Tuesday, January 27, 2015

2015 Fantasy Nascar Driver Preview: Kyle Busch

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Kyle Busch 2015 Profile

Kyle Busch is under a lot of people radars. Usually when Kyle Busch slip under the radar he the most dangerous. There a old say , "What you don't know cannot hurt you." With Busch that totally untrue. Remember heading into 2013 season everyone was caught off guard by his stellar season. I am very high on Busch. Wouldn't be shocked to see him win the championship.

At Intermediate tracks in 2014 , Busch showed inconsistency. But be don't fooled. Over his career Kyle been an force to reckon with. Hard to pick out an standout track for Rowdy. Kentucky been an excellent place for him though.  In 4 Career starts , Kyle have 3 Top 10s including one win. Busch is one of 3 drivers to win at Kentucky in Sprint Cup Series. Also Auto Club speedway is another great place to use him. Over the past 2 seasons , Busch have won both times here. From career standpoint , Busch have 3 wins and 12 Top 10s in 17 starts. Hard to argue with those stats.

Also Busch should be good at Darlington , Charlotte , Texas , Dover , Las Vegas, and Chicago. Michigan and Kansas are by far his worst tracks. Kinda feel like he coming around at Kansas. His 3rd last season was a major step forward no doubt. At Michigan ,Busch been all or nothing most of the time.

At flats tracks , Busch been one of the best in the series. At New Hampshire he been very good. How good? 3 of his past 4 races have resulted in 2nd place. 3 runner ups in 4 race span is impressive. His other finish is 8th. I know who I am picking at New Hampshire. At Phoenix Busch been inconsistent but a pattern have formed. 1 Bad finished followed by back-to-back top 10s. If that pattern continue , expect 2 top 10s from Rowdy in 2015. The problem with patterns they're simply that. Past 2 of 3 races have resulted in 9th or better.

At Pocono Busch have never won. But 11 of 20 career races have ended in 20th or better. 3 of the past 4 races have resulted in 12th or better. Including finishes of 8th and 6th. Last August race Busch day ended early after an incident. In last 8 races , 50% of his races have resulted inside the top 10. At Indianapolis Busch usually get overlooked but don't be fooled. In 10 career races Busch have 8 Top 10s and 3 Top 5s. He super underrated here.

At short tracks Busch been pretty decent during his career. Bristol may be Busch best track from career standpoint. In 20 career starts , KB have 5 wins and 12 Top 10s for 12.1 average finish. But Busch haven't been very good at "New Bristol". In past 4 races Busch have 19.5 average finish. Don't be fooled Rowdy been pretty competitive but bad luck have snake bitten him. That my top theory. My second theory is he was better on the older surface then the newly repave layout. I am leaning towards little of both.

Richmond may be Busch top track from a career standpoint. In 20 career starts , Busch have 7.3 average finish, 4 wins , 14 Top 5s and 19 Top 20s. He rarely been off his game. Busch been decent over his past 4 races with an 15.0 average finish and 93.3 driver rating. 3 of 4 races he posted a driver rating above 90. Martinsville been another nice place for Busch. Usually don't get the credit he should. In past 4 races ,Busch have an 11.4 average finish and posted 3 of 4 races with an driver rating above 98. Worst finish in that span was 15th which is pretty solid.

At Road courses Busch overall been middle of the road more of an teen caliber track at Sonoma. Always good but never great. In 10 career starts , He have 1win and 5 Top 20s for an 20.9 average finish. Nothing stellar. I wouldn't use him at Sonoma not a chance. Watkins Glenn is the place to unleash the beast. In 10 career starts , Busch have 2 wins and 8 Top 10s for 11.3 average finish. Hard to bet against him here. Even though at a lot people bitter from his epic fail from last season poor finish.

Plate tracks I think Kyle Busch is way underrated. He doesn't always bring home the bacon , but usually when he does the bacon golden. Would I gamble on Busch at Daytona 500? Nah too early to gamble. But I wouldn't mind rolling the dice at Talladega or July Daytona race. Difficult to pinpoint to which race Busch will score a respectable finish at. Usually hit or more. Most drivers are hit or miss though.

Twitter - @MattAleza