. However, he have been good on the 1.5 milers. As he has compiled an 17.0 average finish with 19.0 average running position and 69.9 driver rating. Not great numbers, but remember tracks like Michigan and Darlington are also intermediate racetracks. However, they aren't 1.5 mile tracks. So the results may not translate. But they were ran on recently he was able to top 10 in both of those races. His Chicagoland record is pretty good as well. Over the past 2 races here, he have compiled 12.5 average finish with 11.0 average running position and 94.3 driver rating. This isn't his best racetrack overall, but he did finish 9th here in 2014. He was very strong in that race. Started 11th, but charged to the front and took the lead under green while leading 32 laps. He contended for a top 5 that day, before setting for 9th place finish. He wasn't great here last season and only finished 16th. But as I mentioned, the Ganassi cars are running much better right now. Headed into the weekend, I think we can expect an top 15 finish from JMac. He won't be a top 5 pick, but he is consistent enough where that lone will give him value in most formats. However, I do believe he can have top 10 potential. Given he shows speed in practice and qualifying.

2-Brad Keselowski: I really like Brad Keselowski's chances in this first round to score least one win, as they all are great tracks for him. It will all start at Chicago for him. Only a few drivers has been able to outperform him in recent seasons at this venue. Over the past 2 seasons here, he have compiled 4.5 average finish with 8.5 average running position and 106.4 driver rating. Since being in the #2 car (2012 season and beyond), Keselowski have been a stud at this place. As he has posted 5 straight Top 8 finishes at this track. Including 2 wins over the past 4 races. He won in 2012 and 2014. If that trend continues, he will be back in victory here in 2016. Last season here, he only finished 8th place. It was his worst performance at this track since being in the #2 car. Not only his worst performance, but the first time in that 5-race span where he didn't lead a lap. Biggest surprise about Keselowski at Chicago? He have had his worst finishes when he started up front. Crazy, but true. In 2015, 2013 and 2011, he started inside the top 6. Which have resulted in finishes of 8th, 7th and 5th. The two races he have won (2012 and 2014), he started from 13th and 25th. His overall performances for those races were far much more impressive than the races he started up front, as well. Keselowski also have been very strong on the 1.5 milers, too. On 1.5 mile tracks in length, he has compiled 7.3 average finish with 8.8 average running position and 103.6 driver rating. He ranked 3rd in the series in terms of average finish, 4th in average running position, 8th in fastest laps and 5th in driver rating. Across the board, Keselowski have been a strong fantasy performer this season. And when you look at his number recently this season, you will like him even more! As over the past 6 Sprint Cup races, he has posted 4 Top 4 finishes. To be fair, he should've finished top 4 at Darlington as well. But he had to make extra pit stops which cost him track position (twice). Otherwise, he pretty much had the second-best car in that race. Headed into the weekend, I view him as a top 5 fantasy pick with upside to go to victory lane on Sunday!

3-Austin Dillon: Austin Dillon continues to have a pretty solid year and it's now up to him to carry the banner for RCR. As Ryan Newman missed the chase cut-off! So what should you expect from him this weekend at Chicagoland? Hard to say, as he has been inconsistent this season. However, the 1.5 mile tracks has been a strength for him though. On the 1.5 milers this season, he has compiled 11.5 average finish with 14.0 average running position and 84.0 driver rating. In 6 races on this type of track this season, he has posted an finish of 16 or better in 5 of those races. The one he didn't? Texas. Why? He wrecked while running inside the top 10. Team was able to save their day, but the racecar was then pretty much a non-factor and he finished 19th place. To be noted, he was a top 10 contender for almost the entire race. Dillon track record at Chicgoland isn't that great, nor is too relevant with only two starts to his name. However, he did finish 16th in his debut in 2014 and started 5th in last season's race. Despite starting in 5th, he managed to finish dead last though. Austin Dillon isn't the most desirable fantasy option lurking out there, but he does two things very well: 1) Find ways to get consistent finishes. 2) Improve throughout a weekend. Those two traits can be traced back before he got his shot in the Truck series. This season has been no difference. Early in the season, he posted higher finishes but seems to be more consistent since the start of July though. Since Daytona (he's finished 7th), he has posted 9 Top 16 finishes over his past 10 Sprint Cup series races. With 7 of those races ending in 13th place or better. Including his past 4 races! How does that compared to the first 16 races this season? He finished 19th or worse in 7 of 16 races. Only once over his past 10 races. Consistency can go along way in your fantasy nascar lineups. Headed into the weekend, I view Dillon as a top 15 fantasy option. With ability to finish somewhere around 9th-12 place if everything goes according to plan.

