Thursday, December 01, 2016

2017 Fantasy Nascar Profile: Trevor Bayne

Welcome to TimersSports

Driver Name: Trevor Bayne

Car #: 6

Make: Ford

Season Debut: 2015 (First Full season)

Number of Championships: 0

# of Career Starts: 130

# of Career Poles: 0

# of Career Wins: 1

# of Career Top 5s:  3

# of Career Top 10s: 10

# of Career DNFs: 17

# of Career laps led:  63

Career Average Finish: 24.2

Career Average Start: 22.5

# of 2016 Wins: 0

# of 2016 Top 5s: 2

# of 2016 Top 10s: 5

# of 2016 Poles: 0

# of 2016 DNFs: 2

# of 2016 laps led: 34

2016 Average Finish: 19.9

2016 Average Start: 20.4

2016 Fantasy Recap - Nobody really gave Trevor Bayne much respect, even though he was the best driver for the first 20 races of the season at RFR. Yes, you read that right. He had an 19.8 average finish with 2 Top 5 finishes, 5 Top 10 finishes and 20 Top 20 finishes. He was tied or had better numbers than Greg Biffle in all of those categories. He was just a tad behind of Ricky Stenhouse Jr in all of those categories. Yet, people still viewed him as the worst driver of the three by far. But it was the complete opposite actually. Statically speaking, Trevor Bayne had easily his best season of career. Personally, I think people cannot get the image out of their head of Trevor's first year with RFR. Yeah he wasn't very good, however that's not the reality any longer. In 2016, he had his most Top 5 finishes, Top 10 finishes, Top 20 finishes, and best average finish. His season was so good, it was a career-setting year, even though the bar has been set incredibly low. In 2016, he had 2 Top 5 finishes. He had 1 in his first 94 races. He also posted 5 Top 10 finishes, he only posted 5 of them previously in his career. Also he led 34 in 2016, prior to that he only led 29 laps. He also posted an 19.9 average finish, his previous highest (min. 12 starts) was 22.5 average finish. All in all, he had a pretty good season with the #6 car.

Strong Tracks - Kentucky, Bristol and Las Vegas

Weak Tracks - Indy and Phoenix

Yahoo Grouping Tier: B-list Grouping

Overall Value Prediction:  Inconsistent with limited upside

2017 Fantasy Outlook - I think Trevor Bayne will improve even more in 2017. I do believe the direction they are going with the current race package will benefit Bayne. I felt like last season's package was going to help him a lot. Going more in that direction should only help him against the competition. RFR lacks any real experience like Biff gave RFR, but I do believe RFR will be fine. They are slowly getting back to be contenders, but make no mistake they are still quite ways from being legit top 10 contenders though. Bayne on most weekends will most likely be an top 20 driver with upside to finish inside the top 15. More so in the low to middle teens most races. His best days will be on the shorter racetracks, especially Bristol. He also will perform good on some intermediate tracks. He will struggle at certain places, but I do think he will have the potential to finish in the teens at a lot of places we go though. Also make no mistake that he will have some bad races, where he never sees the top 20. And that's okay, because he is a young driver and still learning. Bayne will be off most fantasy players' radars. In 2017, I would project 0 wins, 2-4 Top 5 finishes, 3-6 Top 10 finishes and somewhere around 18-22 Top 20 finishes. He should be a borderline top 20 driver heading into the season.

***All stats are from DriverAverages.com

Twitter - @JeffNathans18