Saturday, June 23, 2018

2018 Fantasy Nascar Update (Sonoma)

Welcome to TimersSports

Fantasy Nascar Update -

1. Martin Truex Jr - Truex Jr has been a road course ace for awhile and he is very good at Sonoma. He won here with the #56, before the team got shutdown. And he has been fast with the #78 team in recent seasons. He qualified 2nd for this weekend race and after qualifying, he said that he has had a really fast racecar. That's right there is a very confident driver and one that is in elite equipment with prior success. Bad news for the competition!

2. Kevin Harvick - Harvick has always been a driver who get overlooked at the road courses for some reason. At Sonoma, he has been awesome since joining SHR. 3 straight top 6 finishes, including a win in last season's race here. In all four races with SHR at this track, he has compiled a driver rating above 100.0. In 2014, he had the best car on the long run in my opinion. But he got involved in a wreck. He never truly recovered and finished 20th. He will be someone to deal with, if you want to win this weekend. The #4 team on a weekly basis is someone who has the chance to dominate. I wouldn't rule it out here. In fact, I would expect the #4 car to be at the lead at some point, too.

3. Kyle Busch -Right now, it is too hard to rank him any lower. He is one of the hottest drivers in the series still and has found legit success on road courses over the past few seasons. I think he is a lot better at Watkins Glen, but he has been pretty good lately here. Including a race win, just three seasons ago. He has finishes of 1st, 7th and 5th over his last three starts here. And he is starting in the top 10 for Sunday's race. He may not have the 3rd-best car entering the race, but he certainly has all of the tools to get the job done. Never ever count Kyle Busch out and I think a lot of people are overlooking him this weekend. He probably has a good enough car to challenge for a top 5. If he doesn't, his pit crew will give him a shot at it. Either way, I would feel pretty good about his chances overall.

4. Chase Elliott - Elliott has looked very good all weekend long and he qualified in the top 5. Elliott was looking pretty strong in the No.9 car in qualifying and will start from the No.4 spot. I think he has a legit shot at the win honestly. This is the most speed I seen out of him all year. Of course, this is a road course, so speed really isn't as much of a factor. Especially at at place like Sonoma. Maybe that has helped him a little, too. Either way, I think he has a shot to be a top 5 guy in the race. I say his range is 4th-8th in the race. That is the realistically running order to see him in.

5. Kyle Larson - I kinda wanna rank Larson lower than this honestly. I remember the last time that he started on the pole at Sonoma in 2017. Remember? He started on the pole and led 9 laps. Then he finished 26th and off the lead lap. You would think that he had something happen to him, right? Nope. He had no issues in terms on pit road or mechanical problems. He was simply noncompetitive in that event. That race from last year keep creeping up in my mind. He seemed to be pretty good on both days so far, but I do have my doubts. Prove me wrong, Larson!

6. Joey Logano - Logano is a pretty underrated road course racer and never seem to get the credit that he deserves. There are a lot of things to like about Joey. He has been very consistent all season long and that could be huge, if he can keep it going here at Sonoma. Another thing I like? Last season's race winner won from the 12th starting position. Joey will start from the 12th starting position. That probably means nothing, but still I love throwing out interesting stats. Overall, I really like Joey this weekend. He showed good speed in practice and now he just need to translate it to raceday.

7. AJ Dinger - Dinger is always an interesting driver when it comes to the road courses. Especially here at Sonoma. The potential is unreal with him, but he has only one top 10 finish at this track since becoming a full-time driver in the #47 car. It is very hard to not have him in your lineup at Sonoma. Every time we come here, he seems to have a top 5 car. Problem seems to be that he uses up his equipment and has mechanical issues during the race. Sonoma is a tough track, so I totally get that. This place eats up equipment pretty quick. If he can avoid any issues, I think Dinger has a real shot at finishing in the top 5!

8. Clint Bowyer - I am not sure what happened to Clint Bowyer in qualifying, as he will start from the 19th posiiton.. I expected a lot more from him. As he was fastest in final practice and was pretty good on the 5-best lap average chart. And we all know how good he is on these road courses. He has pretty good damn numbers here at Sonoma. He is a former winner at this track, back in 2012. Since that season, his career really has taken off on this type of track. Even before that, you could see him trending toward stardom at the road courses. Now, he is in top equipment with all of the momentum in the world. I don't see him finishing outside of the top 10.

