Friday, December 09, 2016

2017 Fantasy Nascar Profile: Carl Edwards

Welcome to TimersSports

Driver Name: Carl Edwards

Car #: 19

Make: Toyota 

Season Debut: 2005

Number of Championships: 0

# of Career Starts: 445

# of Career Poles: 22

# of Career Wins: 28

# of Career Top 5s: 124 

# of Career Top 10s: 220

# of Career DNFs: 31

# of Career laps led: 6,144 

Career Average Finish: 13.5

Career Average Start: 14.2

# of 2016 Wins: 3

# of 2016 Top 5s: 9

# of 2016 Top 10s: 18 

# of 2016 Poles: 6

# of 2016 DNFs: 6

# of 2016 laps led: 918

2016 Average Finish: 13.9

2016 Average Start: 7.2 

2016 Fantasy Recap - Carl Edwards started the 2016 off very hot and looked like one of the top drivers in the series for the first 9 races. He finished 8 of the first 9 races inside the top 7. Including 4 Top 5 finishes, with 2 wins back to back at Richmond and Bristol. If we dig further into it, he posted 12 Top 8 finishes in the first 18 races. However, after Kentucky he really started to fall off with his overall speed and production. How much did he fall off? He only posted 7 Top 10 finishes in the final 18 races. Including only 3 Top 10 finishes during the chase. He finished 19th or worse in the final 4 of 5 races. Overall, he posted 10 Top 15 finishes in those 18 final races. For a big-time driver like Carl, he needs to do more than that. For the most part, Carl had a good but not great year. He posted 9 Top 5 finishes and 18 Top 10 finishes. Those are good numbers, but far below his teammates had. He was actually the weak link when you are  comparing the 4  drivers. Who would have thought that after start he got of to? Definitely not me, but even as the weak link he almost won the championship too. Hard to complain about what Carl did in 2016, it was his best season since the 2011 season. He posted his most top 5 finishes, top 10 finishes and wins since the 2011 season. Also posted career-high in poles as well.

Strong Tracks - Atlanta, Texas, Bristol and WGI

Weak Tracks - Talladega and Indy

Yahoo Grouping Tier: A-list Grouping

2017 Fantasy Outlook - You should expect big things from Carl Edwards in 2017 with him being in the #19 Toyota for JGR. The Gibbs bunch once again should be the front runners on most weekends, when they aren't it proabbly more often than not a fluke. Expect Edwards strength to be on the intermediate tracks and short tracks. More specifically at the 1.5 mile racetracks in general. If you are going to aim to use at a specific track then I would go with the 1.5 mile tracks. His best racks are Atlanta, Texas and Homestead. He seems to really excel on the worn-out racetracks, and that what all three have in common too. He also should be very good on road course and shorter flats as well too. Plate tracks will likely be his weakness, along with the larger flats of Pocono and Indy. Headed into the 2017 season, I view him as borderline top 5/top 10 driver with upside to contend for a win at certain tracks. Tracks I expect him to contend for wins would be Texas, Homestead, Charlotte, Atlanta, Bristol and Watkins Glenn. Places like New Hampshire and Richmond will also be good places for him to be true race contenders. In 2017 I project something like 2 wins, 8-11 Top 5 finishes and 17-20 Top 10 finishes. I expect more good things for Carl Edwards in 2017!

Twitter - @JeffNathans18