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Dover isn't a tough track to make picks for. Typically the guys who we suspect to run in front on Sunday will find away through the field. However starting positions are very important! In 90 races , the race winner have came from the top 10 positions an staggering 71 times (78.8%). Not only is it difficult to pass, but track position is golden here. In terms from a fantasy vantage, the key is to use drivers who looked good in practice and have had decent historically success at Dover.
A:
1. Jimmie Johnson - Johnson is the safe bet this weekend! He qualified 14th and seems to have a really fast car for Sunday. On Saturday, he posted of a pair of strong practices that confirmed his spot as the favorite heading into this weekend race. Historically speaking, Johnson been the best driver at Dover for a long time. In 26 career starts, he have 9 wins and 14 Top 5s. Those numbers alone give him unlimited upside. I say he least scores another top 5 finish!
My Overall Ranking: 1st
2. Matt Kenseth - Kenseth in my opinion is the most undervalued driver in the field this weekend. He qualified 4th and posted a pair of good practices on Saturday. I wouldn't call them great, but it was definitely more than deserving. But typically when Kenseth start up front , he also finishes up front. Kenseth have been one of the most consistent driver over the past 4 seasons at Dover. I also like the fact that JGR have shown significant improves the past few weeks! With Kyle Busch back, I think JGR have a little swagger in their step. Don't be shocked to see this organization go back-to-back wins on Sunday!
My Overall Ranking: 2nd
3. Kevin Harvick - Harvick qualified 7th and looked pretty good in two practices on Saturday! However he wasn't dominated like he been in other race weekend this season.Typically you can tell when Harvick gonna dominate a race. This probably isn't one of them. I say he will finish in the top 5 on Sunday, but realistically I don't know if he have the best car heading into the race. However I am sure he will be a factor all day long though. I have him across the line 3rd.
My Overall Ranking: 3rd
4. Denny Hamlin - Hamlin should contend for a win on Sunday, but he been too inconsistent this season to be called a favorite in my opinion. Fortunately he have a lot going for him though. Finished 6th at Charlotte and qualified on the pole here at Dover! Followed that up by posting a pair of stout practices on Saturday. I definitely think JGR is onto something as of late. I don't think he will win, but it wouldn't surprise me either though.
My Overall Ranking: 4th
5. Joey Logano - Logano have performed well all season long, unfortunately he have qualified on the front row a lot too. Qualifying 5th isn't bad, but feel like he loses value since he doesn't have the luxury of starting on the front row. It definitely make a huge difference since Logano tend to fade through the field more often than not. I say he have an top 10 car with top 5 potential, if his team can keep up with the racetrack. Historically speaking this is a great racetrack for Joey Logano. Including 6 straight Top 10s finishes!
My Overall Ranking: 5th
Other Options - Kyle Busch (8th), Brad Keselowski (9th) , Gordon (12th), Dale Jr (13th) and Ryan Newman (15th)
B:
1. Martin Truex Jr - Truex is the top option in tier. He qualified 2nd and looked solid in pair of practices on Saturday. It helps that 2nd starting position have produced the most winners! Truex have always ran well here, so that definitely eases our minds too. Realistically I see Truex as a Top 10-option, but his momentum vaults him into the top 5. Add in his strong starting position. I think he end up somewhere between 4th - 8th place range. Honestly I don't know how good Truex truly is. He posted a lot of short runs in the two practices on Saturday. I am not too concerned since this is the same car he dominated Kansas and Charlotte with. I have across the line in 6th!
My Overall Ranking: 6th
2. Kurt Busch - Busch qualified 13th and posted a pair of strong practices on Saturday! I like Busch a lot, but Dover isn't exactly his best track. However that really doesn't matter. Busch have proven it doesn't matter how poor his track record been in the past. I believe he is an top 10 option heading into Sunday race. Not sure how he will finish though. Since Richmond, he haven't scored a top 5 finish. Even though he have ran inside the top 5 a lot! I have him in 7th when the checkers wave on Sunday afternoon.
My Overall Ranking: 7th
3. Kyle Larson - Larson had good practices and a strong qualifying effort. Honestly I definitely can see him notching his first top 5 of the season on Sunday. He had solid results last season and could continue that trend this weekend. He showed decent speed in practice this week and could potentially finish up front if the team can keep up with adjustments. I have him finishing somewhere from 8th-13th place range on Sunday. His solid starting position should help him out. Especially since Dover have one of the toughest pit roads in Nascar!
My Overall Ranking: 10th
4. Carl Edwards - Edwards look to keep the momentum going at Dover! He qualified 8th and posted solid practices on Saturday. Honestly I am still a little iffy on Edwards, but I think he should be more consistent going forward though. Especially since he is basically in the chase now. Joe Gibbs Racing as whole look more comfortable this weekend. All four cars look to have top 10 speed. I say Edwards contend for another top 10 on Sunday, but not sure if he have an top 5 car though. Overall I need to see Edwards put together back-to-back full races in 2015. Something I cannot say he have done this season. I have him across the line somewhere from 7th -12th place range.