9. Jamie Mac - Jamie seem to be trending in the right direction of late and now comes to a pretty good track for him. I think Sonoma is one of those tracks that he is really good on or really bad. For period of his career, he has been both. Lately, it seems to be in the middle for him. He has finishes of 25th, 4th, 11th, 10th and 17th in his last 5 races at Sonoma. It should be noted that 3 of his last 4 races at Sonoma, he has finished 11th or better. So yeah, there is reason to believe that Jamie could be very good this weekend. He is starting up front, so there is that too. However, I don't him starting up front is anything to get excited about. 6 times in his career, he has started in the top 5 at Sonoma. He has finished 15th or worse in 4 of 6 races. He started 1st or 2nd in all of those races, for the record. He is starting from 3rd on Sunday. I think Jamie will finish somewhere between 8th-13th most likely. That is his range, in my opinion.

10. Jimmie Johnson - This final spot came down to Jimmie Johnson, Denny Hamlin or Brad Keselowski. I am going with Johnson. I believe, Johnson will be good in the race and he has a chance to run in the top 10. I think he has more than a chance though. Johnson is a very underrated road course racer. From 2009 to 2015, he did not finish outside of the top 10. He was simply a machine here and now he has posted back-to-back finishes of 13th. In last season's race, he finished 13th, after leading 12 laps. He was pretty good in the race. I will give him that. I think he gonna one of those guys that stay in the top 10 all day and finish around there, too. That is the feeling, I am getting. I also could see him dropping out of the top 10 easily as well. With Johnson, it seems like you just never know anymore.

Just missed -

Denny Hamlin

Brad Keselowski

Ryan Newman

Ryan Blaney

Kurt Busch

****All stats are from DriverAverages.com

Twitter - @JeffNathans18

Thursday, June 21, 2018

2018 Fantasy Nascar Early Rankings (Sonoma)

Welcome to TimersSports

Fantasy Nascar Early Rankings -

1. Kevin Harvick
2. Martin Truex Jr
3. Kyle Busch
4. Joey Logano
5. Denny Hamlin
6. Clint Bowyer
7. Kurt Busch
8. Jimmie Johnson
9. Brad Keselowski
10. Kyle Larson
11. Chase Elliott
12. AJ Dinger
13. Ryan Newman
1e. Erik Jones
15. Jamie Mac
16. Ryan Blaney
17. Aric Almirola
18. Daniel Suarez
19. Paul Menard
20. Austin Dilllon
21. Alex Bowman
22. Matt Kenseth
23. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
24. Chris Buescher
25. William Byron
26. Michael McDowell
27. Kasey Kahne
28. Darrell Wallace Jr
29. David Ragan
30. Ty Dillon

Have a question or want to chat?

Email - briggs_garry48@yahoo.com

Twitter - @Garryy12


 

Sunday, June 10, 2018

2018 Fantasy Nascar RaceDay Thoughts (Michigan)

Welcome to TimersSports

RaceDay Thoughts -

Jeff Nathans (@JeffNathans18):

- Kyle Larson will be fun to watch starting from mid-pack

- Rain will be a factor again

- Kevin Harvick is the man to beat again, but I think it a lot closer than most

- SHR has some fast Fords

Garry Briggs (@Garryy12):

- Ryan Newman may be the safest pick in the field. 24 of last 29 races at Michigan, he has finished in the top 18

-Paul Menard is a sneaky good pick. He has three straight top 14 finishes in his last three starts this season. And Michigan is a very good track for him

- Clint Bowyer is one of my favorite plays today.

