Thursday, December 08, 2016

2017 Fantasy Nascar Profile: Kyle Busch

Welcome to TimersSports

Driver Name: Kyle Busch

Car #: 18

Make: Toyota 

Season Debut: 2005 (First-Full Season)

Number of Championships:1

# of Career Starts: 426

# of Career Poles: 17

# of Career Wins: 38

# of Career Top 5s: 147 

# of Career Top 10s: 219

# of Career DNFs: 46

# of Career laps led: 12,359 

Career Average Finish: 14.6

Career Average Start: 13.1

# of 2016 Wins: 4

# of 2016 Top 5s: 17

# of 2016 Top 10s: 25

# of 2016 Poles: 2

# of 2016 DNFs: 5

# of 2016 laps led: 1,379

2016 Average Finish: 11.5

2016 Average Start: 9.6

2016 Fantasy Recap - Kyle Busch had a very strong 2016 season, at times he looked like the best driver in the series. Even when he looked off, he still looked like one o the best drivers in the series. That proabbly because he is one of the best drivers in the series. Very few has his skill-set behind the wheel and well-balanced across every type-track. From intermediate tracks to road courses, he's pretty good just about everywhere. Obviously the top-notch equipment helps, but his talent puts him above the rest though. Rowdy has now posted 38 wins in his career and on pace to easily destroy the 50-win mark in the next 4-5 years. In 2016, he was strongest at the intermediate tracks. The JGR were stout on at these venues in the regular season, while they fell off in the chase. Still, Rowdy was among the best still. He really only had a few poor finishes on this type of track and those were simply flukes. He was also very strong on the shorter flats as well. I would say this was his second-strongest type-track. In 6 races on shorter flats (New Hampshire, Richmond and Phoenix), he posted 5 Top 4 finishes and an 8th place. That lone non-top 4 finish was back at the first New Hampshire race where he led 133 laps. He also was a strong performer on the short tracks and plate tracks. The short tracks were a bit misleading. Especially at Bristol, as he found bad luck in both races. While he finished 1st and 5th at the two Martinsville races. Rowdy isn't really known as a plate racer but don't tell him that because he was a stud in 2016. He finished 3rd, 2nd and 3rd in the first three plate races. He intentionally ran in the back in the chase race at Talladega to ensure advancement to the next round. I always said that Rowdy is the series' most underrated plate racer. His lone weakness in 2016 probably was the larger flats. He won at Indy, but looked kinda lost at both Pocono races. He was good probably somewhere around 9th-12th place driver in both races. All-in-all, what a impressive year that Rowdy had. Hard to be upset with a year he had in 2016!

Strong Tracks - Kentucky, Indy, Texas, Cali, and Richmond

Weak Tracks - Michigan and Pocono

Yahoo Grouping Tier: A-list Grouping

2017 Fantasy Outlook -Kyle Busch is in for another monster season (See what I did there? - ha!) and should contuine his impressive pace since joining JGR. Over the past 9 seasons (all since behind the wheel of the #18 car), he has posted 3.7 wins per season. No driver in the series can say that, he is winning at epic pace for this day and time. In that 9 year span, he has posted at least 3 wins in 7 of 9 seasons. So odds are, he will post another 3-win season. Will he be able to repeat his career-highs 17 Top 5 finishes and 25 Top 10 finishes? I don't know, I say he comes very close though. Rowdy has many strong areas and obviously the intermediate tracks will be his primary strength as a fatnasy option. I think its almost a no-brainer to use him on the intermediate tracks. Especially the 1.5 mile tracks. He will definitely excel on those venues. He will also be very strong on the road courses (more so at Watkins Glenn), plates and shorter flats. He will have his good and bad days on the short tracks in general, but he will have more good than bad by far. There are a couple tracks that I would like to avoid him in general though. As listed up above Michigan and Pocono. These two tracks have given Rowdy all kinds of problems of late. For whatever reason, I will try to avoid him at all cost. With that said, Rowdy is a superstar so I wouldn't be against it either. Bristol and Dover are other tracks that I am a little worried about. Over his past 11 races at these two tracks, he has combined 6 DNFs. All of those 11 races has been since the 2014 season start. In that time span, he only has 5 DNFs at 21 other tracks. That's just insane folks! So yeah, I will have by eye on him when we come to those tracks. Overall, I expect Rowdy to have another impressive season. And you should too!

***All stats are from DriverAverages.com

Twitter - @JeffNathans18