My Overall Ranking: 11th
5. Kasey Kahne - Kahne get the last spot in my fantasy relevancy rankings. Cannot say I am very high on him though. In my preview, I wasn't very high on him either. Nothing have changed after 3 practices and a poor qualifying effort. He posted two mid-pack practices and look to have a car good enough for somewhere in the teens. That kinda been the trend for him over the past 5 Dover races. Hard seeing him running up front this weekend. I have him across the line in 14th.
My Overall Ranking: 14th
Other Options - Greg Biffle (16th), Jamie Mac (17th), Austin Dillon (18th), and Paul Menard (19th)
C:
1. David Ragan - Ragan once again look solid in practice, but I am not buying into it though. I personally cannot get behind MWR this season. Personal feelings aside, I think Ragan was by far the best driver this weekend in the C-list tier. He qualified 15th and posted solid practices on Saturday. In this tier, I think he have the potential to finish 4-5 positions ahead of everyone else. However he will need to keep his car out of trouble though.
My Overall Ranking: 20th
2. Brian Scott - Scott is the dark horse in this tier. He qualified 27th and looked okay overall. He wasn't nothing special, but Scott from time to time this weekend have shown flashes of terrific potential. Never consistent enough to be consider a sure thing unfortunately. I think he will contend for a top 25 at Dover. If he can find more speed, then Scott might be a steal in some formats. I have across the line anywhere from 23rd-28th place range when the checkers wave.
My Overall Ranking: 25th
3. Danica Patrick - Patrick have struggled all weekend! Honestly I expect her to be better than what she have shown so far. Danica qualified 33rd and posted lap times mainly around 30th place or so. Honestly I think she will do better than that come raceday. Realistically I don't think she is very useful in most formats. Typically she perform her best on the large-Intermediate racetracks like Michigan and Pocono coming up.
My Overall Ranking: 26th
4. Justin Allgaier - Allgaier typically doesn't performance well on tracks like Dover. He usually good for finishes somewhere in the mid-20s to lower-30s. He qualified 24th, but have hovered around the 30th place mark on the speed charts most of the weekend! Honestly I usually don't even consider Justin outside of the short-tracks. His equipment just isn't good enough to run competitively in this tier. I have him across the line in 28th!
My Overall Ranking: 28th
Email - JeffNathan74@yahoo.com
Twitter - @JeffNathans
Dover isn't a tough track to make picks for. Typically the guys who we suspect to run in front on Sunday will find away through the field. However starting positions are very important! In 90 races , the race winner have came from the top 10 positions an staggering 71 times (78.8%). Not only is it difficult to pass, but track position is golden here. In terms from a fantasy vantage, the key is to use drivers who looked good in practice and have had decent historically success at Dover.
A:
1. Jimmie Johnson - Johnson is the safe bet this weekend! He qualified 14th and seems to have a really fast car for Sunday. On Saturday, he posted of a pair of strong practices that confirmed his spot as the favorite heading into this weekend race. Historically speaking, Johnson been the best driver at Dover for a long time. In 26 career starts, he have 9 wins and 14 Top 5s. Those numbers alone give him unlimited upside. I say he least scores another top 5 finish!
My Overall Ranking: 1st
2. Matt Kenseth - Kenseth in my opinion is the most undervalued driver in the field this weekend. He qualified 4th and posted a pair of good practices on Saturday. I wouldn't call them great, but it was definitely more than deserving. But typically when Kenseth start up front , he also finishes up front. Kenseth have been one of the most consistent driver over the past 4 seasons at Dover. I also like the fact that JGR have shown significant improves the past few weeks! With Kyle Busch back, I think JGR have a little swagger in their step. Don't be shocked to see this organization go back-to-back wins on Sunday!
My Overall Ranking: 2nd
3. Kevin Harvick - Harvick qualified 7th and looked pretty good in two practices on Saturday! However he wasn't dominated like he been in other race weekend this season.Typically you can tell when Harvick gonna dominate a race. This probably isn't one of them. I say he will finish in the top 5 on Sunday, but realistically I don't know if he have the best car heading into the race. However I am sure he will be a factor all day long though. I have him across the line 3rd.
My Overall Ranking: 3rd
4. Denny Hamlin - Hamlin should contend for a win on Sunday, but he been too inconsistent this season to be called a favorite in my opinion. Fortunately he have a lot going for him though. Finished 6th at Charlotte and qualified on the pole here at Dover! Followed that up by posting a pair of stout practices on Saturday. I definitely think JGR is onto something as of late. I don't think he will win, but it wouldn't surprise me either though.
