Saturday, September 26, 2020

2020 Fantasy Nascar Likes and Dislikes (Las Vegas)

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Fantasy Nascar Likes - 

Clint Bowyer - Bowyer has came off pretty strong lately and having a nice run over the past month or so. If you are going to peak, then you better do it around this time of the season. Bowyer in his last 6 races this season, he has posted 11.1 average finish. That mark is good enough for 9th-best in the series, during that span of races. I am honestly banking on Bowyer to keep riding his good wave of momentum because that is probably the most appealing fantasy aspect to him this weekend. His past history here recent is just decent and he really haven't set the world on fire in terms of speed on these 1.5 mile tracks. Even though, he haven't been completely awful, either. Bowyer is right in the middle, which doesn't really put him over the top. I am saying a top 15 finish is likely for Bowyer, but his ceiling is most likely a top 10 run. And honestly, while he isn't a great fantasy option. He will likely finish where we kinda expect him to finish. And that's the difference between him and some of top drivers in the series. If they finish in teens? We would be freaking out. We are learned to accept that Bowyer isn't a top driver in this series!

Austin Dillon - Dillon is having a great season and not enough people realize that. In 26 races (excluding his 3 DNFs), he has posted an 12.6 average finish on the season. In 3 of his last 4 races, he has finished in the top 12. And he has been really good on these 1.5 mile intermediate tracks, too. Only once has he finished worse than 14th this season. And we can see the speed during the races from these RCR cars, too. It is obvious that they found something this season on these faster tracks. And with Austin being apart of the playoffs still, I believe RCR will do everything they can to get him close to another top 10 finish. Dillon is a legit fantasy option for this weekend's race at Las Vegas!

Dislikes - 

Denny Hamlin - My gut feeling is telling me to avoid Hamlin this weekend at Las Vegas. He has had a lot of bad luck lately and he finsihed 13th or worse in 4 of last 5 races this season. Hamlin has certainly struggled to finish up front, despite all of the good speed he has had. His speed isn't the question here, but I also don't believe he is as strong as he was earlier in the season. Las Vegas has been a bad track for him of late, too. In his last 6 races, he has only produced 2 top 10 finishes. And only two finishes better than 15th place. Since the 2017 season this is ranked as the 24th (of 25) best track on the schedule. Everything is lining up with my gut on this one!

Kurt Busch - The hometown kid has been horrible at his hometrack, even though everybody tries to spin it like he is so good here. From 2001 to 2005 (5 races), he posted 3 top 11 finishes. From 2006 to the most recent race here (16 races), he has just posted 3 top 10 finishes. And it does deeper than that for why he has been so unimpressive at this track. One of the scariest stats of the weekend? In Kurt's past 10 races at Las Vegas, he has finished 7 (!!) times in 20th or worse. Guys, that is 70% of the time since the 2012 season! Since the 2006 season, Kurt has just 4 top 20 finishes in 16 races. For what it is worth, he has ran well on these intermediate tracks in 2020.


**All stats are from DriverAverages.com

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