Tuesday, November 04, 2014

Fantasy Nascar Sleepers & Busts

Welcome to TimersSports

We are headed to Phoenix Raceway! Site of race 35 of 36 races in the 2014 season. I have a feeling the craziness isn't over not even close. For us fantasy folks , sleepers & busts are bigger then ever. Some of you are one bad pick away from destroying your championship hopes completely. So make your picks carefully. In fact , I have suggests below!

Sleepers:

Martin Truex Jr: Everyone have their own philosophy in fantasy racing. Mine happens to be riding trendy sleepers. For the first 24 races it was Paul Menard. Last 11 races it been MTJr. Truex been one of the best surprises in the 2014 chase. His consistent finishes have made him a nice asset to any team. Unfortunately very few people are talking about him. I cannot understand that logic. The last flat track we visited was Martinsville. Before Danica punted him , Truex was running top 10. I like him for least a top 15.

Kyle Busch: Hate on him all you want , but you got to admit he heck of a driver. I mean most of us wrote him off months ago. But nope , he keeps on knocking out solid finishes. Phoenix a pretty good track for Rowdy as well. He only have led the 2nd most laps , 4th best driving rating , 5th best average finish since March 2012 here. Few weeks ago , he finished 11th at Martinsville with a top 10 car.

Cole Whitt: Pretty sure 99.9% of you don't have the stones to start Cole Whitt. But worth mentioning , Whitt finished 27th at Phoenix in the spring and 18th at Martinsville recently. Small sample size , but for those dare devils out there here your man. Lets see who respond to the challenge.

Busts -

Matt Kenseth: Not typically high on Kenseth this week. Since 2012 , Kenseth have only one top 10 at PIR! Strangely have a decent average finish (13.80). So doesn't mean Matt terrible at Phoenix. But 5 races is a large sample size to suggest he isn't a top 10 option for PIR. Am I saying he cannot be a top 10 option this week? No of course not. To me making fantasy picks is a probability. Matt's probability suggests it unlikely.

Greg Biffle: Starting to feel guilty about listing the RFR cars on the bust list so much , but most of the races this year they have finished better then actual should have. I cannot name a race when the RFR cars finished worst then they actual were. Biffle probably been the most unpredictable of the three RFR cars. So far in the chase , he been all over the board. This dude pretty unstable. I would want a more consistent option in my fantasy pick. Also his 45% selected as of Tuesday morning way too high on Yahoo. I can name least 5 guys with less %'s selected with more upside and potential value. 

Twitter - @Gbriggs12