4-Kevin Harvick: Kevin Harvick wasn't quite as strong as I was expecting him to be at Richmond, but make no mistake that he will show up as a favorite this weekend. Chicagoland has been a great track in recent seasons and he will be a dominant force, no doubt! Over the past 3 races here, he have compiled 16.7 average finish with 12.7 average running position and 106.2 driver rating. He finished 42nd in last season race. He had a very strong racecar and ran inside the top 5 for much of the afternoon. Until he got a tire rub shortly after a restart and then his day went south quickly. Instead of pitting and getting new tires, and losing a lap or two. He ended up completely cutting his tire and destroying his racecar. Prior to that, he has posted back-to-back top 5 finishes at Chicagoland. He always been a elite performer at this racetrack. Over the past 5 races here, he has posted 4 Top 12 finishes, including 3 Top 5 finishes overall. In 15 career starts at this track, he has posted 8 Top 5 finishes. When looking at it, he has been Top 5 or bust in his career at Chicagoland. In 15 career starts, he has posted 13 finishes inside the top 5 or 17th or worse. Only twice has he finished between 6th and 16th place. Those finishes were 10th (in 2004) and 12th (in 2012). Harvick also been a stud all season on this type of track. On 1.5 mile tracks this season, he has posted series-best 6.0 average finish with 2nd-best 5.3 average running position and 2nd-best driver rating of 116.6. He also ranked 2nd in the series in laps led (261) and fastest laps (183). Across the board, Kevin Harvick is a top 2 fantasy option and it is not really even close. Harvick may not always have the best car or a dominating car. But you can almost expect him to be contending for a top 5 finish, regardless where he starts from. I expect the exact same thing this weekend, but I think he will get it done and go to victory lane.

5-Kasey Kahne: Kahne once again missed the chase for an 3rd straight season, despite his best efforts of the season at Darlington and regular season-finale Richmond. And I am not really surprised, I didn't expect too much him this season. The 5 car have had more speed of late and that should be good for fantasy purpose. However, he didn't make the chase so it questionable how good he will here on out. He has potential, but far from set in stone. He been decent at this track. Over the past 3 races here, he has compiled 16.3 average finish with 16.3 average running position and 80.8 driver rating. Kahne haven't been the greatest here throughout his career. But since start of the 2008 season, he only have finished once worse than 15th place at Chicagoland. Of course that was last season, when he finished in 24th. Prior to finishing 24th in last season's race, he has posted finishes of 13th, 12th and 3rd in the #5 car. Solid finishes, right? You bet they are solid finishes. Bad news? He has finished worse in every start since his debut, where he finished 3rd. How about more good news? I don't think this trend will continue for Kahne, as I don't see him finishing worse than around 18th unless he has some type of issue. He also been good on the 1.5 mile tracks this season. As he has posted an 15.5 average finish with 19.0 average running position and 69.8 driver rating. Not great ''performance'' numbers, but he has been running pretty well of late. Over the past 6 Sprint Cup races, he has finished 15th or better in 5 of 6 races. Lone poor finish? Watkins Glenn (20th place). Only twice since Charlotte (22nd place) has Kahne finished worse than 20th. Including 9 of those 13 races ending in 15th or better. Including 4 straight Top 14 finishes over his past 4 races this season. That isn't anything special, but for Kahne it is pretty huge. Headed into the weekend, I say he's nothing more than 15th place fantasy option. But he may hover closer to the top 12, if his team gives him a quality car.

