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It was great to get Daytona out of the way, that race is always a crapshoot it seems. Luckily for me, I selected my lineups like a crapshoot. Believe it or not, it actually paid off. Who would had imagine a team of Truex Jr, Almirola, Dinger and Whitt on Yahoo Fantasy Racing would net me 332 points? Only plate racing will do that! Now onto Atlanta, the first real test for these teams! I love Atlanta, I love how it is worn out and you can really pass here. Especially on the long run, you can make passes here as the lap times really fall off. As fantasy players, we love lap times that fall-off. Especially if you selected your team on drivers that has long run cars. With that said, it will be tough to know what anyone got before practice. We have no practice data nor any seasonal data that gives us a true clue. When cars hit the track on Friday's afternoon, it will be the first real taste of what the teams have.
Here is today's post!
Sleepers -
Austin Dillon - I listed Dillon as a dark horse last week because of his record and hype at the plate tracks. This week, I downgraded him to a sleeper. Why? While, he doesn't have the same potential like last week. Also, he has a questionable track record here. I think his track record at this place will definitely drag his attractiveness down this week.He did run very well in last season's race. He finished 11th and had 13.0 average running position. That APR is important because it says that he was a solid performer in that event. Also had 82.2 driver rating and completed 99% of the laps inside the top 15. He's also ran very well on the 1.5 mile tracks in 2016 as well. He showed us all that he is a legit intermediate performer in 2016. I think the #3 team will be at their best on this type of track once again. Am I super high on him and think he will contend for the win? Nope, but he is certainly worth a look for a high single digit/low teen finisher though.
Ricky Stenhouse Jr - There's a lot of good drivers to consider for this weekend, but my personal favorite sleeper is Ricky Stenhouse Jr! Every time we came to the 1.5 mile tracks in 2016, I gave Ricky strong consideration. He ran top 15 consistently last year (especially early in the year) on the cookie cutters. Will that translate to 2017? Who knows, but I am willing to take a shot with him. His numbers at Atlanta are pretty decent overall. In 5 career starts, he's finished inside the top 20 three times. Including in last season's race. He's finished 10th in last season's race and held 89.9 driver rating with 10.0 average running position. In fact, he was one of 4 drivers to post a perfect 100% of the laps completed inside the top 15. That's difficult to do and that would back his solid DR and ARP. Like I said those numbers won't automatically translate, but why not take a shot with him? I see no reason not to. I am very optimistic about his chances. A lot of people will overlook and that makes me loves him even more.
Aric Almirola - This last one was a tough one for sleepers. So I went with the driver that I thought most people would overlook. Aric Almirola is the one I choose. Aric is usually someone I like on the shorter tracks and plate tracks. However, I will give him some love because of his good track record here. Currently, Aric has put together 4 straight Top 20 finishes. While finishing 11th, 15th and 9th in just his last three races. He's struggled in last season race, but still posted an 11th place finish. He had 18.0 average running position in that race, so he was still decent. But you know, not nearly as good as his final finish position shows. With that said, this is a good track for him. Sometimes, a track makes the driver. I think that is the case for Aric. There is a lot of questions surrounding him, so it would be a good idea to watch practice.
Dark Horse Pick -
Chase Elliott - Elliott would be a great fantasy option to consider as a dark horse pick. He was great last season here. He had 10.0 average running position in that race, in just his 7th career Cup race. That's impressive! What is more is that he started 24th in that event and had 7th-best average running position overall. Also, this is his home racetrack. So I am willing to bet that Elliott will be will swinging for the fences to get his first Cup win. He was great here last season and we are using the same tire combinations as 2016 at Atlanta. I really do like Elliott this weekend, but I want to see practice first. Let me see practice and then I will make a call on him. But honestly, I expect the HMS cars to come out hot.
**All stats are from DriverAverages.com and FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com
Twitter - @Garryy12
It was great to get Daytona out of the way, that race is always a crapshoot it seems. Luckily for me, I selected my lineups like a crapshoot. Believe it or not, it actually paid off. Who would had imagine a team of Truex Jr, Almirola, Dinger and Whitt on Yahoo Fantasy Racing would net me 332 points? Only plate racing will do that! Now onto Atlanta, the first real test for these teams! I love Atlanta, I love how it is worn out and you can really pass here. Especially on the long run, you can make passes here as the lap times really fall off. As fantasy players, we love lap times that fall-off. Especially if you selected your team on drivers that has long run cars. With that said, it will be tough to know what anyone got before practice. We have no practice data nor any seasonal data that gives us a true clue. When cars hit the track on Friday's afternoon, it will be the first real taste of what the teams have.
Here is today's post!
Sleepers -
Austin Dillon - I listed Dillon as a dark horse last week because of his record and hype at the plate tracks. This week, I downgraded him to a sleeper. Why? While, he doesn't have the same potential like last week. Also, he has a questionable track record here. I think his track record at this place will definitely drag his attractiveness down this week.He did run very well in last season's race. He finished 11th and had 13.0 average running position. That APR is important because it says that he was a solid performer in that event. Also had 82.2 driver rating and completed 99% of the laps inside the top 15. He's also ran very well on the 1.5 mile tracks in 2016 as well. He showed us all that he is a legit intermediate performer in 2016. I think the #3 team will be at their best on this type of track once again. Am I super high on him and think he will contend for the win? Nope, but he is certainly worth a look for a high single digit/low teen finisher though.
Ricky Stenhouse Jr - There's a lot of good drivers to consider for this weekend, but my personal favorite sleeper is Ricky Stenhouse Jr! Every time we came to the 1.5 mile tracks in 2016, I gave Ricky strong consideration. He ran top 15 consistently last year (especially early in the year) on the cookie cutters. Will that translate to 2017? Who knows, but I am willing to take a shot with him. His numbers at Atlanta are pretty decent overall. In 5 career starts, he's finished inside the top 20 three times. Including in last season's race. He's finished 10th in last season's race and held 89.9 driver rating with 10.0 average running position. In fact, he was one of 4 drivers to post a perfect 100% of the laps completed inside the top 15. That's difficult to do and that would back his solid DR and ARP. Like I said those numbers won't automatically translate, but why not take a shot with him? I see no reason not to. I am very optimistic about his chances. A lot of people will overlook and that makes me loves him even more.
Aric Almirola - This last one was a tough one for sleepers. So I went with the driver that I thought most people would overlook. Aric Almirola is the one I choose. Aric is usually someone I like on the shorter tracks and plate tracks. However, I will give him some love because of his good track record here. Currently, Aric has put together 4 straight Top 20 finishes. While finishing 11th, 15th and 9th in just his last three races. He's struggled in last season race, but still posted an 11th place finish. He had 18.0 average running position in that race, so he was still decent. But you know, not nearly as good as his final finish position shows. With that said, this is a good track for him. Sometimes, a track makes the driver. I think that is the case for Aric. There is a lot of questions surrounding him, so it would be a good idea to watch practice.
Dark Horse Pick -
Chase Elliott - Elliott would be a great fantasy option to consider as a dark horse pick. He was great last season here. He had 10.0 average running position in that race, in just his 7th career Cup race. That's impressive! What is more is that he started 24th in that event and had 7th-best average running position overall. Also, this is his home racetrack. So I am willing to bet that Elliott will be will swinging for the fences to get his first Cup win. He was great here last season and we are using the same tire combinations as 2016 at Atlanta. I really do like Elliott this weekend, but I want to see practice first. Let me see practice and then I will make a call on him. But honestly, I expect the HMS cars to come out hot.
**All stats are from DriverAverages.com and FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com
Twitter - @Garryy12
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