-Kyle Larson has a shot to win today from 26th starting position

Driver Group Game's lineups -

Jeff's lineup - 42,20,41,88

Garry's lineup - 4,14,20,24

Dark Horses -

Jeff's Pick - Erik Jones

Garry's Pick - Clint Bowyer

Winner -

Jeff's Pick - Kevin Harvick

Garry's Pick - Kyle Larson 

2018 Fantasy Nascar Sleepers & Dark Horses (Michigan)

Welcome to TimersSports

Sleepers -

Ryan Newman - I loved Ryan Newman heading into practice! And he has looked pretty good this weekend. He qualified well in the top 10 and then had a solid practice session on Saturday. He was good on both Friday and Saturday. That's a good sign for anyone considering the ''Rocketman'' at Michigan. He loves Michigan! In 24 (!!) of his last 29 races here, he has finished 18th or better. Holy shit! That's dating back to 2003. Are you freaking kidding me? He has just five finishes worse than 18th place, since the 2003 season at Michigan! In his last 14 races at Michigan, he has finished 18th or better in every single race. We would have to go back to August 2010 to find a Michigan race that has him outside of the top 20. In those 14 races, he has finished 11th or better eight times. Including 4 of his last 7 races at Michigan.

Paul Menard - A couple years ago, I would had considered Michigan as one of Paul Menard's best tracks and I still think that holds true. I think with the #21 team, he is capable of great things this weekend. Three races ago, he finished 6th at Kansas. A track that commonly is compared to Michigan. But that isn't what caught my eye though. He finished 6th at Kansas, then he had finishes of 14th at Charlotte and 11th at Pocono. Three straight finishes in the top 14 for Menard. Paired with the power under the hood of his ford, I think that is a great combo. He also has displayed decent speed since unloading this weekend. He's worth a look!

Dark Horses -

Clint Bowyer - I felt like the Fords (not named Kevin Harvick) were a little disrespected heading into the week. Just by reading social media, articles and forum posts. There just wasn't a lot of love for them. People like Kyle Larson, Chase Elliott, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, etc were getting all the attention. I thought that was a big mistake. Heading into the weekend, I thought the Fords were going to be strong. They showed up on Friday and they were stout. Kurt Busch took the pole, his teammate looked the car to beat and several of qualified in the top 12. But the guy that I took notice of will start from the 12th starting position. His name is Clint Bowyer. He displayed a lot of speed on both days. I feel like he is one of the drivers that is in the ballpark to Kevin Harvick. On pure speed, I would say that Clint Bowyer is in latter part of the top 5.

Erik Jones - There are a lot of interesting dark horses picks this weekend, but Erik Jones is probably only one of the few who can actually legit challenge for a top 5 finish. Personally, I have my doubts n that. But at the very least, he has the potential to do so, if his team keep improving on his racecar. Entering the race, he is probably somewhere in the top 10 like usual. He has finished in the top 11 in every race on the intermediate tracks this season, minus Charlotte. And he had a top 5 car in the Charlotte race and then all hell broke loose. The deck was literally stacked against him during second half of the race. He had no chance in hell of finishing up front. He finished 7th at Kansas in May and also finished in the top 10 at Cali back in March. Two good things to like about Erik Jones today. Those results don't mean things will smoothly translate, but it is a good sign. Plus, we already know that he probably has a top 10 car for the race.

Have a fantasy nascar question or want to chat?

Email - briggs_garry48@yahoo.com

Twitter - @Garryy12



Saturday, June 09, 2018

2018 Fantasy Nascar Picks (Michigan)

Welcome to Timerssports

Fantasy Nascar Picks -

Driver Group Game  -

A:

Starter - Kevin Harvick

Bench - Martin Truex Jr

Reasons - I have six starts with Harvick and I am gonna use one of them this weekend. Each of the last two races, I had the driver that led the most laps in A. I am hoping to go three for three on that mark


B:

Starters - Bowyer and Jones

Bench - Elliott and Blaney

Reasons -After some thinking, I am doing a 360 with my B-list drivers. I thought about going with Elliott and Blaney. But now, I am thinking it may be better to go with Bowyer and Jones here. Eliott has a great record here, but there are some red flags. He is probably the safest choice, but he is also probably has the least amount of upside. Clint Bowyer and Erik Jones, on the other hand, are likely the two drivers that will be able to have a say for a top 5 run. They showed a lot more in limited practice on Saturday than the other two. However, Michigan is a sensitive track, so practice is probably worthless. Still, the fords has been fast all season long and on the intermediate tracks. Then there Erik Jones. His numbers this season has been awesome and this is the kind of track where he has shined. Top 12 at basically every intermediate track this season

Other good options would be Kurt Busch (the pole sitter). I also think Aric Almirola will be a solid play on Sunday.

