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The Nascar Sprint Cup Series travels north to Dover,Delaware! Dover is one of my favorite racetracks on the schedule. The key to success this weekend is to load up on drivers who have performed well at Dover. Typically the same drivers run up front each time we come here. Not often do we see smaller (or non-big name) teams contend even for top 10s. There isn't a lot of good sleepers I would consider this week, but one or two may surprise us though.
Sleepers -
Clint Bowyer: Bowyer isn't the most talked about driver this week, but he been solid at Dover the past few season! Since joining MWR, he have knocked off 6 Top 10s in 6 starts. In fact he have wheeled off 8 straight Top 10s. More impressively, he have a 11.8 average finish in 18 career starts. Only 3 active drivers boots better average finish (minimum 10 starts). Last season he was just as strong! He slapped together 6.5 average finish (5th-best) with 9.5 average run position (6th-best) and 99.9 driver rating. Feel like Toyota is in a better place this season, so Bowyer definitely will have the potential to match those numbers!
Kyle Busch: Busch wouldn't be a sleeper if he didn't miss the first 11 races! He is a threat to win this weekend. Last week at Charlotte, I was super impressed by him! Not many drivers can race like Kyle did so quickly after injury. Dover is one of Kyle's better tracks. 13 of his 20 career starts have ended inside the top 10. Over the past 6 races at the 1-mile track, he have wheeled off 16.2 average finish, 5.7 average start (series-best) , 10.0 average run position (7th-best), 568 laps led (2nd-most) and 112.2 driver rating (3rd-best). Across the board very strong numbers. Just know Busch typically finishes top 10 or somewhere outside the top 20.
Greg Biffle: Biffle have finished 12th and 2nd over his past 2 NSCS races. Last weekend's race at Charlotte was definitely a fluke, but his Kansas effort wasn't though! Biffle have a decent record at Dover. 4 of the past 6 races have ended inside the top 16. Before Roush jumped into the shitter, Biffle was one of the more reliable fantasy options in the series! From 2003 to 2010, he knocked off 11 Top 10s in 14 races! I don't expect another top 10 this weekend, but an top 15 isn't out of the question though. However I say he is more likely to finish inside the top 20 with potentially Top 15 upside!
Busts -
Jamie Mac: Usually I don't throw Jamie Mac on the bust list because of his equipment/potential. Unfortunately Dover haven't been a great track for him! He haven't gone 13 straight races at Dover without a Top 10 finish. In that span, he have held 21.5 average finish with 18.1 average run position and 77.5 driver rating. Okay maybe that too much data. Let look at his past 4 races at Dover: 19.8 average finish with 15.0 average run position and 80.4 driver rating. Guess my point being there are better places to use him at!
Kasey Kahne: I like Kahne most weeks because of his equipment level. Unfortunately that won't matter at Dover! In 6 career starts with HMS, he have only 1 Top 10 finish. That was in his debut in June 2012. Where he finished 9th. Since? Every finish have been between 13th and 23rd. Typically Kahne will have top 10 potential with a little luck. Personally I think there better places to use him. Especially since Kahne tend to run his best on cookie-cutter racetracks.
Email - briggs_gary48@yahoo.com
Twitter - @Garryy12
