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Driver Name: Denny Hamlin
Car #: 11
Make:Toyota
Season Debut: 2006 (First-Full Season)
Number of Championships: 0
# of Career Starts: 398
# of Career Poles: 23
# of Career Wins: 29
# of Career Top 5s: 117
# of Career Top 10s: 196
# of Career DNFs: 33
# of Career laps led: 8,122
Career Average Finish: 14.3
Career Average Start: 13.2
# of 2016 Wins: 3
# of 2016 Top 5s: 12
# of 2016 Top 10s: 22
# of 2016 Poles: 1
# of 2016 DNFs: 4
# of 2016 laps led: 524
2016 Average Finish: 11.7
2016 Average Start: 6.3
2016 Fantasy Recap - Hamlin had his best season since before he had his back injury back in 2013. I would definitely say this was the best he has looked since that magic 2012 year he had. Statically speaking, i would say that 2016 was his 4th-best season of his career. His 3 wins were his best mark since 4 wins in 2012. He also posted 12 Top 5 finishes as well. Which is a decrease from 2015, but only by 2. With that said, he posted a career-best 22 top 10 finishes. He also posted career highs in average finish (11.7) and average start (6.3). Those are great numbers and all, but despite having a career year, it doesn't really feel that way. At end of the day, it just feels like Hamlin had another good year. Despite the numbers saying he had his most balanced year ever. More often than not, he was really good but never a standout contender for wins. He reminded me a lot of Dale Jr. A lot of top 10 finishes, but not really enough of laps led or dominating performances. Don't be fooled one bit by that he had a very impressive season. More times than not, when he needed a good finish then he got one for the most part. Very strong year for Denny Hamlin. It seems like he is starting to roll back into form after a couple of years off his game.
Strong Tracks - Martinsville, Daytona, Darlington and Indy
Weak Tracks - Sonoma and Kansas
Yahoo Grouping Tier: A-list Grouping
Overall Value Prediction: Inconsistency with streaky potential
2017 Fantasy Outlook - Hamlin is a tough driver to figure out for the most part. Over the past couple seasons, he has had very slow starts to the season. Before finding his groove later in the year and becoming one of the more reliable drivers in terms of consistency. Will that trend continue in 2017? I don't know. Logic would suggest this should be the case, but things early in the season will eventually turn for Hamlin. His big problem seems to be not able to take end of the previous season's momentum and use it toward the following season. Overall, Hamlin should be considered as one of the best drivers in the series. He has proven he is a top driver across the board on just about every type-track. He will be at his very best on the shorter-flats and short tracks in general. His best track in my opinion is Martinsville. I would expect him to be extremely strong at the Plates, more specially at Daytona. He has been on a different level lately, after a very slow start to his career. He also will perform above average on the intermediate tracks, but I would say he will be inconsistent more than his teammates. I think you could say the same thing about the larger flats as well. Pocono and Indy are very good tracks for him, but his numbers just don't stand out at Pocono like back in 2010 area. The biggest question probably would be about the road course. His two worst tracks from a career point of view are the road course. However, he had top 5 runs in both road courses in 2016. Did he finally turn the corner or was it simply a fluke? Part of me want to say it was a fluke, but you don't luck into impressive runs twice on two different road courses though. I would say his fantasy value goes way up at both of those tracks. Overall, Hamlin should be considered a top 10 driver with high-upside. But that is when he is hot, when he goes on cold streaks, he should be avoided at all costs. As the reward really doesn't outweigh the risk. For me, Hamlin is a really good driver but hasn't shown me, he is an elite driver across the board. I would rather use him at his best tracks first and then chase the points when they are there.
Twitter - @JeffNathans18
Driver Name: Denny Hamlin
Car #: 11
Make:Toyota
Season Debut: 2006 (First-Full Season)
Number of Championships: 0
# of Career Starts: 398
# of Career Poles: 23
# of Career Wins: 29
# of Career Top 5s: 117
# of Career Top 10s: 196
# of Career DNFs: 33
# of Career laps led: 8,122
Career Average Finish: 14.3
Career Average Start: 13.2
# of 2016 Wins: 3
# of 2016 Top 5s: 12
# of 2016 Top 10s: 22
# of 2016 Poles: 1
# of 2016 DNFs: 4
# of 2016 laps led: 524
2016 Average Finish: 11.7
2016 Average Start: 6.3
2016 Fantasy Recap - Hamlin had his best season since before he had his back injury back in 2013. I would definitely say this was the best he has looked since that magic 2012 year he had. Statically speaking, i would say that 2016 was his 4th-best season of his career. His 3 wins were his best mark since 4 wins in 2012. He also posted 12 Top 5 finishes as well. Which is a decrease from 2015, but only by 2. With that said, he posted a career-best 22 top 10 finishes. He also posted career highs in average finish (11.7) and average start (6.3). Those are great numbers and all, but despite having a career year, it doesn't really feel that way. At end of the day, it just feels like Hamlin had another good year. Despite the numbers saying he had his most balanced year ever. More often than not, he was really good but never a standout contender for wins. He reminded me a lot of Dale Jr. A lot of top 10 finishes, but not really enough of laps led or dominating performances. Don't be fooled one bit by that he had a very impressive season. More times than not, when he needed a good finish then he got one for the most part. Very strong year for Denny Hamlin. It seems like he is starting to roll back into form after a couple of years off his game.
Strong Tracks - Martinsville, Daytona, Darlington and Indy
Weak Tracks - Sonoma and Kansas
Yahoo Grouping Tier: A-list Grouping
Overall Value Prediction: Inconsistency with streaky potential
2017 Fantasy Outlook - Hamlin is a tough driver to figure out for the most part. Over the past couple seasons, he has had very slow starts to the season. Before finding his groove later in the year and becoming one of the more reliable drivers in terms of consistency. Will that trend continue in 2017? I don't know. Logic would suggest this should be the case, but things early in the season will eventually turn for Hamlin. His big problem seems to be not able to take end of the previous season's momentum and use it toward the following season. Overall, Hamlin should be considered as one of the best drivers in the series. He has proven he is a top driver across the board on just about every type-track. He will be at his very best on the shorter-flats and short tracks in general. His best track in my opinion is Martinsville. I would expect him to be extremely strong at the Plates, more specially at Daytona. He has been on a different level lately, after a very slow start to his career. He also will perform above average on the intermediate tracks, but I would say he will be inconsistent more than his teammates. I think you could say the same thing about the larger flats as well. Pocono and Indy are very good tracks for him, but his numbers just don't stand out at Pocono like back in 2010 area. The biggest question probably would be about the road course. His two worst tracks from a career point of view are the road course. However, he had top 5 runs in both road courses in 2016. Did he finally turn the corner or was it simply a fluke? Part of me want to say it was a fluke, but you don't luck into impressive runs twice on two different road courses though. I would say his fantasy value goes way up at both of those tracks. Overall, Hamlin should be considered a top 10 driver with high-upside. But that is when he is hot, when he goes on cold streaks, he should be avoided at all costs. As the reward really doesn't outweigh the risk. For me, Hamlin is a really good driver but hasn't shown me, he is an elite driver across the board. I would rather use him at his best tracks first and then chase the points when they are there.
Twitter - @JeffNathans18