C:

Starter - William Byron

Bench - Darrell Wallace Jr

Reasons - I thought about going with Wallace Jr this weekend as my starter, but figured may as well go all in and shoot for a mega score. Since I have Harvick, Elliott and Blaney plugged into my lineup already. There is no sense of leaving Byron on the sidelines, if I could crave out a monster score. Of course, it could all backfire in a big way, too. But Byron is obviously the better play here at Michigan.

Dark Horse - Clint Bowyer

Winner - Kyle Larson

Have a fantasy nascar question or want to chat?

Email - briggs_garry48@yahoo.com

Twitter - @Garryy12

2018 Fantasy Nascar Final Rankings (Michigan)

Welcome to Timerssports

Final Rankings -

1. Kevin Harvick
2. Kyle Busch
3. Martin Truex Jr
4. Joey Logano
5. Brad Keselowski
6. Kyle Larson
7. Kurt Busch
8. Chase Elliott
9. Clint Bowyer
10. Ryan Blaney
11. Erik Jones
12. Denny Hamlin
13. Jamie Mac
14. Ryan Newman
15. Jimmie Johnson
16. Aric Almirola
17. Alex Bowman
18. Daniel Suarez
19. William Byron
20. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
21. Austin Dillon
22. Paul Menard
23. Matt Kenseth
24. Chris Buescher
25. AJ Dinger
26. Darrell Wallace Jr
27. Kasey Kahne 
28. David Ragan
29. Ty Dillon
30. Michael McDowell

Have a fantasy nascar question or chat?

Email - briggs_garry48@yahoo.com

Twitter - @Garryy12
 

2018 Fantasy Nascar Update (Michigan)

Welcome to Timerssports

Fantasy Nascar Update -

1. Kevin Harvick - I really wished we would had seen final practice on Saturday, but up to that point, I think that Harvick is the man to beat. He was fast on Friday and topped the charts in the morning session. He was bad fast earlier this season at Auto Club (got tangled up with Kyle Larson) and then won at Kansas, not too long ago. I don't care how you look at it, I think you would have to consider the #4 car the odds-on favorite. I don't believe he will run away with the race, but I have a feeling the Fords will be tough to beat in the race. Several of them are starting up front and Harvick is obviously the one you will have to beat!

2. Kyle Busch - I consider Michigan as Kyle's worst track. Which use to never surprise me, as Michigan and Kansas are pretty comparable tracks. But in his last 18 races here, Kyle has just 3 top 5 finishes. And no top 5 finishes since the 2013 season. He had finishes of 7th and 10th here in 2017. While, he has turned his luck completely around at Kansas. Weird, but he could certainly start to turn things around this weekend though. He has a very fast car and one that is capable of going to victory lane, in my opinion. Will it happen? I don't know. It does not hurt that he is having one of his best seasons' of his career. And he has had some pretty amazing seasons at the cup level, too! There's red flags about Kyle, but honestly I don't think it really matters with him. He has proven some many times that he can go out and win a race without batting an eye.

3. Joey Logano - I love Logano this weekend. He qualified really well on Friday and has looked really good in both practice sessions. This is one of his best tracks and he is former winner here. I don't think anyone was surprise when he unloaded pretty fast this weekend. I would say it was expected out of him and the No.22 team. Personally, I see a top 5 run out of him. He may be more on the boarder line as a few drivers below him will have the potential to jump him in the race. Overall, I would say that Joey is in that 4th-7th place range. That is probably where he is most weekends, anyhow. I think the question is can he take a jump at that top 3? That is what I am waiting to happen out of the No.22 team. They are getting closer, I think.

4. Martin Truex Jr - I think Truex Jr will be fast in Sunday's race, but I also think that his pit crew will possibly cost him. Every single week, his pit crew does something will cost him positions. They may be the reasons why he does have more wins this seasons. I don't think Truex Jr could had won many of those races, but who knows what could had happen, if things ended differently. If I am picking Truex Jr this weekend, that is my only concern. There is nothing else that really jumps out at me. He has momentum on his side, he almost won here last August and top it all off, he has another quick car. Things are looking good for that 78 car. The ball is in the pit crew's court now.

