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Notes -
1-Jamie Mac: I liked him last week and I like him again. The 1 car been fast all season. Only now there absolutely no pressure on Jamie. He unloaded very fast on Friday and qualified 5th. Came back Saturday and looked just as good. He is a lock for a top 10 based off practice.
2-Brad Keselowski: Brad K qualified 3rd. Looked a little off in the morning practice. But got dailed in by end of final practice. He was in my opinion an top 5 car at end of final practice.
3-Austin Dillon: Dillon looked pretty good which suggests he could easily challenge for a top 15 on Sunday. Dillon value isn't worth it in formats which rewards drivers for bettering their starting position though.
4-Kevin Harvick: Harvick had the best car all weekend. Qualified on the pole and posted the best single lap and best 10-lap average in final practice. He was bad to the bone fast on the long run. He is my pick to win.
5-Kasey Kahne: Kahne was better then I expected. He looked good as his teammates (if not better then a few of them.) As always the big question is can he deliver the product?
10-Danica Patrick: Patrick wasn't bad , but not anything to get overexcited about. At best she an top 20 option with very little upside. She is most useful in limited useage formats.
11-Denny Hamlin: Hamlin been stout all weekend. I thought he was very good on the long run. The Gibbs cars have shown a lot of speed lately. Hamlin needs least a top 5 + some help to advance to RD 2. He had the 4th best car overall on Saturday.
16-Greg Biffle: RFR was just terrible. There isn't a chance I would start any of them. They were pretty good for a lap or two to start a run and then their lap times fall off into the 20s on the speed charts. That is not what I want in a fantasy pick. Not one bit.
18-Kyle Busch: Busch really under the radar this week. But don't be shocked to see him finish inside the top 5 or wrecked out. Those are two likely outcomes for Rowdy. He starts 2nd and have a great car for Sunday.
20-Matt Kenseth: MK wasn't quite good as his teammates , but MK needs a good top 10 to advance. Exactly what I thought he was on Saturday. He was better in the morning session then the afternoon though. Need long run speed.
22-joey Logano: Logano wasn't bad , but not a top 5 car in my opinion. Didn't even look top 10 based off practice speeds. But this is his best racetrack , so I doubt he finishes worse then 10th. I say anything beyond that is a bonus. I was quite surprise he wasn't better.
24-Jeff Gordon: Gordon was fantastic on the long run. Real shocker , right? He didn't have a winning car ,but definitely a top 5 guy overall. Thought he had the 3rd or 4th best car. There are much worse choices this week.
27-Paul Menard: The opportunity to get a quality start out of Menard is definitely over. The window of opportunity was much larger then seasons past. But nevertheless it has ended. He struggled overall and should be avoided if possible.
31-Ryan Newman: Newman haven't been very good this weekend. At best an top 15 option which is likely isn't something that I would feel comfortable with. Dover isn't a great track for Newman either.
42-Kyle Larson: To or to not to start Kyle Larson seems to be the question. Usually it comes down to qualifying efforts which ultimately determines his value. Especially in formats which rewards improve starting position. He wasn't bad overall , but I think there better places to use him.
48-Jimmie Johnson: The talk been all week on how dominating Johnson been here. But I get the feeling Jimmie isn't gonna dominate like everyone was thinking. He was off in practice one (on Saturday). Much improved in final practice. Thought he was around 5th best end of final practice.
88-Dale Jr: Dale Jr 2014 is largely overshadowed by Jeff Gordon so far this season. Doesn't mean the 88 haven't been great season. He actually been under the radar most weeks. He looked really good this weekend and should be an top 10 guy for Sunday race.
99-Carl Edwards: Edwards = Fool gold. I wasn't impressed overall. Edwards said he was good in race trim , but there are better choices Edwards and RFR have been losted during the race since Richmond. Avoid them at all cost.
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Twitter - @JeffNathans