11-Denny Hamlin: Hamlin is having a great season so far this season and is coming off a win at Richmond. Bad news for the field? He have posted 8 straight Top 10 finishes and have been very solid lately at Chicagoland as well. Over the past 2 seasons here, he has compiled 3.5 average finish with 15.5 average running position and 102.9 driver rating. He won this race last season, despite only leading 9 laps. Over the past 7 races at this track, he has posted only 4 Top 10 finishes. In fact in 10 career races, he has posted only 4. The other 6 races has ended in 14th or worse. He has struggled this season on the 1.5 mile tracks though. As he has compiled 17.2 average finish with 13.0 average running position and 81.5 driver rating. Not very great numbers overall, but he obviously have made some major gains since the most recent 1.5 mile racetrack (at Kentucky). Headed into the weekend, I view him as a top 10 fantasy option. He isn't my first choice as a fantasy option, however he is definitely someone who I really like. If he practices well, he will easily be further up on my fantasy radar. Personally I think he is going to be one of the drivers to beat, as Joe Gibbs Racing should show up with extremely fast cars.

18-Kyle Busch: Rowdy finished inside the the top 10, after failing to do so in his prior 3 races. Rowdy didn't perform overly well in the final couple races in the regular season, but don't expect that to continue in the chase though. He will turn it on, starting this weekend at Chicagoland. He been very good at this track. Over the past 2 races here, he has compiled 8.0 average finish with 4.5 average running position and 121.2 driver rating. Since joining JGR, he has posted 5 Top 9 finishes in 8 races. Including an win back in his debut in the #18 car. He also been very good recently as well. As he has knocked off 4 straight top 10 finishes. However, he has finished worse in every start dating back to 2013. Good news? He finished 9th last season, despite leading nearly half of the laps. He also been very strong on the 1.5 milers this season. As he has compiled an 9.0 average finish with 7.5 average running position and 105.7 driver rating. That including the Charlotte's race, so his numbers would be much better without that race. Otherwise, his average finish is like 4.1, if my math is correct. Headed into the weekend, I would view Rowdy as one of the heavy favorites for Sunday's race.

19-Carl Edwards - Edwards is having himself a up and down season so far in 2016. He started off extremely consistent in the first 10 or so races, but since he has been pretty questionable fantasy selection it seems. As over the past 9 Sprint Cup races, he has posted 5 finishes of 15th or worse. Including 4 of those finishes ending in 19th or worse overall. Including back-to-back at Darlington and Richmond. That's tough to deal with, if you are someone wanting to buy into some Edwards' stock entering the chase. However, I do have some good news though. He has always been pretty solid at Chicagoland. Over the past 2 seasons here, he has compiled 11.0 average finish with 14.5 average running position and 87.7 driver rating. Over his past 6 races on this track (dating back to 2010), he has posted 4 Top 11 finishes. Including 3 Top 5 finishes in that span. His best finish came in last season's race, where he ended up in 2nd place to teammate Denny Hamlin. He also has been very strong on the 1.5 milers this season. JGR been at their on this type of track as whole and this weekend will be no difference. On 1.5 mile racetracks this season, Edwards has compiled 10.2 average finish with 10.5 average running position and 98.8 driver rating. He have had some misleading finishes on the 1.5 mile tracks such as Atlanta (wreck - finished 20th; ran top 10), Charlotte (finished 11th; had a flat tire under green). Honestly not sure if he would had contended for a top 5 at Charlotte, but a top 10 would definitely in reach in my opinion. Just missed opportunities on Edwards part. Headed into the weekend, I view Edwards just on the outside looking inside the top 5.

20-Matt Kenseth: Kenseth is having a good year, but he had some drama at Richmond with Brad Keselowski. The question on many people minds are will this boil into the chase, like last season with Logano? I personally don't think so, I believe Kenseth learned his lesson from that. However, I wouldn't be shocked if he tried something if he get eliminated though. He been good at Chicagoland since joining JGR. Over the past 2 seasons here, he has compiled 7.5 average finish with 11.0 average running position and 94.2 driver rating. Since joining JGR, he has finished inside the top 10 in every race. Not only that, but he also has posted 2 Top 5 finishes as well. Including a win in his debut at Chicagoland in the #20 car. He also finished 5th in last season's race. Kenseth always been pretty solid here from a career point of view. In 15 career races at this track, Kenseth has posted 11 Top 14 finishes. Including 7 Top 10 finishes. About half of those top 10 finishes has been over the past 3 seasons. Headed into the weekend, I view Matt Kenseth as a top 10 fantasy option. He does have upside to contend for a top 5 finish. But I just don't see it from him, he doesn't run up front often enough to warrant that sort of upside (this season) in my opinion.

