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We are at Fontana this weekend! Tire fall off were pretty significant in practice. So figuring out who will be fast on Sunday wasn't much of a issue. Unlike some tracks were come to.
Overall track position is overrated here. On Sunday they will be three-wide throughout the field in multiple lines. You can make your way to the front if you have a fast car. Last week , it was much more difficult because of the size and characteristic of the track. Also Fontana have a worn out surface like Atlanta and Las Vegas. Usually you can make passes fairly easy.
A:
1. Kevin Harvick - Let be real here , if Harvick available you're starting him. He start 2nd and have a top 5 car easily. He showed excellent long run speed and seems to be very pleased. Two things I like about picking Harvick: 1) High-percent will likely pick him due to his hot streak. 2) His reliable at Fontana. Don't overthink it , just roll with the hot hand!
My Overall Ranking: 2nd
2. Jimmie Johnson - Johnson in my opinion is the safest pick behind Harvick. What separate Harvick is his long run speed. Still a lot to love about Johnson. He start 14th and clearly will be a contender for the win. In final practice , I thought Johnson had one of the best cars in that session. I also love Johnson record here. 12 Top 5 in 20 starts! Can you really bet against those odds? Yeah I didn't think so.
My Overall Ranking: 3rd
3. Brad Keselowski - Keselowski and 2 team seems to have this package figured out. He starts from 10th and have a car capable of finishing inside the top 10. Realistically I see an finish finish from 4th - 8th. I like his long run speed and probably could race for the win under strategy. Ford are just lacking speed and I don't see that changing on Sunday. He the best Ford thus far this weekend and it not very close.
My Overall Ranking: 4th
4. Matt Kenseth - Among the Toyotas , Kenseth looks to be one of the best. He will start from 3rd and look to be close to a top 5 option based on practice in my opinion. Kenseth track record here is impressive which helped me in the rankings process. I believe the Toyota are lacking speed still , but Kenseth will have the best option to score a top 5. Doubt he scores a win on Sunday though. Not unless it on fuel mileage or something.
My Overall Ranking: 5th
5. Jeff Gordon - I don't see Gordon winning on Sunday. But I do believe he can run and score a top 10 on Sunday. Unfortunately I am afraid his bad luck will ultimately decide his outcome though. I wouldn't recommend Gordon to anyone. Least not until , he show more upside and reliable. Regarding this weekend , I see him being an 6th - 10th place car most of the day.
My Overall Ranking: 6th
B:
1. Kurt Busch - Busch have had the best car all weekend and quite frankly it wasn't even close. He will start 1st and seems to be the man to beat overall. Busch is determined and focus to win again. I would bet he does exactly that on Sunday afternoon. I like his track record here and more importantly he had the best car in my opinion on the long run.
My Overall Ranking: 1st
2. Martin Truex Jr - Truex Jr have a car capable of finishing inside the top 5 on Sunday. He will roll off from 11th , but not sure if he has one of the cars to beat on long run. I believe his downfall will be his pit crew. Unlike larger teams , the 78 crew is underfunded. Last week we saw the 78 almost throw away a top 10 after a pit stop. Example of bad luck that could have cost him. Ultimately that why I bumped him in a spot or two in my overall rankings.
My Overall Ranking: 8th
3. Kyle Larson - Larson will be good on Sunday , but unlikely to contend for the race win. Undoubtedly he will probably run in the top 10 most of the day. But I am just not feeling Larson. Honestly I feel like his best days are ahead of him. Especially once the warmer weather arrives. Around Michigan and beyond , that is where this kid will start looking like the Larson of last season. I am personally waiting on Larson for that reason. He loves a slick racetrack.
My Overall Ranking: 10th
4. Kasey Kahne - Kahne been decent I guess. Nothing special though. He looked just outside the top 10 in my opinion. Honestly I think there least 3 options better in this grouping tier. He will probably contend for a top 15 , but that about it. I think there better options to go with on Sunday. Personally would leave him on the bench (or garage).
My Overall Ranking: 12th
5. Paul Menard - How about Paul Menard! Quietly having one of the best weekends of this young season. He qualified 12th and could definitely knock off a top 10 if he can keep up with the track. I actually like Menard for a top 15 honestly. I think Menard is one of the best sleepers available for players. He is a nice value and an underrated option. Him and his teammate Newman both look solid.
My Overall Ranking: 14th
6. Carl Edwards - I am not feeling Edwards this week. He qualified in the mid-teens and doesn't look like a top 10 play at Fontana. At best , Edwards is probably an top 12 play with little upside. I think his best days are ahead of him. If I play Yahoo Fantasy Racing , I would save him until later in the season. Clearly Edwards isn't comfortable at JGR yet.
My Overall Ranking: 15th
C:
1. David Ragan - Ragan is easily the best option in this tier. He starts 4th and seems to have a decent car. I don't think he will stay up front , but I do believe he can make a respectable option. He looked like a mid-teen option. I believe he will have a opportunity to score an top 10. But his driving abilities force me to bump him down.
My Overall Ranking: 17th
2. Danica Patrick - I see Danica running from 16th - 22nd a lot on Sunday. In the past , she shown us she is capable of it. When it all said and done , I believe she will finish about 20th-ish. I wouldn't mind rolling Danica over Ragan to gain ground. Unfortunately I don't really see much upside to it. Unless Ragan wrecks out. Thus far this season , Ragan have beaten Dancia in every race almost.
My Overall Ranking: 21st
3. Brian Scott - Scott will start mid-pack and likely finish in that same area. Not much upside with him really. I don't hate him in Fantasy Live as a cheat option. Even though I don't think he will improve his 25th place starting position. Might make a nice value deal to strengthen rest of your lineup though.
My Overall Ranking: 29th
Email - JeffNathan74@yahoo.com
Twitter - @JeffNathans
