Saturday, July 01, 2017

2017 Fantasy Nascar Sleepers & Dark Horses (Daytona)

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Sleepers -


Ricky Stenhouse Jr - Ricky scored his first career win back at Talladega and is looking to keep his good season going. Stenhouse has the most potential to finish well at Talladega, but I wouldn't rule out a good run in tonight's race at Daytona. With that said, his history isn't in his favor though. He finished 20th or better in his first four starts, including finishes of 7th-11th in his 2nd through 4th starts at the track. Since? Only two top 20 finishes in his past 6 races. Both has been in the July race. In fact, he has finished 3 of his 4 July races in 19th place or better. He's finished 5th in last July's race. If you go by just the July races, he is a solid top 20 pick with some obvious upside.

Austin Dillon - Austin Dillon is a great sleeper and more of a dark horse with his history here. However, his dark horse status isn't really relevant due to the down season he is having. He is far enough under most people radar to qualify as a very solid sleeper. Remember, sleepers are associated with ''value'' and the dark horses are associated with high potential. He is more on the sleeper side right now, since he is having a down season for the most part. Dillon has a great track record here at Daytona! In 7 career starts (since joining the #3 car), he has posted 5 top 10 finishes and has a worst finish of 19th place. That 19th place finish was back in the Daytona 500. Prior to finishing 19th in the Daytona 500, he had 3 straight top 9 finishes. There's two outcomes likely for Dillon on Saturday night: He returns to his top 10 finish trend or he finishes worse than he did in the Daytona 500.

Cole Whitt - I been on the Cole Whitt bandwagon since start of last year on the plate tracks and shockingly more people haven't noticed this hidden fantasy gem. Now will he contend for the win or even run in the top 10 during the race? Probably not. However, it is not about that though. It's about him being a consistent finisher at this kind of track. Remember sleepers are associated with value! And  Cole ability to finish well and stay under the radar, does makes him a pretty solid play. In his past 9 plate races, he has finished 25th or better. It does not sound impressive, but let's dig more into the numbers or the hell of it! Cole has finished 18th or better in his past four plate races. Yes, 18th or better is correct. While finishing 18th or better in 5 of the past 7 races. What Cole Whitt is doing in his underfunded equipment on this type of track is just great. He is not getting enough respect for his consistency.

Dark Horses -

Ryan Blaney - Blaney has turned into a very solid plate racer, besides being such a young driver in this sport. Blaney is usually one of the drivers up at the front at some point in the race on the plate tracks. In his past 6 plate races, he has finished 5 of 6 races (at Daytona and Talladega) in the top 19. In his past three races at Daytona, he has finished 2nd, 14th and 19th. Best news about that? His finishes are trending the right direction. Up! If that trends continues, then Ryan Blaney should be in victory lane in tonight's race. The odds of that trend continuing is unlikely though. However, I wouldn't rule it out. Blaney will be at the front and contending for the win. He just need some luck on his side, much like the Daytona 500. So far in his career, Blaney been Top 20 finisher or DNF. He has high potential, but he also has finished 36th or worse in 40% of his starts on this type of track.

Chase Elliott - Elliott is a very good plate racer and he has a great race for tonight's race. He's fast and been great in the first two plate races this season. He dominated the second half of the Daytona 500 and was leading with a few laps to go. Until he had to run out of fuel. Then at Talladega, he had a great race going, too. He was strong in that event and then AJ Dinger got a little too aggresive and caused a huge wreck. Elliott was running about 3rd place at the time. It totally destroyed his car and that ended up being the big one. So his luck haven't been there, he has ran well at Daytona so far in his cup career. He just haven't gotten the finishes. Good news? He is trending in the right direction though. His last three Daytona finishes: 14th, 32nd and 37th. His finishing position has improved in every Daytona race so far.

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