Wednesday, December 14, 2016

2017 Fantasy Nascar Profile: Chase Elliott

Welcome to TimersSports

Driver Name: Chase Elliott

Car #: 24

Make: Chevy

Season Debut: 2016 (First-Full Season)

Number of Championships: 0

# of Career Starts: 41 

# of Career Poles: 2

# of Career Wins: 0

# of Career Top 5s: 10 

# of Career Top 10s: 17

# of Career DNFs: 3

# of Career laps led: 358 

Career Average Finish: 16.0

Career Average Start: 12.9

# of 2016 Wins: 0

# of 2016 Top 5s: 10

# of 2016 Top 10s: 17 

# of 2016 Poles: 2

# of 2016 DNFs: 2

# of 2016 laps led: 358

2016 Average Finish: 14.6

2016 Average Start: 11.3

2016 Fantasy Recap - Chase Elliott had a very good 2016 season. He had one of those special rookie seasons. He had a better rookie year a bit better than Kyle Larson did back in 2014 and what he did was pretty impressive. Elliott had 10 Top 5 finishes and 17 Top 10 finishes in 2016 with 2 pole awards and 14.6 average finish. He was very strong on the 1.5 mile tracks and saw several chances at win slip away on the intermediate tracks in general. Michigan (2.5 mile intermediate track) was the place where I felt he really screwed up twice. Was in position to win back races and let them slip away. Also had races slip away at Chicago and Charlotte in the chase. He had the car to beat late in the both races, but say misfortune occur late. That was the story of his season, close but cigar for Chase Elliott. He had a impressive season and one that will be hard to match. For a young driver like him, it was mightily impressive. Long as he in the #24 car, he should be in line for pretty solid numbers like we saw in 2016!

Strong Tracks - Texas, Michigan, Atlanta, Chicago and Cali

Weak Tracks - Sonoma and Indy

Yahoo Grouping Tier: B-list Grouping

2017 Fantasy Outlook - Many people have high standards for him, and I don't disagree. I think his potential is limitless. He definitely has the equipment and the talent to win and add more top 5 and top 10 finishes than he did last season. My concern? The epic Sophomore slump. This is something we see several successful rookies deal. They hit that high in their rookie year and then bang the brick wall appears. Will Elliott suffer a similar fate? I hope not for fantasy purposes, but I wouldn't rule it out. Okay so let's pretend, he won't have a Sophomore slump. Where will be the best places to use him? Off top of my head, I want to use him at the intermediate tracks. Specifically places like Texas, Atlanta, Charlotte and Chicago. They have something in common and that they are worn-out racetracks. Elliott does a great job of tire management and we saw that help him at these places quite often. Besides the intermediate tracks, I am not sure if there is a specific type of track that he will be extremely strong on. He should be good on the shorter flats, but he will have his bad days. I say most weekends he will have low-teen potential with upside in the top 10. Probably most much more than just top 10. He is still developing on this type of track. Just not at that next level based on his rookie year. Short tracks (Bristol and Martinsville) will be a weakness for him. He is still trying to find himself at Martinsville as I would consider it his worst track. He been nothing more than an top 20 driver. Bristol he has shown more promise at, but still working progress. Road course and plate tracks will be another weakness. I think the plates will be hit or miss for Elliott. He can run well, but still have work to do. Same goes for road courses, I just don't get the feeling he is one of those drivers who can be a game changer yet on road courses. Overall, I expect a very good year from Elliott. He will have his best days on intermediate tracks. He will have his moments on the shorter flats and larger flats, but you can expect him to have his bad ones too. Short tracks and road courses will be on the opposite end of the stick, but it all about his development on them though.

Twitter - @JeffNathans18