Thursday, July 06, 2017

2017 Fantasy Nascar Sleepers & Dark Horses (Kentucky)

Welcome to TimersSports

This game is about taking risks and sometimes they pay off. And sometimes, they make you look completely stupid. When you nail a really good fantasy pick, you feel like you are on top of the world. When you miss, well, it is back to the drawing boards. Daytona, there are a lot of us doing that. I am one of them. I nailed a few good picks, but I also was left looking like a fool, too. That how it goes a lot of times when you take risks. Now we will turn our atteention to Kentucky. Unlike last week, we have a lot more control in our picks. So I am really looking forward to digging into the numbers and finding some solid options.


Are you ready? Damn right. Let's go!

Sleepers -

Ryan Newman - Newman is a very solid sleeper this weekend at Kentucky. His stats don't standout ever, but he is consistent. We are nearing the stage of the season, where consistency is preferred. I don't know about anyone else, but I feel a lot better about Newman than a lot of these other picks. No disrespect to guys like Ryan Blaney, Austin Dillon, Ricky Stenhouse Jr, etc. They are wildcards. Sometimes they get quality top 10 finishes and others, they finish in the 20s. Blaney, obviously has the huge upside. Still, Newman is the guy that is almost a lock to finish in the top 15. It is what he does. In his past 6 races this season, Newman has posted 6 top 15 finishes. Half of those finishes has ended inside the top 10, if you were wondering. Again, he's very solid overall. He won't likely have the raw speed to run in the top 10, but he will consistency get better throughout the weekend.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr - Stenhouse Jr has been a solid pick this season on the intermediate tracks. While, he haven't posted numbers like on the plate tracks. However, he has been pretty good. On five 1.5 mile tracks, he has finished in the top 15 in 4 races. His finishes on the 1.5 mile tracks in 2017: 13th, 33rd, 15th, 14th and 11th. Again, very solid. He's also finished 8th at Michigan, which is a larger intermediate track. As far as momentum, he is looking good, too. In his past 6 races, he has scored 4 Top 15 finishes. Including finishes of 11th, 8th and 1st in his past four races. The two races that he finished poorly, he got involved in a wreck. Another good trend about him? He's finished 14th or better in every night race this season. His finishes: 11th, 15th , 14th and 1st. There's a lot to like about this weekend at Kentucky.

Dark Horses -

Clint Bowyer - Bowyer is a great dark horse pick for this weekend's race. His numbers this season has been great on this type of track. In the first four races on the 1.5 mile tracks, he was very strong. He had four finishes of 11th or better. In the fifth race (most recent one - Charlotte), he's finished 14th. So five finishes of 14th or better. Pretty good, don't you think? He also has a lot of momentum going for him. In his past two Cup races, he has finished 2nd place. Prior to that, he had three straaight finishes of 17th or worse. So the past month or so has been pretty up and down. Right now things are looking up for him though. Bowyer should be at least a top 12 contender in this weekend's event.

Kyle Larson - Kyle Larson's track record here at Kentucky speedway is terrible. In three career starts, he has finished 40th, 35th and 19th. Not good at all. Good news? He has improved in every single start. Last year, he finished 19th. But I clearly remember him having the car to beat the day before in practice. Of course, the forwarding day was the race and he was complete trash. Still, that stuck with me. Why? Because I remember getting burned by him. Trust me, you don't forget a burn like that and forget it. This season, he has been a badass on this type of track. He has finishes of 2nd, 2nd, 2nd, 6th and 33rd. So four top 6 finishes in 5 races this season. Pretty solid! I think Larson is due here at Kentucky speedway. Personally, I think people will overlook him because of his track record. Trust me, Larson will be a contender and is an awesome dark horse. I wouldn't call him a dark horse, but at the same time. I think there's at 4 or 5 guys that are being considering before Larson. Such as Kyle Busch, Brad Keselowski, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr, etc.


***All stats are from DriverAverages.com and FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com

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