5.  Kyle Larson - Kyle Larson has a tall task on hand for this weekend and that is to win for the 4th straight time at Michigan. If he does accomplish that feat, he will have do so from the 25th starting position. This is something new for Kyle Larson, as he has been a great qualifier in his career at Michigan. In his three wins here, he has never started outside of the the top 12. He does has a fast car though. He was amazing at Auto Club in March and had the car to beat at Kansas. He may had won that race, if his team kept up with the track better. Regardless, I am not too worried about the #42 car. He will be fine and he will most likely contend for a top 5 finish. Don't let him starting mid-pack scare you away!

6. Kurt Busch - Like his brother, Kurt also has had his share of terrible runs here at Michigan. However, Kurt also has had his share really strong runs. With the Busch brothers, it seems to be one or another. I am very interested to see which one is drawn for this weekend. I think the #41 will be tough to beat on Sunday. But I don't think he has a top 5 car entering the race. He will hang around for awhile, but I think the cream will rise to the top and the #41 is gonna ride around somewhere in the top 10 for most of the day. This season, the #41 car has a habit of finishing somewhere in the around 8th place. That is the trend that I am noticing. I say he finishes between 6th and 9th place on Sunday's afternoon!

7. Chase Elliott - I am not super high on Chase Elliott this weekend, but I am not super low, either. I don't think Elliott has the speed to get to victory lane, but I think it will be difficult for him to be outside of the top 8 or top 10 though. For the most part this season, it seems like the #9 car is good enough to be a contender for a top 10 position. That's about it. He never really turns it on and really no chevy driver, other than Kyle Larson, really can go a different level. I think that is what really is hurting the value of Chase Elliott's right now. In Fantasy Nascar, I believe that upside is what gives a driver that hype we are looking for. HMS does not have it right now. You will have to settle for plain and boring right now, if you are looking at Chase Elliott. He won't get up there and contend for a top 10 finish. But he will probably give you a solid top 10 finish though.

8. Brad Keselowski - I am never that high on Keselowski for some reason (I know I say all of the time and it is true) and this weekend is no difference. He does have back-to-back top 5 finishes in his last two races at Pocono and Michigan. However, I am just never that high on him. He has found success in the past at Michigan, so I am sure he can find his way into the top 5 again this weekend. I honestly cannot find a good reason to say to avoid him because everything looks good for him. He has 3 top 6 finishes in his last 4 races this season. So momentum - check. Former winner here - check. His crew chief loves to gamble - check. So yeah, there is no real reason to avoid him. Everything points to him having a solid day. However, there is just something inside of me that just doesn't like him all that much. Or maybe, as I stated multiple times, I am simply not that high on him

9. Ryan Blaney - Blaney has only really one great finish here at Michigan and that's kinda surprising when I was looking over the numbers. His 4th place finish in August 2016 still is his only top 10 finish of his career at Michigan. With his success at Kansas or other intermediate tracks, I would had figured that he would fair better at a place such as Michigan. And honestly, I am not too sure how well he will do this weekend at Michigan. He showed a lot of speed on Friday and then Saturday, we only had that one practice session. I kinda wish that he had made a longer run than he did. He did not appear on the best-ten lap average. So It would had been nice to see a longer run out him. Regardless, I think he will be in the top 10 on Sunday, but the longer runs will be the question though.

10. Erik Jones - Erik Jones has been amazing on the intermediate tracks this season, so I am gonna say that Jones will keep the good times rolling at Michigan. He has speed in his car, but I don't think he will go to victory lane. Last August, he was probably close as he has ever gotten. Of course, Kyle Larson came in there and stole it all away from him and his teammate. I don't think Jones is even close to being what he was last August. I also believe that has a lot do what how well other teams are running compared to last August. Jones will most likely contend for a finish in latter part of the top 10, but most weekends I think that where the #20 is likely stuck.

Just missed -

Clint Bowyer

Denny Hamlin

Aric Almirola

Jimmie Johnson

Jamie Mac

*****All stats are from DriverAverages.com and FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com

Twitter - @JeffNathans18