My Overall Ranking: 4th
5. Joey Logano - Logano have performed well all season long, unfortunately he have qualified on the front row a lot too. Qualifying 5th isn't bad, but feel like he loses value since he doesn't have the luxury of starting on the front row. It definitely make a huge difference since Logano tend to fade through the field more often than not. I say he have an top 10 car with top 5 potential, if his team can keep up with the racetrack. Historically speaking this is a great racetrack for Joey Logano. Including 6 straight Top 10s finishes!
My Overall Ranking: 5th
Other Options - Kyle Busch (8th), Brad Keselowski (9th) , Gordon (12th), Dale Jr (13th) and Ryan Newman (15th)
B:
1. Martin Truex Jr - Truex is the top option in tier. He qualified 2nd and looked solid in pair of practices on Saturday. It helps that 2nd starting position have produced the most winners! Truex have always ran well here, so that definitely eases our minds too. Realistically I see Truex as a Top 10-option, but his momentum vaults him into the top 5. Add in his strong starting position. I think he end up somewhere between 4th - 8th place range. Honestly I don't know how good Truex truly is. He posted a lot of short runs in the two practices on Saturday. I am not too concerned since this is the same car he dominated Kansas and Charlotte with. I have across the line in 6th!
My Overall Ranking: 6th
2. Kurt Busch - Busch qualified 13th and posted a pair of strong practices on Saturday! I like Busch a lot, but Dover isn't exactly his best track. However that really doesn't matter. Busch have proven it doesn't matter how poor his track record been in the past. I believe he is an top 10 option heading into Sunday race. Not sure how he will finish though. Since Richmond, he haven't scored a top 5 finish. Even though he have ran inside the top 5 a lot! I have him in 7th when the checkers wave on Sunday afternoon.
My Overall Ranking: 7th
3. Kyle Larson - Larson had good practices and a strong qualifying effort. Honestly I definitely can see him notching his first top 5 of the season on Sunday. He had solid results last season and could continue that trend this weekend. He showed decent speed in practice this week and could potentially finish up front if the team can keep up with adjustments. I have him finishing somewhere from 8th-13th place range on Sunday. His solid starting position should help him out. Especially since Dover have one of the toughest pit roads in Nascar!
My Overall Ranking: 10th
4. Carl Edwards - Edwards look to keep the momentum going at Dover! He qualified 8th and posted solid practices on Saturday. Honestly I am still a little iffy on Edwards, but I think he should be more consistent going forward though. Especially since he is basically in the chase now. Joe Gibbs Racing as whole look more comfortable this weekend. All four cars look to have top 10 speed. I say Edwards contend for another top 10 on Sunday, but not sure if he have an top 5 car though. Overall I need to see Edwards put together back-to-back full races in 2015. Something I cannot say he have done this season. I have him across the line somewhere from 7th -12th place range.
My Overall Ranking: 11th
5. Kasey Kahne - Kahne get the last spot in my fantasy relevancy rankings. Cannot say I am very high on him though. In my preview, I wasn't very high on him either. Nothing have changed after 3 practices and a poor qualifying effort. He posted two mid-pack practices and look to have a car good enough for somewhere in the teens. That kinda been the trend for him over the past 5 Dover races. Hard seeing him running up front this weekend. I have him across the line in 14th.
My Overall Ranking: 14th
Other Options - Greg Biffle (16th), Jamie Mac (17th), Austin Dillon (18th), and Paul Menard (19th)
C:
1. David Ragan - Ragan once again look solid in practice, but I am not buying into it though. I personally cannot get behind MWR this season. Personal feelings aside, I think Ragan was by far the best driver this weekend in the C-list tier. He qualified 15th and posted solid practices on Saturday. In this tier, I think he have the potential to finish 4-5 positions ahead of everyone else. However he will need to keep his car out of trouble though.
My Overall Ranking: 20th
2. Brian Scott - Scott is the dark horse in this tier. He qualified 27th and looked okay overall. He wasn't nothing special, but Scott from time to time this weekend have shown flashes of terrific potential. Never consistent enough to be consider a sure thing unfortunately. I think he will contend for a top 25 at Dover. If he can find more speed, then Scott might be a steal in some formats. I have across the line anywhere from 23rd-28th place range when the checkers wave.
My Overall Ranking: 25th
3. Danica Patrick - Patrick have struggled all weekend! Honestly I expect her to be better than what she have shown so far. Danica qualified 33rd and posted lap times mainly around 30th place or so. Honestly I think she will do better than that come raceday. Realistically I don't think she is very useful in most formats. Typically she perform her best on the large-Intermediate racetracks like Michigan and Pocono coming up.
My Overall Ranking: 26th
4. Justin Allgaier - Allgaier typically doesn't performance well on tracks like Dover. He usually good for finishes somewhere in the mid-20s to lower-30s. He qualified 24th, but have hovered around the 30th place mark on the speed charts most of the weekend! Honestly I usually don't even consider Justin outside of the short-tracks. His equipment just isn't good enough to run competitively in this tier. I have him across the line in 28th!
My Overall Ranking: 28th
Email - JeffNathan74@yahoo.com
Twitter - @JeffNathans