21-Ryan Blaney: Blaney missed the chase, but missing the chase won't really effect him that much though. Since he doesn't have any teammates, he won't have to worry about giving up better equipment to his teammates. I guess, the Penske cars are technically his teammates. But they get better cars to begin though. So what to expect from the 21 this weekend? Hard to say really, but I don't really expect too much from him honestly. He haven't been bad on the 1.5 milers this season, but he is far from a lock though. On 1.5 mile tracks this season, he has compiled 20.0 average finish with 16.3 average running position and 79.8 driver rating. Like I said not great, but not too bad either. He haven't made any starts at this track, so there isn't data to go on from past seasons either. Headed into the weekend, I would view Blaney as a top 20 fantasy option. Beyond that? I am not really sure until I see some practice out of the No.21 team. But I am willing to bet, they are good enough to be near the top 10 in terms of speed though.

22-Joey Logano: Logano isn't having the season, he did last season but the Penske Fords have enough speed this season to contend for the championship in my opinion. It will start this weekend at Chcigoland. Where Logano has been pretty good at since joining the #22 team. Over the past 2 seasons here, he has compiled 5.0 average finish with 8.5 average running position and 102.8 driver rating. He finished inside the top 6 in his past 2 races here and probably should've made it straight three races. However after leading 32 laps in 2013 race, he had a sour engine soil his day. He was leading up until he had the engine issues. He had those issues after a pretty length race-delay. The race was about 35 laps old when he had those issues. Over the past 4 races at this track, he has posted 3 top 7 finishes in that span. He been pretty good, despite no wins so far in his career at this track. He have had multiple poor races on this type of track in 2016. Including the past 2 of 3 races ending in wrecks for the No.22 team. So I am not going to go into his seasonal data on the 1.5 milers. Just know the 22 car has been pretty fast all season on this type of track. Logano headed into the race is probably a top 5 to top 10 fantasy pick. Logano downside this season would be, he doesn't lead as many laps. I really like Logano in standard fantasy leagues where finish position is important. But if he doesn't start on the pole, I don't know if he holds too much value in deeper fantasy formats.

24-Chase Elliott: Elliott will be one of 16 driver who will contend for a championship, but he performed very poor at Richmond. A track that I thought he would perform very well at, but he didn't to my surprise. He should be better at Chicgoland, despite never making as start here in the Sprint Cup Series. He has been good on the 1.5 milers this season overall. On 1.5 mile tracks, he has compiled 16.5 average running position and 14.7 average running position and 87.6 driver rating. He been very on the 1.5 mile racetracks and his wrecks at Kentucky and Atlanta only further proves how good he been this season. If you take out those races (Kentucky and Atlanta), he has compiled 7.5 average finish with 12.5 average running position and 89.7 driver rating. Very good numbers, but remember all of those races came earlier in the season as well. Based on what he know, I would say this will be a good place for Elliott to run well at. He should be a top 15 fantasy pick with potential to finish inside the top 10.

41-Kurt Busch: Kurt Busch is very much under almost everyone's radars, but he could be a force to reckon with in the upcoming chase though. The 41 team haven't had a lot of speed this season and that's concerning to me overall. The 41 car's best fantasy asset will be being consistent, if he cannot be consistent, then he's won't hold much fantasy value in most fantasy formats. Simply because he doesn't have enough upside most weekend to contend for top 5 finishes like his teammate Kevin Harvick. He should be a top 10 guy at Chicagoland. Over the past 2 seasons here, he has compiled 5.5 average finish with 11.0 average running position and 107.4 driver rating. Kurt have performed very well at this track recently. Over the past 5 races overall, he has posted 4 top 8 finishes. In 15 career starts, he has posted 9 Top 8 finishes. The bad news? He has finished 26th or worse in other 5 of 6 races. Lone finish between 9th-25th place? 17th place finish back in 2009. I really like Kurt Busch as nice dark horse for this weekend's race. He could surprise a good number of people.

