Sunday, July 30, 2017

2017 Fantasy Nascar Sleepers & Dark Horses (Pocono)

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Sleepers -

Ricky Stenhouse Jr - Ricky Stenhouse Jr has been a very consistent driver this season overall and keep netting good results in the middle-teens on a weekly basis. I also think that is why he isn't getting the respect that he deserves. He is so consistent every week in the top 15, but he also never really flashes anything super highlight reel, either. So yeah, his upside (as a fantasy pick) is limited overall. Still, it is hard to overlook him as a solid pick this weekend. He is flashing his usual speed (range) and been consistent on this type of track. Actually, I was kinda surprise with his results on the large flats lately, when I did research on him last week. These large flats use to be a troublesome for him, earlier in his career. Not anymore! In 4 of his last 5 races (at Pocono and Indy), he's finished 18th or better. Last week, it was his first finish worse than 18th at either track since 2015. He was running well last weekend at Indy and then someone got him loose and sent him hard into the wall. I don't blame him for that, so I will overlook it. He's very capable of finishing in the top 15. Two of his last starts here has ended in 11th and 15th. The other finish was 18th back in last August.

Daniel Suarez - Suarez is still pretty undervalued to me in general. He doesn't get a lot of consideration in most fantasy games, because he is a young and unproven driver. But I think that is just ridiculous. I do understand why a lot of people are a little shy on pulling the trigger with him. But at the same time, I think people are being a little too worrisome with him. He has proven a few things to me: 1) He can keep his nose clean and log laps 2) He is a talented driver who tend to get better as the race weekend go on. 3) He is good enough to contend for top 10 (at some point in the race) on a weekly basis. There will be a lot more standout fantasy options to consider this weekend, but Suarez will improve and will be contending by a solid finish by the checkers. I am not saying he will be a difference-maker in your lineup. However, he could be a nice addition. Of course, it also depends what fantasy game you play, too. That always is a important factor. In general, I view him as a quality sleeper. As people keep on sleeping on Daniel Suarez!

Dark Horses -

Ryan Blaney -  Blaney is fast once again this weekend at Pocono and honestly he may be just as good as  he was back in June. Not sure, if that will result in another win though. Regardless, it is hard to overlook his potential for the race. I think there is obvious upside to using him as a fantasy pick. But I also think there is a lot of risks, too. In his past 15 race this season (dating back to Martinsville), he has only 5 finishes of 18th or better. While only having 4 top 10 finishes in his past 13 races. So pretty much, he is top 10 or bust since April. He does have a win in that span, but also only one other top 5 finish. He does have a great record here at Pocono with no finishes worse than 11th in 3 career starts. Also, history (in general) says it is unlikely for him to have three straight finishes outside of the top 10. Blaney is a legit dark horse, but remember you should know the risks of using him!

Clint Bowyer - Bowyer is a legit dark horse this weekend at Pocono. He may not have the greatest numbers here, but he has been running great lately. Even though, he may not always get the finishes he should. That's okay because the 14 team is giving Clint some stuff. After practice on Saturday afternoon, Clint tweeted that his car felt great and was excited for the race. I love when a driver says that. He looked pretty quick on the track, too. If the 14 car is good as he says it is, then Clint should be one of the better fantasy picks. Especially, if he can avoid any issues in the race. Prior to finishing 30th last weekend at Indy, he had 3 finishes of 7th or better in his last four races. 2nd at Sonoma, 2nd at Daytona and 7th at New Hampshire. He also finished 13th at Kentucky during that span. He was on path to finish in the top 10, before getting caught up in a wreck last weekend.

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