42-Kyle Larson: My dark horse for the championship is out of the Ganassi camp in Kyle Larson. He enters the chase with a great deal of confidence. One thing I have learn about Larson in his Cup career is, when he believes in himself that's when he is most dangerous. I think Larson's biggest downfall with being staying consistent. I highly doubt he can ride this hot streak throughout the chase and I am willing to bet, he has a stumble at a track we don't expect. How will he fair at Chicgoland? Basing it the numbers, he should be a very strong contender on Sunday. Over the past 2 races here, he has compiled 5.0 average finish with 10.5 average running position and 100.5 driver rating. Larson has been running quite well lately and I think he takes that momentum and puts it to great use. I think two things will heavily depend on if Larson contends for a win: 1) If he qualifies up front or not. That has been a major problem for him this season. He needs to start up front. 2) How fast the Ganassi cars unload. When the 42 car has unloaded fast in recent weeks, it has led to very good things for him and his fantasy owners. Headed into the race, I would view Larson as top 10 fantasy pick with upside to finish inside the top 5. 

48-Jimmie Johnson: Johnson should be a good pick for this weekend's race as he has been a good driver here for pretty much forever. Over the past 2 seasons here, he has compiled 11.5 average finish with 8.0 average running position and 100.7 driver rating. It has been a while since have been to victory lane at this track. But in 14 career starts, Johnson has compiled 12 Top 12 finishes. With over half of those races ending inside the top 5 (7). He been pretty good more recently as well. Over the past 5 races at this track, he has compiled 5 straight top 12 finishes. However, he haven't had a top 10 finish since finishing 5th back in 2013 though. I would like Johnson a lot more, if he would had been more consistent in the summer months. The HMS cars seems to be much faster than they were a couple months ago, but there still a lot of unknowns regarding the 48 team and Jimmie Johnson. In my opinion, they are nothing beyond top 10 contenders for now.

78-Martin Truex Jr: The 78 team is hitting their stride right now and everyone should be very scared as that raceteam have a shit load of speed in their cars. More bad news? There are 5 1.5 milers in the chase and the 78 car has dominated this type of track. On the 1.5 mile tracks this season, he has compiled 8.2 average finish (4th-best) with 4.8 average running position (series-best) and 123.5 driver rating (series-best). His numbers on the 1.5 mile tracks this season have been just impressive, even though a lot of those numbers come from the Charlotte's race. Still he dominated Texas and Kansas races as well. Even though, he didn't win either of those races. He been pretty good at Chicagoland recently. Over the past 2 seasons here, he has compiled 13.5 average finish with 14.0 average running position and 90.2 driver rating. He been consistent over the past 6 races here. In those 6 races, he has posted 4 Top 14 finishes. Including 3 of the past 4 races, he has finished inside the top 14. I love Truex this weekend and would be disappointed if he didn't contend for a top 5 finish. As always my big concern is he can finish out the deal? He have the speed to do it, he just needs some luck on his side now.

***All stats from DriverAverages.com and FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com

Twitter - @JeffNathans18


Saturday, September 10, 2016

Fantasy Nascar RaceDay Thoughts (Richmond)

Welcome to TimersSports

RaceDay Thoughts -

Garry Briggs (@Garryy12):

- Expect the Gibbs cars to be very difficult to beat and at the front most of the night. I would be shocked to see anyone other than 18,19,20, 11 or ally 78 in victory lane tonight

-I was very surprised to see how well the CGR cars qualified (2nd and 4th). I personally think they will fade to latter part of the top 10 after awhile. But it's great to see both cars up front in qualifying, as this been a struggle in 2016. But mark my words, they have found something in the Ganassi camp. At first, I thought it was a fluke they were fast several races ago. But now, I am thinking they have definitely hit on something

-Expect a lot of green flag runs and limited cautions. That how these Richmond races have played out a lot lately it seems.

-Track position will be extremely important in tonight's race. Especially since passing will be difficult. If there is just a few laps left, I would take a driver with track position over a driver with a fast car every single time!

Matt Aleza (@MattAleza):

- The JGR cars appears to have a leg up on the comp this weekend and I expect nothing to change in tonight's race. 2 of them start inside the top 3. Not good for everyone!

-Kasey Kahne could make some noise tonight, if his team keep up with changes on his car. I like his chances. He was my sleeper last week and could surprise people again

-I think Kevin Harvick will be very strong tonight and be a heavy contender, despite starting deeper in the field than I would like

-If you stay at the front, then you should be in good shape. The drivers who get stuck mid-pack are the ones you have worry about

Yahoo Lineups -

Garry's Lineup - 18,1,5,21

Matt's Lineup - 18,42,5,88

Sleeper -

Garry's Pick - Jamie Mac

Matt's Pick - Jamie Mac

Winner -

Garry's Pick - Kyle Busch

Matt's Pick - Denny Hamlin

Fantasy Nascar Picks (Richmond)

Welcome to TimersSports

It has been a pretty long and crazy week for me, as I have traveled across the country from Los Angeles to Charlotte on Monday morning. To say the least, I haven't really had much time to think about fantasy picks or write much fantasy content at all. So I am not going to touch much on this introduction as I usually like to do. Instead, we are going to get straight into the picks.

Let's go!

Yahoo -

A:

Start - Kyle Busch (4)

Bench - Kevin Harvick (5)

Reasons - All week long the plan have been to roll with Kyle Busch over Kevin Harvick. Well guess what Harvick's qualifying effort made it even easier. Rowdy doesn't have much momentum, but has a lot other stuff going for him. Such as speed and a great track record. If you wanted to bet on someone to go to victory lane at Richmond, my money always would go to an driver with 7.0 career average finish.

B:

Start - Kyle Larson (2), Kasey Kahne (7)

Bench - Ryan Newman (2), Carl Edwards (3)

Reasons - I wish I would have put Jamie Mac on my fantasy team this week, as he looks to be least an top 10 to top 12 fantasy option. I didn't so, oh well I guess. His teammate Kyle Larson may even be a better option to roll with. He is coming off back-to-back top 3 finishes and qualified 2nd. Not to mention, I cannot ever recall him looking better at a short-flat track than he have at Richmond on Friday. Who to pair him with though? Great question. Edwards would have been the ideal option, but I don't see him being a 100-point fantasy option. So he's out of the running. Newman could make a great fantasy pick, but I have a feeling he will gamble to gain points on Jamie Mac. So let's come back to him. Kasey Kahne have had speed the past couple weeks and looked pretty good overall on Friday. And guess what? He starting towards the front too. Not a bad thing at all. Kasey is a risky pick, but if he gonna perform well in 2016, it will be on Saturday's night

C:

Start - Jeff Gordon (4)

Bench - Chase Elliott (4)

Reasons - Pretty easy choice here! Elliott qualified very poorly and struggled in both sessions on Friday. While Gordon has looked pretty comfortable! The plan been to use Gordon all week and I don't see any legit reason to change that approach now.

Fantasy Live -18,78,11,34 and 38

Sleeper - Jamie Mac

Winner -Kyle Busch

Twitter - @MattAleza

Friday, September 09, 2016

Fantasy Nascar Final Rankings (Richmond)

Welcome to TimersSports

1. Denny Hamlin
2. Kyle Busch
3. Martin Truex Jr
4. Joey Logano
5. Matt Kenseth
6. Kevin Harvick
7. Carl Edwards
8. Brad Keselowski
9. Kyle Larson
10. Kurt Busch
11. Jimmie Johnson
12. Jamie Mac
13. Ryan Newman
14. Kasey Kahne
15. Austin Dillon
16. Jeff Gordon
17. Tony Stewart
18. Paul Menard
19. Greg Biffle
20. Ryan Blaney
21. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
22. Chase Elliott
23. AJ Dinger
24. Casey Mears
25. Chris Buescher
26. Aric Almirola
27. Trevor Bayne
28. Danica Patrick
29. David Ragan
30. Clint Bowyer

Twitter - @MattAleza